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227 W 16th Pl
B- Composite 68.41
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

227 W 16th Pl · Chicago Heights, IL 60411
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,192 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 42 Days on market
Built 1910

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

ROOMY 4 BDRM/2 BATH 2-STORY W/DET'D GARAGE BEING SOLD AS IS. PROOF OF FUNDS OR LETTER FROM BANK/MTG COMPANY REQUESTED. ADDENDUMS REQ'D-ACCESS VIA MLS. SELLER RESERVES RIGHT TO NEGOTIATE OWNER OCCUPANT OR PUBLIC ENTITY OFFERS FOR FIRST 15 DAYS OF LISTING. THIS IS A FANNIE MAE HOMEPATH PROPERTY-ELIGIBLE FOR HOMEPATH AND HOMEPATH RENO FINANCING-FOR AS LITTLE AT 3% DOWN.

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1910
  • Listed 42 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property currently not leased; Possession at closing
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached owned garage (2 garage spaces, 2 total parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; 2 stories; Fee simple ownership; Built over 100 years ago; Built before 1978
  • Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Lot less than 0.25 acre; Lot dimensions: 5720 (source: county records)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (main level, 14 x 12)
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total; Master bedroom (second level, 12 x 11); Bedroom 2 (second level, 12 x 11); Bedroom 3 (second level, 12 x 9); Bedroom 4 (second level, 12 x 8)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: 8 total rooms; Unfinished full basement; Bonus room (third level, 24 x 24); Mud room (main level, 22 x 7)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room (basement, 10 x 10)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $898 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $112k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.7% vs local median 6.4% in Chicago Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#339 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Bloom Twp Hsd 206 (suburban): math 8% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #591 of 620 in IL (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 222 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.5% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask is 135% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $28k; list at $115k implies a 318% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $111,550 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.86%
Cap rate
15.66%
Cash-on-cash
33.46%
DSCR
2.49
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$263,040
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
210 W 16th Pl 0.04mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,016 (-8%) 1mo $310,900 $154 75
260 W 15th Pl 0.13mi 4/2.0 1,886 (-14%) 3mo $190,556 $101 68
208 Country Club Rd 0.48mi 4/3.0 2,180 (-0%) 11mo $300,000 $138 64
213 Country Club Rd 0.52mi 4/2.5 2,374 (+8%) 1mo $350,000 $147 59
119 W 16th Pl 0.26mi 5/1.5 (+1) 2,038 (-7%) 15mo $245,000 $120 57
141 W 13th St 0.49mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,143 (-2%) 10mo $234,900 $110 56
1305 Campbell Ave 0.42mi 4/2.0 1,995 (-9%) 14mo $220,000 $110 54
1241 Franklin Ave 0.47mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,300 (+5%) 13mo $283,000 $123 54
351 16th Pl 0.26mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,864 (-15%) 3mo $120,000 $64 51
1328 Otto Blvd 0.74mi 4/3.0 2,400 (+10%) 1mo $285,000 $119 45
36 Forest Ave 0.73mi 4/1.5 2,076 (-5%) 14mo $55,000 $26 44
61 W Main St 0.52mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,900 (-13%) 15mo $270,000 $142 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.48% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.6%
Equity multiple
2.44×
Total profit
$46,340
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
41.5%
Equity multiple
5.61×
Total profit
$148,333
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60411

Home prices YoY
-33.9%
Rents YoY
6.5%
Active inventory
222
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,142 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax est. 1.5%
$144 /mo · $1,725/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$450
Net cashflow
$898

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,006
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 53%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1665 Buena Vista Ave Unit 3 Chicago Heights, IL 4.0 1.0 1700 $1,800 $1.06 18d 1 0.28mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $115,000 Active 42 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $115,000 Active 41 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $115,000 Active 40 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    price $115,000 Active 39 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $130,000 Active 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $130,000 Active 37 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $130,000 Active 36 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $130,000 Active 33 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $130,000 Active 32 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $130,000 Active 31 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $130,000 Active 28 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $130,000 Active 27 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $130,000 Active 26 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $130,000 Active 25 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $130,000 Active 24 DOM
  16. 2013-08-23
    soldstatus $27,500 Closed Sale 369-char remark
    Show marketing remark (369 chars)

    ROOMY 4 BDRM/2 BATH 2-STORY W/DET'D GARAGE BEING SOLD AS IS. PROOF OF FUNDS OR LETTER FROM BANK/MTG COMPANY REQUESTED. ADDENDUMS REQ'D-ACCESS VIA MLS. SELLER RESERVES RIGHT TO NEGOTIATE OWNER OCCUPANT OR PUBLIC ENTITY OFFERS FOR FIRST 15 DAYS OF LISTING. THIS IS A FANNIE MAE HOMEPATH PROPERTY-ELIGIBLE FOR HOMEPATH AND HOMEPATH RENO FINANCING-FOR AS LITTLE AT 3% DOWN.

