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1570 James St 24-Plex
D Composite 42.52
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$4,850,000

1570 James St · Woodburn, OR 97071
48 bd · 60.0 ba · 23,640 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1970 1.27 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 24 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

Atlas Realty Advisors is pleased to present the Willamette Pointe Apartments. Located in Woodburn OR, this 24-unit community has been fully renovated and has experienced a stable resident base throughout ownership. All units are large 900SF 2bed 1.5bath floor-plans. Residents enjoy their community garden, play structure and ample parking.

Key facts

  • Two story buildings
  • Updated interiors
  • Roofing

Tags

24 UNIT APARTMENT COMMUNITYTWO STORY BUILDINGSEXTENSIVELY RENOVATEDUPDATED INTERIORSROOFINGEXTERIOR IMPROVEMENTS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: RM
  • Financial info: 24 total units; Typical unit actual rent around $1,737; Unit type area approximately 931 (unit-level); Cap rate 6.43; Gross rent multiplier 10.12; Rent includes grounds maintenance and trash collection

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
  • Home design: Multi-family property; Not attached; Built in 1970
  • Construction: Shingles not specified
  • Exterior features: Cement siding; Lap siding; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range
  • Bedrooms: Units with 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: Units with 2 bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Wall heater; Window air conditioning units; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Updated/remodeled condition; Deck
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/Dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 24 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $4.85M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive. Per door: $71/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $3.99M (17.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $3.99M (17.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.1% in Woodburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#91 in OR, #4,490 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living B; Watch: crime D+, commute D, amenities F.
  • Woodburn SD 103 (town): math 20% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #169 of 183 in OR (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Washington Elementary School (438 students, 50% FRL); French Prairie Middle School (587 students, 72% FRL); Woodburn Success (79 students, 68% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 306 active listings in the ZIP; 1,591 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (716 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $39,868/mo this rent would consume 674% of the median local household income ($71k/yr) (locally 1039% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $34k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $146k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 8 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $3,986,800 (17.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
6.71%
Cash-on-cash
1.50%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.94% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.0%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-681,901
Equity at exit
$723,151
10-year hold
IRR
-5.4%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-471,295
Equity at exit
$419,339

Cash invested: $1,358,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97071

Rents YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
306
Price-to-rent
243.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$39,868 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$25,434
Tax from tax record
$2,344 /mo · $28,125/yr
Insurance
$2,021
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$8,372
Net cashflow
$1,697

Break-even live

Break-even rent $37,720
Max offer price $4,850,000
Occupancy floor 91%

24-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (24 units) $39,868

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$1,212,500
Closing costs
$145,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $4,850,000 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $4,850,000 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $4,850,000 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $4,850,000 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $4,850,000 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $4,850,000 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $4,850,000 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $4,850,000 Active 3 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    remarks 681-char remark
  10. 2026-06-07
    listed $4,850,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$28,125 · $2,344/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$47,045 · $3,920/mo
Expected delta
+$18,920/yr (+$1,577/mo · 67.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$478,416
− Mortgage interest
−$271,675
− Property taxes
−$28,125
− Insurance
−$24,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$38,273
− Management
−$38,273
− Depreciation
−$141,091
Taxable loss
−$63,272
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$15,185
After-tax cash flow
$35,552/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Woodburn SD 103
NCES district ID
4113530
Math proficiency
20% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,033
Composite
24.9/100
National rank
#12993
State rank
#169 of 183 in OR

Livability — Woodburn

Score
74/100
State rank
#91
US rank
#4490

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D Cost of living B Crime D+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Woodburn, OR
County
Marion County · 258,219 people
City population
33,123
Metro
Salem, OR
Population (ZIP)
33,123
Household income
$70,938
Rent vs Own
36.1% rent · 63.9% own
Severe rent burden
1039.0

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
360,940 people
By 2030
375,178 · +3.9%
By 2040
400,914 · +11.1%
By 2050
422,187 · +17.0%
By 2075
460,305 · +27.5%
By 2100
464,025 · +28.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (61%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 61% White 34% Two or more races 22% Native American 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 51%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
30% · Canada, China
Languages at home
43% English-only · Spanish 53% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.5% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
-4.2pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -2.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.0 2020: D+1.1 2016: R+5.0 2012: R+3.5 2008: D+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -353.43%
Current HPI
297.3113
Rent YoY
▲ 2.94%
Metro
Salem, OR
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+246.4% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $4,850,000 RMLS
  • 2025-06-14 Rental Removed $1,575 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-06-12 Listed for Rent $1,575 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-10-18 Rental Removed $1,550 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-10-10 Listed for Rent $1,550 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-07-14 Rental Removed $1,525 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-06-28 Listed for Rent $1,525 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-06-05 Rental Removed $1,525 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-04-10 Listed for Rent $1,525 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-04-10 Rental Removed $1,525 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-04-06 Listed for Rent $1,525 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-03-27 Rental Removed $1,595 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-03-13 Listed for Rent $1,595 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-09-28 Sold (MLS) $4,400,000 RMLS
  • 2023-07-19 Pending RMLS
  • 2023-07-10 Price Changed $4,600,000 RMLS
  • 2023-05-26 Listed $4,870,000 RMLS
  • 2022-04-01 Price Changed $1,495 RENT.
  • 2017-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $1,400,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $28,125 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…