103 Lake Rd · Perry, GA 31047

$124,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,089 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market

Built 1978 1.46 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +3.9/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Investors wanted for this large home with bonus building which used to be a dog grooming shop. This home has been cleaned out and ready for a straightforward rehab. . Make your offer today! Perfect for fix & flip investors looking to increase the value. It could be a nice addition to a buy- & -hold portfolio. Sold As-Is. NO BLIND OFFERS. Must use seller’s closing attorney (Sherman & Phalen, LLC)

Key facts

• 1.46 acre lot
• Built 1978

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Level driveway with open parking
• Utilities: Public water; Sewer: other; 110-volt electric; Cable available; Electricity available; Phone available; Water available
• Home design: One-level home
• Construction: Brick 4 sides; Asbestos shingle roof; Combination foundation; Built/updated as a fixer property
• Exterior features: Level driveway; Open parking available; Asphalt road frontage on a city street; View may be obscured by bushes (property at end of Lake Rd)

Interior

• Kitchen: Kitchen island; Stone counters; Cabinets (other)
• Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms; Primary bedroom on the main level
• Flooring: Other flooring
• Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Primary bath with double vanity and tub/shower combo; Two main-level bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
• Interior features: One fireplace in the living room; No common walls; Bonus room; Crawl space basement; Property listed as fixer
• Laundry & utility: Laundry in hall

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $849 ($10k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
• Cap rate 14.4% vs local median 4.5% in Perry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#149 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Houston County (urban): math 43% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #23 of 174 in GA (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Matthew Arthur Elementary School (math 72% / reading 71%, grade A-, #47 of 1,228 statewide, top 4%, 873 students, 29% FRL); Perry Middle School (math 53% / reading 51%, grade C+, #60 of 470 statewide, top 13%, 1,070 students, 51% FRL); Veterans High School (math 33% / reading 32%, grade F, #104 of 424 statewide, top 25%, 1,914 students, 30% FRL).
• Market conditions: 253 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,545 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (336 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Houston County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $124,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.69% ✓
• Cap rate: 14.45%
• Cash-on-cash: 29.12%
• DSCR: 2.30
• GRM: 4.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 23.5%
• Equity multiple: 1.97×
• Total profit: $33,807
• Equity at exit: $18,623

10-year hold

• IRR: 31.4%
• Equity multiple: 3.83×
• Total profit: $99,039
• Equity at exit: $10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Georgia: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 31047

• Home prices YoY: -14.4%
• Active inventory: 253
• Price-to-rent: 4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,106 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$655
• Tax from tax record: −$108 /mo · $1,301/yr
• Insurance: −$52
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$442
• Net cashflow: $849

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,032

Max offer price $124,900

Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $31,225
• Closing costs: $3,747
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 5 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
107 Linda Sue Ln Kathleen, GA	3.0	2.0	1620	$1,600	$0.99	21d	1	0.45mi
114 Linda Sue Ln Kathleen, GA	4.0	2.0	1976	$1,700	$0.86	21d	1	0.50mi
307 Willowbrook Ln Kathleen, GA	3.0	2.0	1675	$2,100	$1.25	43d	1	1.45mi
307 Willowbrook Ln Kathleen, GA	3.0	2.0	1675	$2,150	$1.28	21d	1	1.45mi
531 Bristleleaf Path , GA	3.0	2.0	1620	$2,250	$1.39	21d	1	1.47mi

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-06-18
   remarks 404-char remark
2. 2026-06-18
   listed $124,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,301 · $108/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,301 · $108/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $25,276
• − Mortgage interest: −$6,996
• − Property taxes: −$1,301
• − Insurance: −$624
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,022
• − Management: −$2,022
• − Depreciation: −$3,633
• Taxable income: $8,676
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,082
• After-tax cash flow: $8,100/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Houston County
• NCES district ID: 1302880
• Math proficiency: 43% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 46% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $54,823
• Composite: 38.68/100
• National rank: #4144
• State rank: #23 of 174 in GA

Livability — Perry

• Score: 68/100
• State rank: #149
• US rank: #9757

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Houston County · 157,321 people
• City population: 22,953
• Metro: Warner Robins, GA
• Population (ZIP): 20,203
• Household income: $117,332
• Rent vs Own: 14.7% rent · 85.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 11.0

Population outlook (Houston County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 169,502 people
• By 2030: 178,486 · +5.3%
• By 2040: 194,642 · +14.8%
• By 2050: 207,119 · +22.2%
• By 2075: 231,480 · +36.6%
• By 2100: 235,034 · +38.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority White (65%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 65% Black 18% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3% Cuban 2%
• Common ancestry: Italian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Korean 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Houston

• 2024 margin: R (+11.3) · D 44.0% · R 55.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: +8.9pp toward D · 2008: -20.2pp · 2024: -11.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+11.3 2020: R+12.4 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+20.7 2008: R+20.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -36.77%
• Current HPI: 218.1333
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Warner Robins, GA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.66%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Paper / Packaging	2	$29B
▸Retail	1	$160B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$91B
▸Airlines	1	$62B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$47B
▸Utilities	1	$25B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-06-18 Listed $124,900 FMLS

Property tax history

+7.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,301 · +7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.