11336 Nardin Park · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +6.9/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice Investment property. 3 bedrooms upstairs and 2 downstairs Call Listings Agent for more info 313 685-7208
Key facts
- 4,791 sq ft lot
- Built 1916
- Listed 16 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Landlord/association responsible for electric and water/sewer
Exterior
- Utilities: Landlord/association pays electric; Landlord/association pays water and sewer; Road access: City/County
- Home design: Multi-family property; Built in 1916
- Construction: Basement foundation
- Exterior features: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Sidewalks
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two-unit property (multi-family) — unit breakdown not provided
- Heating & cooling: Wall heat
- Interior features: Basement (other type)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a ?-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $368 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($546 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 11 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $23k; list at $79k implies a 243% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.95%
- DSCR
- 1.89
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $77,940
- List price
- $79,000
- Delta
- 1.36%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 3 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.49×
- Total profit
- $33,007
- Equity at exit
- $35,522
- IRR
- 27.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.83×
- Total profit
- $84,780
- Equity at exit
- $54,743
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48204-1470
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,256 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$178 /mo · $2,131/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$264
- Net cashflow
- $368
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $412 | -5% $390 | +0% $368 | +5% $345 | +10% $323 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $269 | -5% $318 | +0% $368 | +5% $417 | +10% $467 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $408 | -0.5pp $388 | base $368 | +0.5pp $347 | +1.0pp $326 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12123 Santa Rosa Dr Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1680 | $1,000 | $0.60 | 25d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 12546 Broadstreet Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1899 | $1,250 | $0.66 | 45d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3322 Webb St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1656 | $1,350 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3322 Webb St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1656 | $1,350 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3322 Webb St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,250 | $0.78 | 17d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 12303 Cloverlawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1454 | $1,400 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4046 Tyler St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2378 | $1,050 | $0.44 | 13d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3786 Carter St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,100 | $0.79 | 25d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2925 Calvert St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,300 | $0.93 | 17d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 3747 Tyler St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2600 | $1,700 | $0.65 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2986 Richton St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2600 | $1,200 | $0.46 | 17d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 5315 Spokane St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2110 | $1,200 | $0.57 | 17d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3209 W Grand St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1550 | $1,103 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 8320 Northlawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1737 | $1,550 | $0.89 | 21d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2474 Fullerton St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,300 | $0.93 | 15d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 12650 Griggs St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1628 | $1,375 | $0.84 | 25d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 41 events
-
2026-06-19$79,000 Active 16 DOM
Show marketing remark (110 chars)
Nice Investment property. 3 bedrooms upstairs and 2 downstairs Call Listings Agent for more info 313 685-7208
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,000 Active 16 DOM
Show marketing remark (110 chars)
Nice Investment property. 3 bedrooms upstairs and 2 downstairs Call Listings Agent for more info 313 685-7208
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,000 Active 15 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $79,000 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $79,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $79,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $79,000 Active 10 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $79,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $79,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $79,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $79,000 Active 2 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $79,000 Active 1 DOM
Show marketing remark (110 chars)
Nice Investment property. 3 bedrooms upstairs and 2 downstairs Call Listings Agent for more info 313 685-7208
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,000 Active 387 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $79,000 Active 386 DOM
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2026-01-30price $79,000 203-char remark
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2026-01-30price $79,000 203-char remark
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2026-01-23status Active 203-char remark
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2026-01-23status Active 203-char remark
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2026-01-13status Pending 203-char remark
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2026-01-13status Pending 203-char remark
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2025-10-29price $69,000 203-char remark
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2025-10-29status Active 203-char remark
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2025-10-29status Active 203-char remark
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2025-10-29price $69,000 203-char remark
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2025-10-08status Pending 203-char remark
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2025-10-08status Pending 203-char remark
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2025-09-13price $59,999 203-char remark
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2025-09-13price $69,000 203-char remark
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2025-09-12price $59,999 203-char remark
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2025-09-12price $69,000 203-char remark
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2025-07-25price $74,900 203-char remark
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2025-07-24price $74,900 203-char remark
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2025-04-29price $79,900 203-char remark
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2025-04-29status Active 203-char remark
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2025-04-29status Active 203-char remark
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2025-04-29price $79,900 203-char remark
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2025-04-24status Pending 203-char remark
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2025-04-24status Pending 203-char remark
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2025-04-06$80,000 Active 203-char remark
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2025-04-06$80,000 Active 203-char remark
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2000-01-11soldstatus $23,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,131 · $178/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,131 · $178/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,076
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$2,131
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,206
- − Management
- −$1,206
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $3,415
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$820
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,594/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+243.5% since first listed33 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-19 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-06-18 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-06-02 Listed $79,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-02 Listed $79,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-30 Price Changed $79,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-30 Price Changed $79,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-23 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-23 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-01-13 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-01-13 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-13 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-10-29 Price Changed $69,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-29 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2025-10-29 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-29 Price Changed $69,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-10-08 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-08 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-09-13 Price Changed $59,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-09-13 Price Changed $69,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-09-12 Price Changed $59,999 REALCOMP
- 2025-09-12 Price Changed $69,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-07-25 Price Changed $74,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-07-24 Price Changed $74,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-04-29 Price Changed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-04-29 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-04-29 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2025-04-29 Price Changed $79,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-04-24 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-04-24 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-04-06 Listed $80,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-04-06 Listed $80,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2000-01-11 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,131 · +16.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…