  17. 2013-06-17
    status Pending 369-char remark
    Show marketing remark (369 chars)

    ROOMY 4 BDRM/2 BATH 2-STORY W/DET'D GARAGE BEING SOLD AS IS. PROOF OF FUNDS OR LETTER FROM BANK/MTG COMPANY REQUESTED. ADDENDUMS REQ'D-ACCESS VIA MLS. SELLER RESERVES RIGHT TO NEGOTIATE OWNER OCCUPANT OR PUBLIC ENTITY OFFERS FOR FIRST 15 DAYS OF LISTING. THIS IS A FANNIE MAE HOMEPATH PROPERTY-ELIGIBLE FOR HOMEPATH AND HOMEPATH RENO FINANCING-FOR AS LITTLE AT 3% DOWN.

  18. 2013-05-31
    price $32,000 Price Change 369-char remark
    Show marketing remark (369 chars)

    ROOMY 4 BDRM/2 BATH 2-STORY W/DET'D GARAGE BEING SOLD AS IS. PROOF OF FUNDS OR LETTER FROM BANK/MTG COMPANY REQUESTED. ADDENDUMS REQ'D-ACCESS VIA MLS. SELLER RESERVES RIGHT TO NEGOTIATE OWNER OCCUPANT OR PUBLIC ENTITY OFFERS FOR FIRST 15 DAYS OF LISTING. THIS IS A FANNIE MAE HOMEPATH PROPERTY-ELIGIBLE FOR HOMEPATH AND HOMEPATH RENO FINANCING-FOR AS LITTLE AT 3% DOWN.

  19. 2013-04-26
    price $36,500 Price Change 369-char remark
    Show marketing remark (369 chars)

    ROOMY 4 BDRM/2 BATH 2-STORY W/DET'D GARAGE BEING SOLD AS IS. PROOF OF FUNDS OR LETTER FROM BANK/MTG COMPANY REQUESTED. ADDENDUMS REQ'D-ACCESS VIA MLS. SELLER RESERVES RIGHT TO NEGOTIATE OWNER OCCUPANT OR PUBLIC ENTITY OFFERS FOR FIRST 15 DAYS OF LISTING. THIS IS A FANNIE MAE HOMEPATH PROPERTY-ELIGIBLE FOR HOMEPATH AND HOMEPATH RENO FINANCING-FOR AS LITTLE AT 3% DOWN.

  20. 2013-03-15
    price $42,900 Price Change 369-char remark
    Show marketing remark (369 chars)

    ROOMY 4 BDRM/2 BATH 2-STORY W/DET'D GARAGE BEING SOLD AS IS. PROOF OF FUNDS OR LETTER FROM BANK/MTG COMPANY REQUESTED. ADDENDUMS REQ'D-ACCESS VIA MLS. SELLER RESERVES RIGHT TO NEGOTIATE OWNER OCCUPANT OR PUBLIC ENTITY OFFERS FOR FIRST 15 DAYS OF LISTING. THIS IS A FANNIE MAE HOMEPATH PROPERTY-ELIGIBLE FOR HOMEPATH AND HOMEPATH RENO FINANCING-FOR AS LITTLE AT 3% DOWN.

  21. 2013-02-13
    listed $48,900 New 369-char remark
    Show marketing remark (369 chars)

    ROOMY 4 BDRM/2 BATH 2-STORY W/DET'D GARAGE BEING SOLD AS IS. PROOF OF FUNDS OR LETTER FROM BANK/MTG COMPANY REQUESTED. ADDENDUMS REQ'D-ACCESS VIA MLS. SELLER RESERVES RIGHT TO NEGOTIATE OWNER OCCUPANT OR PUBLIC ENTITY OFFERS FOR FIRST 15 DAYS OF LISTING. THIS IS A FANNIE MAE HOMEPATH PROPERTY-ELIGIBLE FOR HOMEPATH AND HOMEPATH RENO FINANCING-FOR AS LITTLE AT 3% DOWN.

  22. 2013-01-11
    historical
  23. 2012-02-29
    listed New
  24. 1997-01-21
    soldstatus $94,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,709
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$1,725
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,057
− Management
−$2,057
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$9,508
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,282
After-tax cash flow
$8,491/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bloom Twp Hsd 206
NCES district ID
1706420
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
9% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$39,795
Composite
7.4/100
National rank
#9952
State rank
#591 of 620 in IL

Livability — Chicago Heights

Score
71/100
State rank
#339
US rank
#6836

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Chicago Heights, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
City population
52,175
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
52,175
Household income
$62,073
Rent vs Own
34.8% rent · 65.2% own
Severe rent burden
1714.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Black 49% Hispanic / Latino 26% White 19% Two or more races 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 22% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 21% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.75%
Current HPI
212.4058
Rent YoY
▲ 6.48%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-71.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2013-08-23 Sold (MLS) $27,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-06-17 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-05-31 Price Changed $32,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-04-26 Price Changed $36,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-03-15 Price Changed $42,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-02-13 Listed $48,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-01-11 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-02-29 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1997-01-21 Sold (Public Records) $94,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2023): $5,757 · -5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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