2459 N Oaks St #134 · Tulare, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 33 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 38 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move in ready in Gated Oaks Estate mobile home park in Tulare 55+ park with clubhouse Pool and spa . updated in sept 22 new 30yr roof, pain inside and out carpet in bdrms. some electrical updates as well as new vinyl fence one of the most desirable manufactured home in the park. This manufactured Home welcomes you in with a beautiful large living room with lots of window and natural light to enjoy visiting with great views of the pool and full views out front to see your neighbors out for a walk or riding their bikes . large dining area with beautiful hutch. the kitchen is big with lots of cabinets and bar area sits just off the family room master bedroom offers lots of closet space and an amazing large bathroom 2bdrms 2bath and great laundry room a must see is ready for you to make memories if on patio sipping your favorite drink enjoy mountain views
Key facts
- Guest room
- Second living room
- 30yr roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Private pool
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport (1 space); Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available and connected; Electricity connected; Cable connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide) located in a park; Faces west; No shared/common walls
- Construction: Vertical and wood siding; Composition roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Manufactured model: Hallmark Southwest; Wood skirting; Mobile dimensions approximately 24' x 64'
- Exterior features: Awnings; Exterior storage; Covered patio and porch
Interior
- Flooring: Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Vaulted ceilings; Wood flooring
- Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $599 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $141k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 3.3% in Tulare — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#701 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: commute C-, employment D+, schools D-.
- Tulare Joint Union High (suburban): math 18% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #280 of 517 in CA (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 352 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,447 units permitted in Tulare County in 2024 (307 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tulare County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.7% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.12%
- DSCR
- 1.76
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $13,190
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.38×
- Total profit
- $57,924
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93274
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 352
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,069 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$187 /mo · $2,248/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$435
- Net cashflow
- $599
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1989 N Oaks St Tulare, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1590 | $2,195 | $1.38 | 13d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1927 N Oaks St Tulare, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1590 | $2,050 | $1.29 | 13d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1919 N Oaks St Tulare, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1380 | $2,325 | $1.68 | 13d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1170 N Petaluma St Tulare, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1547 | $2,200 | $1.42 | 21d | 1 | 1.21mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-09status Pending
-
2026-02-27$149,900 Active
-
2024-04-29soldstatus $154,500 Closed 882-char remark
Show marketing remark (882 chars)
Move in ready in Gated Oaks Estate mobile home park in Tulare 55+ park with clubhouse Pool and spa . updated in sept 22 new 30yr roof, pain inside and out carpet in bdrms. some electrical updates as well as new vinyl fence one of the most desirable manufactured home in the park. This manufactured Home welcomes you in with a beautiful large living room with lots of window and natural light to enjoy visiting with great views of the pool and full views out front to see your neighbors out for a walk or riding their bikes . large dining area with beautiful hutch. the kitchen is big with lots of cabinets and bar area sits just off the family room master bedroom offers lots of closet space and an amazing large bathroom 2bdrms 2bath and great laundry room a must see is ready for you to make memories if on patio sipping your favorite drink enjoy mountain views
-
2024-03-27status Pending 882-char remark
Show marketing remark (882 chars)
Move in ready in Gated Oaks Estate mobile home park in Tulare 55+ park with clubhouse Pool and spa . updated in sept 22 new 30yr roof, pain inside and out carpet in bdrms. some electrical updates as well as new vinyl fence one of the most desirable manufactured home in the park. This manufactured Home welcomes you in with a beautiful large living room with lots of window and natural light to enjoy visiting with great views of the pool and full views out front to see your neighbors out for a walk or riding their bikes . large dining area with beautiful hutch. the kitchen is big with lots of cabinets and bar area sits just off the family room master bedroom offers lots of closet space and an amazing large bathroom 2bdrms 2bath and great laundry room a must see is ready for you to make memories if on patio sipping your favorite drink enjoy mountain views
-
