1625 Hudson Ave · Manhattan, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.1/30.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$187,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Unfinished basement
- Large backyard
- Poured foundation
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $187k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $369 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $187k).
- Recommended offer: $184k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#6 in KS, #979 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-.
- Manhattan-Ogden (urban): math 39% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #26 of 169 in KS (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 190 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 132 units permitted in Riley County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riley County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $187k implies a 168% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.45%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-6,874
- Equity at exit
- $27,882
- IRR
- 6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $24,035
- Equity at exit
- $16,168
Cash invested: $52,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 66503
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 190
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,016 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$981
- Tax from tax record
- −$165 /mo · $1,981/yr
- Insurance
- −$78
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$423
- Net cashflow
- $369
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $475 | -5% $422 | +0% $369 | +5% $316 | +10% $263 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $209 | -5% $289 | +0% $369 | +5% $448 | +10% $528 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $463 | -0.5pp $416 | base $369 | +0.5pp $320 | +1.0pp $271 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,750
- Closing costs
- $5,610
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $187,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $187,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $187,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $187,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $187,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $187,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $187,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $187,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $187,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $187,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $187,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $187,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $187,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $187,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $187,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $187,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $187,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-26$187,000 Active
-
2020-06-01soldstatus
-
1997-07-01soldstatus $69,900
-
1996-01-01soldstatus $55,500
-
1991-07-01soldstatus $46,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,981 · $165/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,637 · $220/mo
- Expected delta
- +$656/yr (+$55/mo · 33.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,186
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,475
- − Property taxes
- −$1,981
- − Insurance
- −$935
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,935
- − Management
- −$1,935
- − Depreciation
- −$5,440
- Taxable income
- $1,486
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$357
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,067/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manhattan-Ogden
- NCES district ID
- 2009180
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,001
- Composite
- 35.97/100
- National rank
- #4795
- State rank
- #26 of 169 in KS
Livability — Manhattan
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #979
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Manhattan, KS
- County
- Riley County · 62,662 people
- City population
- 60,966
- Metro
- Manhattan, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,273
- Household income
- $97,846
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 421.0
Population outlook (Riley County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 83,656 people
- By 2030
- 89,075 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 99,100 · +18.5%
- By 2050
- 109,146 · +30.5%
- By 2075
- 134,178 · +60.4%
- By 2100
- 153,653 · +83.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Black 5% Asian 5% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 2% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riley
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.6% · R 47.8% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.8pp toward D · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: 1.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.8 2020: D+3.2 2016: R+4.5 2012: R+12.7 2008: R+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -214.01%
- Current HPI
- 141.8067
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.98%
- Metro
- Manhattan, KS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+306.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $187,000 FSBO.com
- 2020-06-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1997-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $69,900 Public Records
- 1996-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $55,500 Public Records
- 1991-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,981 · +10.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…