137 Center Loop · Whitney, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.7/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$97,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
MOTIVATED SELLERS - Embrace the lake life in this charming 1-bedroom, 1-bathroom single-story home nestled in the quiet Cedar Crest subdivision of Whitney, TX. Spanning 900 square feet, this cozy detached lake house sits on an oversized level lot featuring a spacious layout with plenty of room for outdoor entertainment, gardening, or a future expansion. The interior offers a comfortable eat-in kitchen and a warm, inviting living space centered and a classic wood-burning fireplace. Perfect as a peaceful full-time residence, an affordable weekend getaway, or a high-potential vacation home retreat, this property boasts no HOA fees. Enjoy effortless water access with a short walk to the shores
Key facts
- Eat-in kitchen
- Oversized level lot
- Water access
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Multi-parcel property (multiple parcel IDs)
- Financial info: Selling terms: Cash or Conventional; No second mortgage reported
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Propane; Septic; Outside city limits utilities
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One story; Property is attached; Subdivision: Cedar Crest
- Construction: Concrete construction; Year built not specified
- Exterior features: Less than 0.5-acre lot; Water access: Whitney; Located outside city limits
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances included
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (Primary bedroom on main level)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Window cooling unit(s); Other heating type
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; One living area; One dining area; Total room count of 2
- Laundry & utility: No laundry appliances listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $97k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $355 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $97k).
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 3.0% in Whitney — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#282 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Whitney ISD (rural): math 42% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #378 of 826 in TX (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Whitney El (393 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 55% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 638 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 65 units permitted in Hill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $671 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hill County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.66%
- DSCR
- 1.70
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $6,881
- Equity at exit
- $14,463
- IRR
- 15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.29×
- Total profit
- $35,146
- Equity at exit
- $8,387
Cash invested: $27,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76692
- Home prices YoY
- -6.5%
- Active inventory
- 638
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,297 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$509
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$121 /mo · $1,455/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$272
- Net cashflow
- $355
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,250
- Closing costs
- $2,910
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 117 Beachview Loop Whitney, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $1,295 | $1.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 669 Fort Graham Whitney, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,300 | $1.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-17$97,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,568
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,434
- − Property taxes
- −$1,455
- − Insurance
- −$485
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,245
- − Management
- −$1,245
- − Depreciation
- −$2,822
- Taxable income
- $2,881
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$692
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,563/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Whitney ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4845720
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,861
- Composite
- 34.97/100
- National rank
- #5060
- State rank
- #378 of 826 in TX
Livability — Whitney
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #282
- US rank
- #6568
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,662
Population outlook (Hill County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 34,013 people
- By 2030
- 33,289 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 31,688 · -6.8%
- By 2050
- 30,100 · -11.5%
- By 2075
- 26,818 · -21.2%
- By 2100
- 22,918 · -32.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 4% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Hill
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.4) · D 17.5% · R 81.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.0pp toward R · 2008: -41.4pp · 2024: -64.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.4 2020: R+60.7 2016: R+58.4 2012: R+53.0 2008: R+41.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -17.72%
- Current HPI
- 252.9827
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-28.1% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $97,000 NTREIS
- 2026-05-14 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-05-13 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2026-05-01 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-01-07 Price Changed $97,000 NTREIS
- 2025-10-20 Price Changed $109,500 NTREIS
- 2025-09-02 Price Changed $114,500 NTREIS
- 2025-06-10 Price Changed $124,500 NTREIS
- 2025-05-18 Price Changed $129,900 NTREIS
- 2025-04-09 Listed $135,000 NTREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…