2024-03-15price $164,000 882-char remark
Show marketing remark (882 chars)
Move in ready in Gated Oaks Estate mobile home park in Tulare 55+ park with clubhouse Pool and spa . updated in sept 22 new 30yr roof, pain inside and out carpet in bdrms. some electrical updates as well as new vinyl fence one of the most desirable manufactured home in the park. This manufactured Home welcomes you in with a beautiful large living room with lots of window and natural light to enjoy visiting with great views of the pool and full views out front to see your neighbors out for a walk or riding their bikes . large dining area with beautiful hutch. the kitchen is big with lots of cabinets and bar area sits just off the family room master bedroom offers lots of closet space and an amazing large bathroom 2bdrms 2bath and great laundry room a must see is ready for you to make memories if on patio sipping your favorite drink enjoy mountain views
-
2024-02-26price $165,000 882-char remark
Show marketing remark (882 chars)
Move in ready in Gated Oaks Estate mobile home park in Tulare 55+ park with clubhouse Pool and spa . updated in sept 22 new 30yr roof, pain inside and out carpet in bdrms. some electrical updates as well as new vinyl fence one of the most desirable manufactured home in the park. This manufactured Home welcomes you in with a beautiful large living room with lots of window and natural light to enjoy visiting with great views of the pool and full views out front to see your neighbors out for a walk or riding their bikes . large dining area with beautiful hutch. the kitchen is big with lots of cabinets and bar area sits just off the family room master bedroom offers lots of closet space and an amazing large bathroom 2bdrms 2bath and great laundry room a must see is ready for you to make memories if on patio sipping your favorite drink enjoy mountain views
-
2024-02-21$170,000 Active 882-char remark
Show marketing remark (882 chars)
Move in ready in Gated Oaks Estate mobile home park in Tulare 55+ park with clubhouse Pool and spa . updated in sept 22 new 30yr roof, pain inside and out carpet in bdrms. some electrical updates as well as new vinyl fence one of the most desirable manufactured home in the park. This manufactured Home welcomes you in with a beautiful large living room with lots of window and natural light to enjoy visiting with great views of the pool and full views out front to see your neighbors out for a walk or riding their bikes . large dining area with beautiful hutch. the kitchen is big with lots of cabinets and bar area sits just off the family room master bedroom offers lots of closet space and an amazing large bathroom 2bdrms 2bath and great laundry room a must see is ready for you to make memories if on patio sipping your favorite drink enjoy mountain views
-
2020-06-16soldstatus $67,000 280-char remark
Show marketing remark (280 chars)
Great opportunity to live in Tulare's most desirable adult park. This charming mobile home offers 2 bedrooms 2 baths, dining area, indoor laundry room. Inside was recently painted. A new stove, hood and dishwasher recently installed. Seller will put in new carpet with full price.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 33 unhealthy d/yr today · 38 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,830
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$2,248
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,986
- − Management
- −$1,986
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $5,102
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,224
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,960/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tulare Joint Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0639930
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,858
- Composite
- 29.91/100
- National rank
- #6384
- State rank
- #280 of 517 in CA
Livability — Tulare
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #701
- US rank
- #21185
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tulare, CA
- County
- Tulare County · 323,826 people
- City population
- 80,026
- Metro
- Visalia, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 80,026
- Household income
- $72,650
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2393.0
Population outlook (Tulare County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,681 people
- By 2030
- 496,241 · +2.4%
- By 2040
- 518,507 · +7.0%
- By 2050
- 534,920 · +10.4%
- By 2075
- 548,417 · +13.2%
- By 2100
- 513,085 · +5.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 64% White 29% Two or more races 24% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 60%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 7% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 52% English-only · Spanish 42% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tulare
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 38.5% · R 59.2% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.4pp toward R · 2008: -15.3pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+7.8 2016: R+12.1 2012: R+17.8 2008: R+15.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -402.03%
- Current HPI
- 316.0806
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.67%
- Metro
- Visalia, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+123.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Pending — TCMLS
- 2026-02-27 Listed $149,900 TCMLS
- 2024-04-29 Sold (MLS) $154,500 TCMLS
- 2024-03-27 Pending — TCMLS
- 2024-03-15 Price Changed $164,000 TCMLS
- 2024-02-26 Price Changed $165,000 TCMLS
- 2024-02-21 Listed $170,000 TCMLS
- 2020-06-16 Sold (MLS) $67,000 TCMLS
Property tax history
-5.4%/yrLatest (2021): $272 · -23.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…