3385 Jog Park Dr · Greenacres, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.8/30.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$190,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Experience the comfort of extra space and privacy in this inviting corner unit condo in 55+ community, where natural light streams through abundant windows to illuminate the generous interiors. The floor plan is designed for effortless living, featuring a distinct separation between the carpeted, expansive living/family room and the tiled formal dining area, which is accented by a classic chandelier. The heart of the home is the functional eat-in kitchen, equipped with warm wood cabinetry, modern appliances, and a cozy breakfast nook right by the window—the perfect spot for your morning coffee. Sliding glass doors extend the living space out to a private, screened-in patio with tiled
Key facts
- Eat-in kitchen
- Corner unit condo
- $650 HOA
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Resale property; Pets allowed with possible restrictions (number/size limits); Living area reported as 1,396
- Financial info: Association fee: $650 per month
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee; Association amenities include: clubhouse, pool, fitness center, tennis courts, pickleball courts, bocce ball, billiard room, jogging path, community room, internet included, on-site manager/management
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Guest parking
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Three-phase electric; Cable available
- Home design: Condominium; 2-story building; Multi/split levels; Entry-level living area; Faces north
- Construction: Built with stucco and CBS construction; Composition/shingle roof with wood truss/rafter
- Exterior features: Screened patio; Patio; Corner lot; Sidewalks; Paved road frontage; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Garbage disposal; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Electric central heating (individual unit); Electric central cooling (individual unit); Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; Walk-in closets; Stacked bedroom layout; Closet cabinetry; Blinds and drapes on windows
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry in a laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-122 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $168k (11.4% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
- Recommended offer: $167k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#490 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Liberty Park Elementary School (math 25% / reading 38%, grade F, #1,841 of 2,144 statewide, top 86%, 845 students, 76% FRL); Okeeheelee Middle School (math 34% / reading 40%, grade F, #399 of 571 statewide, top 71%, 1,377 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 52% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 34% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 665 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($96k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 140 days — a 12% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $80k; list at $190k implies a 138% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 26% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 140 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.76%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -26.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.15×
- Total profit
- $-45,274
- Equity at exit
- $28,330
- IRR
- -54.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.41×
- Total profit
- $-75,246
- Equity at exit
- $16,428
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33467
- Rents YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 665
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,456 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$337 /mo · $4,047/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$650
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$516
- Net cashflow
- $-122
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-15 | -5% $-68 | +0% $-122 | +5% $-176 | +10% $-230 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-316 | -5% $-219 | +0% $-122 | +5% $-25 | +10% $72 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-27 | -0.5pp $-74 | base $-122 | +0.5pp $-171 | +1.0pp $-222 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3350 Perimeter Dr #1323 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1059 | $1,975 | $1.86 | 3d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 3386 Lucerne Park Dr Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1059 | $1,950 | $1.84 | 25d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 3024 Lucerne Park Dr Greenacres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1545 | $3,100 | $2.01 | 25d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 3043 Grandiflora Dr Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1316 | $2,700 | $2.05 | 13d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 3258 Jog Park Dr Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1415 | $2,300 | $1.63 | 25d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 720 Sunny Pine Way Unit G1 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $2,000 | $1.80 | 20d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 718 Sunny Pine Way Unit H2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $2,000 | $1.80 | 21d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 718 Sunny Pine Way Unit H2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $2,000 | $1.80 | 6d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 3154 Via Poinciana #214 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,500 | $1.37 | 25d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1600 Island Shores Dr Greenacres, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 889 | $1,925 | $2.17 | 25d | 2 | 0.33mi |
| 3146 Via Poinciana #301 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,500 | $1.39 | 21d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 712 Sunny Pine Way Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $2,150 | $2.01 | 25d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 724 Sunny Pine Way Unit D2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $1,950 | $1.76 | 25d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 3178 Via Poinciana #303 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1145 | $1,600 | $1.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 726 Sunny Pine Way Unit B2 Greenacres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $2,200 | $1.75 | 5d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 703 Sunny Pine Way Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,900 | $1.78 | 25d | 2 | 0.45mi |
| 6115 Seven Springs Blvd Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1325 | $2,475 | $1.87 | 6d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 6115 Seven Springs Blvd Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1325 | $2,500 | $1.89 | 20d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 812 Sky Pine Way Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $2,100 | $1.97 | 25d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 3356 Via Mancebo St Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1728 | $2,650 | $1.53 | 16d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 6134 Seven Springs Blvd Unit 40d Greenacres, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1321 | $2,400 | $1.82 | 5d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 811 Sky Pine Way Unit F2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $1,550 | $1.46 | 21d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 6285 Tall Cypress Cir Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1556 | $2,300 | $1.48 | 14d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 6273 Tall Cypress Cir Greenacres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $2,400 | $1.76 | 25d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 504 Shady Pine Way Unit 2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $2,000 | $1.80 | 25d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 703 Sunny Pine Way Unit G2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $2,000 | $1.87 | 16d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 802 Sky Pine Way Unit E2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $1,750 | $1.58 | 8d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 3212 Strawflower Way #207 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1017 | $1,850 | $1.82 | 25d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3212 Strawflower Way Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1017 | $2,200 | $2.16 | 11d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3212 Strawflower Way Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1017 | $2,000 | $1.97 | 18d | 2 | 0.52mi |
| 502 Shady Pine Way Unit D2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 991 | $1,900 | $1.92 | 0d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 817 Sky Pine Way Unit H Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $2,300 | $1.68 | 18d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 6023 10th Ave N #114 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $2,000 | $1.90 | 0d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 826 Sky Pine Way Greenacres, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $2,400 | $1.84 | 0d | 2 | 0.55mi |
| 813 Sky Pine Way Unit F2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $1,725 | $1.55 | 3d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 813 Sky Pine Way Unit F2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $1,725 | $1.55 | 16d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 6031 10th Ave N #219 Greenacres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1078 | $2,400 | $2.23 | 5d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 6049 Olivewood Cir Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1377 | $2,200 | $1.60 | 25d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 508 Shady Pine Way Unit D1 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1115 | $1,850 | $1.66 | 23d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3286 Arcara Way #413 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1222 | $1,800 | $1.47 | 0d | 1 | 0.60mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $650 · $7,800/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $190,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-17statusdays on market $190,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $190,000 Active Under Contract 138 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $190,000 Active Under Contract 137 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $190,000 Active Under Contract 135 DOM
-
2026-06-10status $190,000 Active Under Contract 131 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $190,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $190,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $190,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $190,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $190,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $190,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-04-14price $190,000
-
2026-03-06price $199,900
-
2026-02-12price $210,000
-
2026-01-29$225,000 Active
-
1991-05-29soldstatus $80,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,047 · $337/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,047 · $337/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,477
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$4,047
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,358
- − Management
- −$2,358
- − HOA
- −$7,800
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable loss
- −$4,207
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,010
- After-tax cash flow
- $-457/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Greenacres
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #490
- US rank
- #9008
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Greenacres, FL
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 65,478
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 58,411
- Household income
- $95,739
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 960.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 13% Black 10% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 4% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 3% Hispanic 3%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 5% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -288.94%
- Current HPI
- 343.7738
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.40%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+137.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $190,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $199,900 Beaches MLS
- 2026-02-12 Price Changed $210,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-01-29 Listed $225,000 Beaches MLS
- 1991-05-29 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2025): $4,047 · +10.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…