5334 Wexford Dr · Monticello, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$167,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3BR/2BA brick home sits on nice size lot in Shamrock Gardens! New Roof! Light and bright kitchen/den area features ceramic tile flooring throughout. Kitchen cabinets have been freshly painted and have new stainless range/oven and dishwasher. Living/Dining room off foyer has wood laminate floors. Primary bedroom has ensuite bath with shower/tub combo. Located in flood zone X and did not flood in 2016. Great opportunity for first time homebuyers!
Key facts
- New stainless range
- New stainless oven
- Brick home
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Has carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family detached residence; Residential property
- Construction: Frame and brick construction; Slab foundation; Built (year not provided)
- Exterior features: Wood fencing; Composition roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Range, Oven, Dishwasher
- Flooring: Tile; Carpet; Ceramic tile; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Range, Oven, Dishwasher
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $168k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $61 ($732/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (13.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $145k (13.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#177 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- East Baton Rouge Parish (urban): math 22% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #47 of 98 in LA (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Greenbrier Elementary School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #448 of 646 statewide, top 71%, 344 students, 83% FRL); Park Forest Middle School (math 3% / reading 12%, grade F, #207 of 218 statewide, top 95%, 582 students, 78% FRL); Liberty High School (math 50% / reading 74%, grade B-, #15 of 265 statewide, top 6%, 1,208 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools at 74% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,252 units permitted in East Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (440 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- East Baton Rouge County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.56%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $206,176
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5244 Bangor Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,478 (-2%) | 3mo | $200,000 | $135 | 87 |
| 5101 Wicklow Dr | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,506 (-1%) | 2mo | $205,000 | $136 | 87 |
| 5242 N Shamrock Ave | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,443 (-5%) | 5mo | $178,000 | $123 | 84 |
| 5319 Wexford Dr | 0.03mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,573 (+4%) | 10mo | $129,900 | $83 | 79 |
| 12688 Castle Hill Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,599 (+6%) | 0mo | $205,000 | $128 | 74 |
| 5544 Goodland Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,515 (-0%) | 1mo | $230,000 | $152 | 66 |
| 4405 Noble Cane Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,450 (-4%) | 3mo | $210,000 | $145 | 65 |
| 12757 Canterbury Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,672 (+10%) | 4mo | $214,000 | $128 | 64 |
| 4301 Blue Ribbon Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,446 (-5%) | 1mo | $219,900 | $152 | 62 |
| 4342 Noble Cane Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,357 (-10%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $136 | 54 |
| 5577 Mapleton Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (+3%) | 10mo | $142,000 | $91 | 52 |
| 5356 Goodland Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,313 (-13%) | 3mo | $205,000 | $156 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-23,347
- Equity at exit
- $25,034
- IRR
- -5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-15,431
- Equity at exit
- $14,517
Cash invested: $47,012 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70814
- Home prices YoY
- -19.5%
- Active inventory
- 69
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,447 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$880
- Tax from tax record
- −$132 /mo · $1,584/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$304
- Net cashflow
- $61
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $156 | -5% $109 | +0% $61 | +5% $13 | +10% $-34 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-53 | -5% $4 | +0% $61 | +5% $118 | +10% $175 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $146 | -0.5pp $104 | base $61 | +0.5pp $18 | +1.0pp $-27 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,975
- Closing costs
- $5,037
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13548 E Shamrock Ave Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $1,600 | $1.16 | 16d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 15855 Sunderland Ave Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $900 | $0.78 | 45d | 1 | 0.63mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-21$167,900 Active 448-char remark
Show marketing remark (448 chars)
3BR/2BA brick home sits on nice size lot in Shamrock Gardens! New Roof! Light and bright kitchen/den area features ceramic tile flooring throughout. Kitchen cabinets have been freshly painted and have new stainless range/oven and dishwasher. Living/Dining room off foyer has wood laminate floors. Primary bedroom has ensuite bath with shower/tub combo. Located in flood zone X and did not flood in 2016. Great opportunity for first time homebuyers!
-
2026-05-08$167,900 Active
-
2003-01-21soldstatus
-
2002-10-22$92,000
-
2002-10-22$92,000
-
2002-05-22soldstatus
-
2002-05-15$58,000
-
2002-05-15$58,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,584 · $132/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,584 · $132/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,369
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,405
- − Property taxes
- −$1,584
- − Insurance
- −$840
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,390
- − Management
- −$1,390
- − Depreciation
- −$4,884
- Taxable loss
- −$2,123
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$509
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,242/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Baton Rouge Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200540
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -31.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,263
- Composite
- 24.14/100
- National rank
- #7745
- State rank
- #47 of 98 in LA
Livability — Monticello
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #177
- US rank
- #14662
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Monticello, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,424
Population outlook (East Baton Rouge County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 464,810 people
- By 2030
- 472,137 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 480,243 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 484,422 · +4.2%
- By 2075
- 492,069 · +5.9%
- By 2100
- 476,347 · +2.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 83% Hispanic / Latino 8% White 7% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · East Baton Rouge
- 2024 margin
- D (+11.1) · D 54.5% · R 43.4% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.9pp toward D · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: 11.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+11.1 2020: D+13.1 2016: D+9.2 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.79%
- Current HPI
- 210.2213
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+189.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $167,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $167,900 GBRMLS
- 2003-01-21 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2002-10-22 Listed $92,000 GBRMLS
- 2002-10-22 Listed $92,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2002-05-22 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2002-05-15 Listed $58,000 GBRMLS
- 2002-05-15 Listed $58,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+17.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,584 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…