112 Riverside Ave · Coxsackie, NY
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.23%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$214,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
2 bedroom village home on 6.10 acres with Hudson River Views
Key facts
- 6.1 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1948
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $214k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $862 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $214k).
- Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 3.2% in Coxsackie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#310 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Coxsackie-Athens Central School District (town): math 43% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #384 of 590 in NY (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 97 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $23k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Greene County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $60k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 8 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $136k (39%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.26%
- DSCR
- 1.77
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $349,485
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112 Riverside Ave | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 1,013 (0%) | 19mo | $349,000 | $345 | 84 |
| 53 Van Dyck St St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,156 (+14%) | 17mo | $317,000 | $274 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.86×
- Total profit
- $171,415
- Equity at exit
- $192,788
- IRR
- 31.9%
- Equity multiple
- 8.70×
- Total profit
- $461,611
- Equity at exit
- $415,755
Cash invested: $59,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12051
- Home prices YoY
- 17.7%
- Active inventory
- 48
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,850 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,122
- Tax from tax record
- −$178 /mo · $2,142/yr
- Insurance
- −$89
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$598
- Net cashflow
- $862
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,500
- Closing costs
- $6,420
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37 Van Dyck St Coxsackie, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $2,850 | $2.07 | 14d | 1 | 0.31mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2024-11-12soldstatus $349,000
-
2024-08-19$349,900
-
2023-03-29status Pending
-
2022-02-15historical
-
2020-06-30soldstatus $208,000
-
2020-03-21$214,000
-
2020-03-21$214,000
-
2019-11-22historical
-
2019-06-21$209,900
-
2018-12-25historical
-
2018-06-25$224,900
-
2017-10-31historical
-
2016-11-22$239,000
-
2015-10-24$259,000
-
2015-10-24$239,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,142 · $178/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,879 · $240/mo
- Expected delta
- +$737/yr (+$61/mo · 34.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 23% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,987
- − Property taxes
- −$2,142
- − Insurance
- −$1,070
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,736
- − Management
- −$2,736
- − Depreciation
- −$6,225
- Taxable income
- $7,303
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,753
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,587/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Coxsackie-Athens Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3608490
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 19.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,006
- Composite
- 42.8/100
- National rank
- #3143
- State rank
- #384 of 590 in NY
Livability — Coxsackie
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #310
- US rank
- #5149
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Coxsackie, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,706
Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,963 people
- By 2030
- 43,126 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 38,756 · -13.8%
- By 2050
- 34,913 · -22.4%
- By 2075
- 28,156 · -37.4%
- By 2100
- 22,296 · -50.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 19% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Greene
- 2024 margin
- R (+17.0) · D 41.5% · R 58.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.1pp toward R · 2008: -9.9pp · 2024: -17.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+17.0 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+11.1 2008: R+9.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 55.86%
- Current HPI
- 371.238
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+34.7% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2024-11-12 Sold (MLS) $349,000 HVCRMLS
- 2024-08-19 Listed $349,900 HVCRMLS
- 2023-03-29 Pending — Global MLS
- 2022-02-15 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2020-06-30 Sold (MLS) $208,000 HVCRMLS
- 2020-03-21 Listed $214,000 HVCRMLS
- 2020-03-21 Listed $214,000 Global MLS
- 2019-11-22 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2019-06-21 Listed $209,900 Global MLS
- 2018-12-25 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2018-06-25 Listed $224,900 Global MLS
- 2017-10-31 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2016-11-22 Listed $239,000 HVCRMLS
- 2015-10-24 Listed $239,000 Global MLS
- 2015-10-24 Listed $259,000 HVCRMLS
Property tax history
-8.7%/yrLatest (2021): $2,142 · -50.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…