7104 W 132nd Pl · Cedar Lake, IN
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investment property that is walking distant from Cedar Lake.
Key facts
- 4,791 sq ft lot
- Built 1919
- Listed 80 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $590 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $93k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.3% vs local median 3.5% in Cedar Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#354 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Crown Point Community School Corporation (suburban): math 51% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #23 of 301 in IN (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 269 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $68k; 46% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.42%
- DSCR
- 2.26
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $191,206
- List price
- $99,000
- Delta
- -48.22%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6915 W 130th Pl | 0.18mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 872 (-1%) | 11mo | $105,000 | $120 | 76 |
| 13129 Morse St | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 968 (+10%) | 9mo | $167,000 | $173 | 73 |
| 7125 W 128th Ln | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 908 (+3%) | 13mo | $205,000 | $226 | 65 |
| 13341 Fulton St | 0.32mi | 2/2.0 | 952 (+8%) | 5mo | $292,000 | $307 | 64 |
| 7529 W 126th Ave | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 875 (-1%) | 8mo | $105,000 | $120 | 59 |
| 7332 W 137th Ave | 0.66mi | 2/1.5 | 930 (+6%) | 0mo | $284,900 | $306 | 58 |
| 12805 Hilltop St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 882 (+0%) | 15mo | $183,680 | $208 | 55 |
| 7522 W 129th Ave | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 908 (+3%) | 21mo | $197,000 | $217 | 55 |
| 7201 W 136th Ln | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 811 (-8%) | 9mo | $121,000 | $149 | 52 |
| 6819 W 128th Pl | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 800 (-9%) | 12mo | $170,000 | $213 | 47 |
| 7021 W 137th Ln | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 786 (-11%) | 12mo | $206,000 | $262 | 38 |
| 7216 W 128th Ln | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 751 (-15%) | 22mo | $130,000 | $173 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $21,627
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 27.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.44×
- Total profit
- $67,570
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46303
- Active inventory
- 269
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,731 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$151 /mo · $1,807/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$364
- Net cashflow
- $590
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $646 | -5% $618 | +0% $590 | +5% $562 | +10% $534 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $453 | -5% $522 | +0% $590 | +5% $659 | +10% $727 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $640 | -0.5pp $615 | base $590 | +0.5pp $564 | +1.0pp $538 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13328 Edison St Cedar Lake, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $2,095 | $1.86 | 0d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 12910 S Cline Ave Apt C Cedar Lake, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,150 | $1.09 | 0d | 1 | 0.73mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $99,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-04-01$99,000 Active 60-char remark
Show marketing remark (60 chars)
Investment property that is walking distant from Cedar Lake.
-
2023-05-12soldstatus $68,000 Closed 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
Investor special! This 2 bed, 1 bath fixer upper home needs a cash buyer. There is an unfinished addition in the rear that adds square footage to the home. This home is being sold as-is.
-
2023-04-24status Pending 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
Investor special! This 2 bed, 1 bath fixer upper home needs a cash buyer. There is an unfinished addition in the rear that adds square footage to the home. This home is being sold as-is.
-
2023-04-10$75,000 Active 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
Investor special! This 2 bed, 1 bath fixer upper home needs a cash buyer. There is an unfinished addition in the rear that adds square footage to the home. This home is being sold as-is.
-
2007-05-18soldstatus $39,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,807 · $151/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,807 · $151/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,774
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,807
- − Insurance
- −$1,292
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,662
- − Management
- −$1,662
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $5,925
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,422
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,660/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Crown Point Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1802490
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,148
- Composite
- 49.55/100
- National rank
- #1990
- State rank
- #23 of 301 in IN
Livability — Cedar Lake
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #354
- US rank
- #13482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cedar Lake, IN
- County
- Lake County · 422,878 people
- City population
- 17,680
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,680
- Household income
- $84,211
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 84.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,026 people
- By 2030
- 478,091 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 462,974 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 449,894 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 436,169 · -9.9%
- By 2100
- 426,607 · -11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 16% Iranian 9% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -182.94%
- Current HPI
- 267.4434
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+153.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Listed $99,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-12 Sold (MLS) $68,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-04-24 Pending — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-04-10 Listed $75,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2024): $1,807 · +8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…