5513 Aberdeen Pl · Waldorf, MD 20695

$374,990

2 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,862 sqft · Townhouse public records · 6 Days on market

Built 2025 Good condition 1,786 sqft lot $201/sqft · 8% below area Est $400k · 6% under $84/mo HOA · 3% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +11.1/30.0
• ARV discount +10.3/15.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• 1% rule +3.5/10.0
• DSCR +3.2/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.3/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

This three-story home features a first-floor flex space ready to be transformed off the entrance. Upstairs is an open concept living room/dining room with a kitchen and breakfast room, along with an optional deck. The top floor features the owner's suite with vaulted ceilings and an extra bedroom.

Key facts

• Stone front
• Vinyl siding
• Center island

Tags

• STONE FRONT
• VINYL SIDING
• PRIVATE HOME OFFICE
• OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUT
• STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES
• CENTER ISLAND

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $375k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-154 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $353k (6.0% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $319k (14.9% below list).
• Recommended offer: $319k (14.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.8% in Waldorf — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#141 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D-, amenities F.
• Charles County Public Schools (suburban): math 13% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #14 of 24 in MD (top 58%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: 245 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,542 units permitted in Charles County in 2024 (516 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Charles County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Recommended offer $319,148 (14.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.85% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.80%
• Cash-on-cash: -1.76%
• DSCR: 0.92
• GRM: 9.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $399,990
• List price: $374,990
• Delta: -6.25%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
5515 Aberdeen Pl	0.00mi	2/3.0	1,837 (-1%)	1mo	$369,990	$201	97
5527 Aberdeen Pl	0.05mi	3/3.0 (+1)	1,880 (+1%)	1mo	$399,990	$213	91
5580 Ludlow Pl	0.17mi	2/3.5	1,886 (+1%)	1mo	$377,990	$200	87
5556 Marksburg Pl	0.22mi	2/3.5	1,829 (-2%)	1mo	$372,990	$204	84
5640 Ludlow Pl	0.27mi	2/3.5	1,871 (+0%)	1mo	$379,990	$203	84
5627 Ludlow Pl	0.25mi	2/3.5	1,829 (-2%)	1mo	$379,990	$208	83
5558 Marksburg Pl	0.22mi	3/3.5 (+1)	1,871 (+0%)	1mo	$379,990	$203	81
5511 Aberdeen Pl	0.00mi	3/0.5 (+1)	1,896 (+2%)	1mo	$399,990	$211	81
5616 Ludlow Pl	0.26mi	3/3.5 (+1)	1,871 (+0%)	1mo	$379,990	$203	79
5639 Ludlow Pl	0.25mi	3/3.5 (+1)	1,886 (+1%)	1mo	$379,990	$201	79
5638 Ludlow Pl	0.27mi	3/3.5 (+1)	1,886 (+1%)	1mo	$376,990	$200	78
10971 Barnard Pl	0.23mi	3/2.5 (+1)	2,117 (+14%)	1mo	$417,990	$197	59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -19.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.33×
• Total profit: $-70,486
• Equity at exit: $55,912

10-year hold

• IRR: -11.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.30×
• Total profit: $-73,619
• Equity at exit: $32,422

Cash invested: $104,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 27 Tenant-Leaning
• State Maryland: 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 20695

• Home prices YoY: -5.3%
• Active inventory: 245
• Price-to-rent: 9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,191 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,966
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$469 /mo · $5,625/yr
• Insurance: −$156
• HOA: −$84
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$670
• Net cashflow: $-154

