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14931 Flanders St
C+ Composite 60.29
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$64,000

14931 Flanders St · Detroit, MI 48205
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 690 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 463 Days on market
Built 1939 3,485 sqft lot $93/sqft · 31% above area Est $49k · 31% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Here is a tenant occupied Ranch on Detroit's East Side. Current rent is 1000 / month. Lease and ledger available upon request. No showings prior to accepted offer. Room sizes estimated. BATVAI.

Key facts

  • 3,485 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1939

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $64k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $344 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($985 rent vs $64k).
  • Recommended offer: $56k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 373 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $442 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 463 days — a 12% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $46k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $56,320 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 463 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.54%
Cap rate
12.74%
Cash-on-cash
23.03%
DSCR
2.02
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$48,836
List price
$64,000
Delta
31.05%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14981 Flanders St 0.04mi 2/1.0 755 (+9%) 1mo $30,005 $40 81
15001 Flanders St 0.06mi 2/1.0 769 (+11%) 6mo $80,000 $104 73
14531 Promenade St 0.42mi 2/1.0 741 (+7%) 8mo $19,000 $26 61
11974 Duchess St 0.60mi 2/1.0 724 (+5%) 5mo $37,000 $51 60
11330 Stockwell St 0.29mi 2/1.0 766 (+11%) 18mo $83,000 $108 53
11415 Stockwell St 0.21mi 2/2.0 768 (+11%) 20mo $80,000 $104 50
14915 Troester St 0.45mi 3/1.0 (+1) 755 (+9%) 14mo $78,000 $103 47
13066 Glenfield St 0.75mi 2/1.0 750 (+9%) 23mo $35,000 $47 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.1%
Equity multiple
1.55×
Total profit
$9,915
Equity at exit
$9,543
10-year hold
IRR
21.6%
Equity multiple
2.70×
Total profit
$30,418
Equity at exit
$5,534

Cash invested: $17,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48205

Home prices YoY
-28.1%
Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
373
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$985 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$336
Tax from tax record
$72 /mo · $867/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$207
Net cashflow
$344

Break-even live

Break-even rent $550
Max offer price $64,000
Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $380 -5% $362 +0% $344 +5% $326 +10% $308
Rent -10% $266 -5% $305 +0% $344 +5% $383 +10% $422
Rate -1.0pp $376 -0.5pp $360 base $344 +0.5pp $327 +1.0pp $310

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,000
Closing costs
$1,920
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14103 Rochelle Ave Unit 3 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 700 $800 $1.14 44d 1 0.68mi
12201 Morang Ave Unit 8 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 610 $875 $1.43 44d 1 0.85mi
9190 Hayes St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $850 $1.13 15d 1 0.91mi
11611 Morang Ave Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 709 $1,040 $1.47 44d 1 1.01mi
13067 Wade St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 660 $900 $1.36 5d 1 1.05mi
13503 E McNichols Rd Unit 7 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 750 $800 $1.07 18d 1 1.06mi
11529 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 720 $1,200 $1.67 13d 1 1.10mi
9140 Whittier Ave Unit 1 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 550 $700 $1.27 44d 1 1.26mi
16241 Seven Mile E Unit 4 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 650 $650 $1.00 44d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $64,000 Active 463 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $64,000 Active 462 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $64,000 Active 460 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $64,000 Active 458 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $64,000 Active 457 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $64,000 Active 454 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $64,000 Active 453 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $64,000 Active 452 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $64,000 Active 449 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $64,000 Active 448 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $64,000 Active 446 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $64,000 Active 445 DOM
  13. 2026-03-27
    status Active 193-char remark
    Show marketing remark (193 chars)

    Here is a tenant occupied Ranch on Detroit's East Side. Current rent is 1000 / month. Lease and ledger available upon request. No showings prior to accepted offer. Room sizes estimated. BATVAI.

  14. 2026-03-27
    historical 193-char remark
    Show marketing remark (193 chars)

    Here is a tenant occupied Ranch on Detroit's East Side. Current rent is 1000 / month. Lease and ledger available upon request. No showings prior to accepted offer. Room sizes estimated. BATVAI.

  15. 2026-03-19
    price $64,000 193-char remark
    Show marketing remark (193 chars)

    Here is a tenant occupied Ranch on Detroit's East Side. Current rent is 1000 / month. Lease and ledger available upon request. No showings prior to accepted offer. Room sizes estimated. BATVAI.

  16. 2026-03-18
    price $64,000 193-char remark
    Show marketing remark (193 chars)

    Here is a tenant occupied Ranch on Detroit's East Side. Current rent is 1000 / month. Lease and ledger available upon request. No showings prior to accepted offer. Room sizes estimated. BATVAI.

  17. 2025-04-22
    status Active 193-char remark
    Show marketing remark (193 chars)

    Here is a tenant occupied Ranch on Detroit's East Side. Current rent is 1000 / month. Lease and ledger available upon request. No showings prior to accepted offer. Room sizes estimated. BATVAI.

  18. 2025-04-21
    historical 193-char remark
    Show marketing remark (193 chars)

    Here is a tenant occupied Ranch on Detroit's East Side. Current rent is 1000 / month. Lease and ledger available upon request. No showings prior to accepted offer. Room sizes estimated. BATVAI.

  19. 2025-03-11
    listed $65,000 Active 193-char remark
    Show marketing remark (193 chars)

    Here is a tenant occupied Ranch on Detroit's East Side. Current rent is 1000 / month. Lease and ledger available upon request. No showings prior to accepted offer. Room sizes estimated. BATVAI.

  20. 2025-03-11
    listed $65,000 Active 193-char remark
    Show marketing remark (193 chars)

    Here is a tenant occupied Ranch on Detroit's East Side. Current rent is 1000 / month. Lease and ledger available upon request. No showings prior to accepted offer. Room sizes estimated. BATVAI.

  21. 2019-04-10
    soldstatus $45,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$867 · $72/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$926 · $77/mo
Expected delta
+$59/yr (+$5/mo · 6.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,825
− Mortgage interest
−$3,585
− Property taxes
−$867
− Insurance
−$320
− Repairs & maintenance
−$946
− Management
−$946
− Depreciation
−$1,862
Taxable income
$3,299
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$792
After-tax cash flow
$3,335/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
34,187
Household income
$38,966
Rent vs Own
49.4% rent · 50.6% own
Severe rent burden
2121.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (93%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 93% White 3% Two or more races 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -91.80%
Current HPI
235.0926
Rent YoY
▲ 1.33%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+39.4% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-27 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-27 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-19 Price Changed $64,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-18 Price Changed $64,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-04-22 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2025-04-21 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-03-11 Listed $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-03-11 Listed $65,000 REALCOMP
  • 2019-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $45,900 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $867 · -53.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…