🔨 Auction
1201 Lisa Ln · Van Buren, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +3.8/30.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.1/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Auction 4/29/2026 @ 11 am. This beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 2-bath appx. 1,824 sf residence sits on a spacious corner lot and is ready for its next owner. You will immediately notice the many updates including fresh paint and new flooring that flow throughout the entire house. The kitchen features brand-new cabinets, granite countertops, a stylish backsplash, and stainless steel appliances. A center island with modern lighting creates the perfect gathering spot for family and friends. Both bathrooms have been tastefully renovated, including a primary bath equipped with a Bluetooth ceiling speaker. For those needing extra space, the 345-square-foot heated and cooled walk-out basement incl
Key facts
- Brand-new cabinets
- Stylish backsplash
- Spacious corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; 2 covered parking spaces; Concrete parking surface
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Electricity available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family house; One story
- Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof; Built as a house (one story)
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Deck; Back yard fencing; Corner lot; Paved road; Publicly maintained road; Outbuilding
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Oven; Plumbed for ice maker; Gas water heater
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Simulated wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Built-in features; Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Granite counters; Blinds; Electric fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $1.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-625 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1).
- Cap rate 2.8% vs local median 3.9% in Van Buren — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#75 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D, crime D-, amenities F.
- Van Buren School District (suburban): math 41% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #62 of 238 in AR (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Van Buren High School (math 25% / reading 44%, grade F, #92 of 292 statewide, top 37%, 1,228 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 48% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 247 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Crawford County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($0) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 323901.0% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.51% ✗
- Cap rate
- 2.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- -12.41%
- DSCR
- 0.45
- GRM
- 16.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $215,934
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1201 Lisa Ln | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,479 (0%) | 1mo | $174,900 | $118 | 99 |
| 812 N 8th St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,450 (-2%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $145 | 81 |
| 806 N 9th St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,415 (-4%) | 1mo | $212,000 | $150 | 77 |
| 1401 N 10th St | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,584 (+7%) | 4mo | $207,000 | $131 | 76 |
| 1513 N 9th St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,518 (+3%) | 5mo | $235,000 | $155 | 71 |
| 801 Northview Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,590 (+8%) | 10mo | $230,000 | $145 | 64 |
| 1804 Parkview St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,550 (+5%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $119 | 62 |
| 1105 N 21st St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,381 (-7%) | 11mo | $242,000 | $175 | 48 |
| 2028 Wisteria Ln | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,618 (+9%) | 2mo | $260,000 | $161 | 46 |
| 706 N 8th St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,264 (-14%) | 7mo | $184,900 | $146 | 43 |
| 2020 Lisa Ln | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,688 (+14%) | 8mo | $275,000 | $163 | 39 |
| 430 N 10th St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,302 (-12%) | 13mo | $181,500 | $139 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.76% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -37.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.20×
- Total profit
- $-72,820
- Equity at exit
- $32,196
- IRR
- -43.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.76×
- Total profit
- $-106,211
- Equity at exit
- $18,670
Cash invested: $60,462 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72956
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 247
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,097 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,132
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$270 /mo · $3,239/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$230
- Net cashflow
- $-625
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,984
- Closing costs
- $6,478
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 407 Hemlock St Van Buren, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $1,125 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 803 Alta Vista Ave Unit 809 Van Buren, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $750 | $0.79 | 21d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 306 Elfen Glen St Van Buren, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,625 | $0.90 | 13d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2700 Rudy Road Cir Unit 2702 Van Buren, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $750 | $0.83 | 13d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1218 Chestnut St Apt C Van Buren, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $795 | $0.84 | 13d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1363 Shadowalk Dr Unit 1363 Van Buren, AR | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $625 | $0.48 | 21d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1916 Timber Oaks Ln Van Buren, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1102 | $1,250 | $1.13 | 13d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 613 S 11th St Unit 2 Van Buren, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1174 | $975 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1518 Northridge Dr E Apt B Van Buren, AR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1616 | $1,475 | $0.91 | 13d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 522 S 6th St Van Buren, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1424 | $975 | $0.68 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1928 Lovers Ln Van Buren, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,050 | $0.88 | 13d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2306 Jordan St Unit A Van Buren, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $850 | $0.89 | 21d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-04-29status Pending
-
2026-04-10$1 Active
-
2026-01-20price $222,700
-
2025-10-07price $230,900
-
2025-09-22price $239,900
-
2025-08-23$245,000 Active
-
2025-06-20price $239,900
-
2025-05-15price $245,900
-
2025-05-09$245,000 Active
-
2025-03-07price $239,900
-
2025-02-05$245,900 Active
-
2024-04-26soldstatus $155,000 Closed
-
2024-04-12status Pending
-
2024-04-11$150,000 Active
-
2000-11-13soldstatus $65,000
-
1980-11-21soldstatus $47,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,170
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,096
- − Property taxes
- −$3,239
- − Insurance
- −$1,080
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,054
- − Management
- −$1,054
- − Depreciation
- −$6,282
- Taxable loss
- −$11,634
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,792
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,711/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Van Buren School District
- NCES district ID
- 0513410
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,350
- Composite
- 34.41/100
- National rank
- #5201
- State rank
- #62 of 238 in AR
Livability — Van Buren
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #75
- US rank
- #8898
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Van Buren, AR
- County
- Crawford County · 34,546 people
- City population
- 34,546
- Metro
- Fort Smith, AR-OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,546
- Household income
- $62,988
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 571.0
Population outlook (Crawford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,108 people
- By 2030
- 61,519 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 59,735 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 57,521 · -7.4%
- By 2075
- 53,143 · -14.4%
- By 2100
- 49,596 · -20.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 11% Asian 2% Native American 1% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 10%
Political lean MEDSL · Crawford
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.2) · D 19.9% · R 78.1% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.1pp toward R · 2008: -46.0pp · 2024: -58.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.2 2020: R+56.7 2016: R+55.0 2012: R+49.9 2008: R+46.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -156.05%
- Current HPI
- 221.3066
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.76%
- Metro
- Fort Smith, AR-OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+373.8% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Pending — WRVBOR
- 2026-04-10 Listed $1 WRVBOR
- 2026-01-20 Price Changed $222,700 WRVBOR
- 2025-10-07 Price Changed $230,900 WRVBOR
- 2025-09-22 Price Changed $239,900 WRVBOR
- 2025-08-23 Listed $245,000 WRVBOR
- 2025-06-20 Price Changed $239,900 WRVBOR
- 2025-05-15 Price Changed $245,900 WRVBOR
- 2025-05-09 Listed $245,000 WRVBOR
- 2025-03-07 Price Changed $239,900 WRVBOR
- 2025-02-05 Listed $245,900 WRVBOR
- 2024-04-26 Sold (MLS) $155,000 WRVBOR
- 2024-04-12 Pending — WRVBOR
- 2024-04-11 Listed $150,000 WRVBOR
- 2000-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 1980-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+19.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,596 · +1902.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…