603 Clarks Cv · Van Horn, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.8/30.0
- Appreciation +9.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Tucked away at the end of a cul-de-sac, this 3/2 property sits on over a third of an acre in El Grande Estates. Featuring an open kitchen layout, walk-in shower, no carpet, and a recently added mini-split system for efficient comfort year-round. Outside, the generous lot provides a blank canvas for the next owner to create their ideal outdoor space!
Key facts
- Generous lot
- Mini-split system
- Walk-in shower
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $71 ($853/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $105k (4.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $100k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,070 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Culberson County-Allamoore ISD (rural): math 20% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #1,070 of 1,141 in TX (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 25 units permitted in Culberson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (8.5% local appreciation)).
- Culberson County population projected at -34% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (8.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 5→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.77%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.46% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.73×
- Total profit
- $53,136
- Equity at exit
- $87,058
- IRR
- 20.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.90×
- Total profit
- $151,060
- Equity at exit
- $176,246
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79855
- Home prices YoY
- 7.6%
- Active inventory
- 40
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,052 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$221
- Net cashflow
- $71
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $110,000 Active 100 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $110,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $110,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $110,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-03-11$110,000 Active 351-char remark
Show marketing remark (351 chars)
Tucked away at the end of a cul-de-sac, this 3/2 property sits on over a third of an acre in El Grande Estates. Featuring an open kitchen layout, walk-in shower, no carpet, and a recently added mini-split system for efficient comfort year-round. Outside, the generous lot provides a blank canvas for the next owner to create their ideal outdoor space!
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2004-12-22soldstatus
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2004-08-03soldstatus
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2003-10-09soldstatus
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2002-08-08soldstatus
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2002-04-03soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 5 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,627
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,650
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,010
- − Management
- −$1,010
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable loss
- −$955
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$229
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,082/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Culberson County-Allamoore ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4815990
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,898
- Composite
- 24.22/100
- National rank
- #13136
- State rank
- #1070 of 1141 in TX
Livability — Van Horn
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #1070
- US rank
- #18971
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Van Horn, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,159
Population outlook (Culberson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,952 people
- By 2030
- 1,793 · -8.1%
- By 2040
- 1,518 · -22.2%
- By 2050
- 1,279 · -34.5%
- By 2075
- 861 · -55.9%
- By 2100
- 603 · -69.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 87% Two or more races 44% White 9% Native American 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 80% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 36% English-only · Spanish 64% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Culberson
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.9) · D 40.9% · R 57.8% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -47.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.0pp · 2024: -16.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.9 2020: D+2.7 2016: D+22.8 2012: D+31.1 2008: D+31.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.46%
- Current HPI
- 119.7418
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-11 Listed $110,000 ODMLS
- 2004-12-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2004-08-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2003-10-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2002-08-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2002-04-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $188 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…