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,387

Max offer price $352,677

Occupancy floor 100%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $93,748
• Closing costs: $11,250
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 10 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
5527 Aberdeen Pl White Plains, MD	3.0	4.0	1880	$3,000	$1.60	12d	1	0.07mi
10933 Drummond Pl Unit 10933 White Plains, MD	3.0	3.0	2300	$3,500	$1.52	5d	1	0.17mi
10939 Drummond Pl White Plains, MD	3.0	2.5	2192	$3,500	$1.60	24d	1	0.17mi
10893 Drummond Pl White Plains, MD	3.0	2.5	2192	$3,250	$1.48	22d	1	0.19mi
5692 Glencoe Pl White Plains, MD	3.0	2.5	1942	$3,332	$1.72	1d	2	0.39mi
11180 Conway Pl White Plains, MD	3.0	2.5	1765	$3,258	$1.85	5d	7	0.58mi
4165 Brodie Pl White Plains, MD	3.0	3.5	2544	$3,000	$1.18	17d	1	0.65mi
3908 Glacier Bay Pl White Plains, MD	3.0	2.5	2388	$3,200	$1.34	24d	1	0.86mi
5754 Frederick Douglas Pl White Plains, MD	3.0	3.5	2220	$3,500	$1.58	43d	1	1.22mi
10263 Pine Hill Pl La Plata, MD	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1041	$2,585	$2.48	1d	34	1.33mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $84 · $1,008/yr

Listing history 16 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $374,990 Active 6 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $374,990 Active 5 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $374,990 Active 4 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $374,990 Active 3 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   remarks 687-char remark
6. 2026-06-13
   days on marketlisting id $374,990 Active 1 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   pricedays on market $374,990 Active 59 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $376,890 Active 58 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $376,890 Active 57 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $376,890 Active 54 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $376,890 Active 53 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $376,890 Active 52 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $376,890 Active 51 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $376,890 Active 50 DOM
15. 2026-04-11
    listed $376,890 Active 298-char remark

    Show marketing remark (298 chars)

    This three-story home features a first-floor flex space ready to be transformed off the entrance. Upstairs is an open concept living room/dining room with a kitchen and breakfast room, along with an optional deck. The top floor features the owner's suite with vaulted ceilings and an extra bedroom.

16. 2026-01-08
    soldstatus $2,227,297

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $38,298
• − Mortgage interest: −$21,005
• − Property taxes: −$5,625
• − Insurance: −$1,875
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,064
• − Management: −$3,064
• − HOA: −$1,008
• − Depreciation: −$10,909
• Taxable loss: −$8,252
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,980
• After-tax cash flow: $130/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This three-story townhouse is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a cosmetic rehab level and requires minor maintenance. The highest-ROI updates include painting the exterior siding and replacing countertops with quartz or granite.

Value-add opportunities

• Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal
• Resale Replace countertops with quartz or granite — Improves aesthetics and durability
• Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and marketability

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal ↑
• Resale Replace countertops with quartz or granite — Improves aesthetics and durability ↑
• Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and marketability ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Charles County Public Schools
• NCES district ID: 2400270
• Math proficiency: 13% ▼ -19.00%
• Reading proficiency: 29% ▼ -13.00%
• Median HH income: $90,389
• Composite: 22.54/100
• National rank: #8087
• State rank: #14 of 24 in MD

Livability — Waldorf

• Score: 72/100
• State rank: #141
• US rank: #6083

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime D- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Waldorf, MD
• County: Charles County · 103,527 people
• City population: 103,527
• Metro: Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
• Population (ZIP): 16,407
• Household income: $141,959
• Rent vs Own: 12.8% rent · 87.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 311.0

Population outlook (Charles County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 176,616 people
• By 2030: 186,471 · +5.6%
• By 2040: 206,472 · +16.9%
• By 2050: 224,883 · +27.3%
• By 2075: 272,101 · +54.1%
• By 2100: 303,564 · +71.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 61% White 23% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 9% · Canada, South Korea
• Languages at home: 91% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Charles

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+40.7) · D 69.2% · R 28.5% · Other 2.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: +15.2pp toward D · 2008: 25.5pp · 2024: 40.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+40.7 2020: D+40.9 2016: D+30.2 2012: D+31.3 2008: D+25.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -12.63%
• Current HPI: 226.972
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.97%
• F500 in state: 12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Aerospace / Defense	1	$71B
▸Utilities	1	$25B
▸Hotels	1	$24B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$7B
▸Real Estate	1	$6B
▸Chemicals	1	$2B

Price history

-83.1% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-11 Listed $376,890 Zillow
• 2026-01-08 Sold (Public Records) $2,227,297 Public Records