252 Bastrop St · Angleton, TX
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 252 Bastrop Street, a beautiful 3/2 with 1,677 sqft of living space. Features a spacious layout, large living area, and a generous lot with great potential. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and major roads—ideal for first-time buyers or investors. Give us a call today!
Key facts
- Listed 68 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $121 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $169k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.0% in Angleton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#171 in TX, #4,520 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Angleton ISD (suburban): math 36% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #375 of 826 in TX (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 921 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,960 units permitted in Brazoria County in 2024 (593 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brazoria County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.89%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $234,999
- List price
- $179,900
- Delta
- -23.45%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108 Houston St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,636 (-2%) | 5mo | $180,000 | $110 | 73 |
| 8 Robin Ct | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,720 (+3%) | 3mo | $285,990 | $166 | 56 |
| 13 Robin Ct | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,748 (+4%) | 4mo | $284,127 | $163 | 54 |
| 15 Robin Ct | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,819 (+8%) | 3mo | $303,990 | $167 | 54 |
| 9 Robin Ct | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,780 (+6%) | 6mo | $269,490 | $151 | 50 |
| 3 Robin Ct | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,780 (+6%) | 6mo | $264,490 | $149 | 48 |
| 4 Robin Ct | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,522 (-9%) | 5mo | $270,990 | $178 | 48 |
| 515 Robin St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,522 (-9%) | 6mo | $264,990 | $174 | 46 |
| 336 Amy St | 0.71mi | 3/2.5 | 1,858 (+11%) | 4mo | $234,990 | $126 | 44 |
| 523 Robin St | 0.70mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,831 (+9%) | 3mo | $269,990 | $147 | 42 |
| 342 Amy St | 0.69mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,831 (+9%) | 4mo | $279,225 | $152 | 42 |
| 513 Robin St | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,900 (+13%) | 2mo | $309,990 | $163 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-21,327
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- -2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-8,208
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77515
- Home prices YoY
- -5.1%
- Active inventory
- 921
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,882 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$347 /mo · $4,162/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$395
- Net cashflow
- $121
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 152 Bastrop St Angleton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1639 | $1,745 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 3 Dallas Ct #1 Angleton, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1550 | $1,450 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 128 Dallas St Angleton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1390 | $1,900 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1405 Northview Dr Angleton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1172 | $2,225 | $1.90 | 2d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 513 Robin St Angleton, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1900 | $2,495 | $1.31 | 22d | 1 | 0.72mi |
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,900 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $179,900 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $179,900 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $179,900 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $179,900 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $179,900 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $179,900 Active 58 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $179,900 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $179,900 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $179,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $179,900 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $179,900 Active 51 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $179,900 Active 50 DOM
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2026-04-11$179,900 Active 298-char remark
Show marketing remark (298 chars)
Welcome to 252 Bastrop Street, a beautiful 3/2 with 1,677 sqft of living space. Features a spacious layout, large living area, and a generous lot with great potential. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and major roads—ideal for first-time buyers or investors. Give us a call today!
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2026-03-26historical
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2026-02-06$179,900 Active
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2023-12-29historical
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2023-09-13price $225,000
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2023-08-16$235,000 Active
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2022-07-25soldstatus
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2022-07-22soldstatus Sold
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2022-06-29status Pending
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2022-06-18status Option Pending
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2022-06-14$199,000 Active
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2015-05-04soldstatus
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2015-05-04soldstatus
-
2015-05-01historical
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2015-04-30soldstatus Sold
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2015-04-30soldstatus
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2015-03-30status Pending
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2015-03-18status Option Pending
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2015-03-10$129,000 Active
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2015-03-10$129,000
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2007-04-23soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,162 · $347/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,162 · $347/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,579
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$4,162
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,806
- − Management
- −$1,806
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable loss
- −$1,406
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$337
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,792/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Angleton ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4808310
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,670
- Composite
- 35.01/100
- National rank
- #5046
- State rank
- #375 of 826 in TX
Livability — Angleton
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #171
- US rank
- #4520
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Angleton, TX
- County
- Brazoria County · 374,982 people
- City population
- 34,088
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,088
- Household income
- $88,787
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 785.0
Population outlook (Brazoria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,414 people
- By 2030
- 457,585 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 532,232 · +26.6%
- By 2050
- 605,399 · +44.0%
- By 2075
- 779,358 · +85.4%
- By 2100
- 883,759 · +110.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 18% Black 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 28%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 20% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Brazoria
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.7) · D 39.5% · R 59.2% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.9pp toward D · 2008: -29.6pp · 2024: -19.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.7 2020: R+18.2 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+29.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -15.59%
- Current HPI
- 288.7286
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+39.5% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-11 Listed $179,900 HARMLS
- 2026-03-26 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-02-06 Listed $179,900 HARMLS
- 2023-12-29 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2023-09-13 Price Changed $225,000 HARMLS
- 2023-08-16 Listed $235,000 HARMLS
- 2022-07-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-07-22 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2022-06-29 Pending — HARMLS
- 2022-06-18 Pending — HARMLS
- 2022-06-14 Listed $199,000 HARMLS
- 2015-05-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2015-05-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2015-05-01 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2015-04-30 Sold (MLS) — BCBR
- 2015-04-30 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2015-03-30 Pending — HARMLS
- 2015-03-18 Pending — HARMLS
- 2015-03-10 Listed $129,000 HARMLS
- 2015-03-10 Listed $129,000 BCBR
- 2007-04-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $4,162 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…