12908 Grayfield St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming ranch-style home with great potential in a quiet, established neighborhood! This home offers a functional layout, spacious living areas, and an excellent opportunity to add your personal touches and updates. Conveniently located close to shopping, dining, and easy freeway access, making daily commuting a breeze. Whether you're a first-time buyer, investor, or someone looking to customize a home to your style, this property is full of possibilities. Don't miss the chance to make it your own!
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1950
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 135 (0.12 acre); Located near I-96 and Telegraph Road; cross streets Davison and Glendale
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage; Paved access
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residential; One story; Ground-level entry with steps; Brick construction
- Construction: Brick exterior
- Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Porch; Backyard is fenced
Interior
- Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No central air conditioning
- Interior features: Unfurnished; Unfinished basement; Basement present
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $253 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 95% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $56k; list at $85k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.73%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $103,842
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- -18.14%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12705 Beaverland St | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 | 1,092 (-3%) | 0mo | $63,000 | $58 | 82 |
| 12878 Bramell St | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 | 1,184 (+5%) | 4mo | $155,000 | $131 | 76 |
| 12723 Hazelton St | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 993 (-12%) | 3mo | $65,500 | $66 | 71 |
| 12707 Hazelton St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 988 (-13%) | 16mo | $110,000 | $111 | 58 |
| 11768 Hazelton | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,233 (+9%) | 1mo | $197,000 | $160 | 56 |
| 12956 Wormer | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+6%) | 8mo | $99,999 | $83 | 55 |
| 11770 Riverdale | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,228 (+9%) | 0mo | $190,000 | $155 | 53 |
| 14463 Bramell St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,179 (+4%) | 5mo | $140,000 | $119 | 52 |
| 13955 Dolphin St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,034 (-8%) | 10mo | $55,000 | $53 | 52 |
| 13563 Lenore | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,209 (+7%) | 8mo | $113 | — | 49 |
| 11759 W Parkway St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,037 (-8%) | 10mo | $175,000 | $169 | 48 |
| 11752 Beaverland | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,250 (+11%) | 14mo | $179,500 | $144 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $2,361
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.97×
- Total profit
- $22,968
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48223
- Active inventory
- 158
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,130 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$159 /mo · $1,904/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$237
- Net cashflow
- $253
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23610 Schoolcraft Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 23626 Schoolcraft Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 23614 Schoolcraft Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 23618 Schoolcraft Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 23602 Schoolcraft Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 23606 Schoolcraft Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 23622 Schoolcraft Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 23636 Schoolcraft Rd Unit -209 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $865 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 23640 Schoolcraft Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 23630 Schoolcraft Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 23636 Schoolcraft Rd Apt 212 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $985 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 23636 Schoolcraft Rd Unit 109 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $975 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 23634 Schoolcraft Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 14088 Riverview St Unit 207 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $975 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 14088 Riverview St Unit 208 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $985 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 14088 Riverview St Unit 108 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $900 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 23652 Schoolcraft Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 14092 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 14086 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 14096 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $985 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 23644 Schoolcraft Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 23648 Schoolcraft Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,050 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 14000 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 14020 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 23656 Schoolcraft Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 14010 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 14110 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 14114 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 20d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 14005 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 14074 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 14072 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 14078 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 14068 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 14038 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 23814 Schoolcraft Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 14062 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 14030 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 14122 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $985 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 14025 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 14066 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-17statusdays on market $85,000 Pending 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $85,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-17price $85,000 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
Charming ranch-style home with great potential in a quiet, established neighborhood! This home offers a functional layout, spacious living areas, and an excellent opportunity to add your personal touches and updates. Conveniently located close to shopping, dining, and easy freeway access, making daily commuting a breeze. Whether you're a first-time buyer, investor, or someone looking to customize a home to your style, this property is full of possibilities. Don't miss the chance to make it your own!
-
2026-05-17price $85,000 510-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
Charming ranch-style home with great potential in a quiet, established neighborhood! This home offers a functional layout, spacious living areas, and an excellent opportunity to add your personal touches and updates. Conveniently located close to shopping, dining, and easy freeway access, making daily commuting a breeze. Whether you're a first-time buyer, investor, or someone looking to customize a home to your style, this property is full of possibilities. Don't miss the chance to make it your own!
-
2026-05-15$95,000 Active 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
Charming ranch-style home with great potential in a quiet, established neighborhood! This home offers a functional layout, spacious living areas, and an excellent opportunity to add your personal touches and updates. Conveniently located close to shopping, dining, and easy freeway access, making daily commuting a breeze. Whether you're a first-time buyer, investor, or someone looking to customize a home to your style, this property is full of possibilities. Don't miss the chance to make it your own!
-
2026-05-15$95,000 Active 510-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
Charming ranch-style home with great potential in a quiet, established neighborhood! This home offers a functional layout, spacious living areas, and an excellent opportunity to add your personal touches and updates. Conveniently located close to shopping, dining, and easy freeway access, making daily commuting a breeze. Whether you're a first-time buyer, investor, or someone looking to customize a home to your style, this property is full of possibilities. Don't miss the chance to make it your own!
-
1995-12-12soldstatus $56,000
-
1992-03-31soldstatus $37,200
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,904 · $159/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,904 · $159/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,555
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$1,904
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,084
- − Management
- −$1,084
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $1,823
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$438
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,593/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,622
- Household income
- $44,512
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1151.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% White 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -303.41%
- Current HPI
- 138.2779
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+128.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-16 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-17 Price Changed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-17 Price Changed $85,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-15 Listed $95,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-15 Listed $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1995-12-12 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
- 1992-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $37,200 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,904 · -0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…