CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1947 Estrada Dr Duplex
B- Composite 69.63
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$167,000

1947 Estrada Dr · El Paso, TX 79936
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 73 Days on market
Built 1986 3,353 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Great opportunity on the east side of El Paso--ideal for investors or first-time buyers! This well-maintained half duplex offers 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, with a functional layout designed for comfortable living. Enjoy refrigerated air, generous living spaces, and a private backyard with a storage shed--perfect for relaxing or added storage. Conveniently located near major highways, shopping, and dining, providing easy access to everything you need. For investors, this property offers strong rental potential in a desirable area. For first-time buyers, it's an affordable, move-in ready option with room to grow. Don't miss this versatile and budget-friendly opportunity!

Key facts

  • Refrigerated air
  • Private backyard
  • Storage shed

Tags

PRIVATE BACKYARDSTORAGE SHEDREFRIGERATED AIRCONVENIENTLY LOCATEDSTRONG RENTAL POTENTIAL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $167k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $692/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $167k).
  • Recommended offer: $157k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#23 in TX, #1,375 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+.
  • Socorro ISD (urban): math 23% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #624 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Benito Martinez El (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,583 of 4,322 statewide, top 86%, 497 students, 80% FRL); William D Slider Middle (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,077 of 1,662 statewide, top 66%, 703 students, 78% FRL); Montwood H S (math 25% / reading 46%, grade F, #941 of 1,632 statewide, top 58%, 2,498 students, 74% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 237 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,196 units permitted in El Paso County in 2024 (143 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,293/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 2856% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • El Paso County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.0% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($157k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $156,980 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.97%
Cap rate
16.23%
Cash-on-cash
35.49%
DSCR
2.58
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.04% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.0%
Equity multiple
2.24×
Total profit
$57,966
Equity at exit
$24,900
10-year hold
IRR
36.7%
Equity multiple
4.24×
Total profit
$151,585
Equity at exit
$14,439

Cash invested: $46,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79936

Home prices YoY
-25.9%
Rents YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
237
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,293 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$876
Tax from tax record
$273 /mo · $3,277/yr
Insurance
$70
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$692
Net cashflow
$1,383

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,542
Max offer price $167,000
Occupancy floor 53%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,478 -5% $1,430 +0% $1,383 +5% $1,336 +10% $1,289
Rent -10% $1,123 -5% $1,253 +0% $1,383 +5% $1,513 +10% $1,643
Rate -1.0pp $1,467 -0.5pp $1,426 base $1,383 +0.5pp $1,340 +1.0pp $1,296

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,293

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,750
Closing costs
$5,010
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 33 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2009 Lake Omega St Unit C El Paso, TX 2.0 1.0 764 $950 $1.24 45d 1 0.32mi
2521 Robert Wynn St Unit 1 El Paso, TX 2.0 2.0 980 $1,150 $1.17 25d 1 0.55mi
2521 Robert Wynn St Unit 5 El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1001 $1,300 $1.30 25d 1 0.55mi
2244 Robert Wynn St El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1459 $1,450 $0.99 4d 1 0.56mi
1777 Alan Shepard Ln El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1328 $1,535 $1.16 4d 1 0.66mi
2624 Lake Victoria Dr Unit A El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,575 $1.37 45d 1 0.69mi
11280 Pebble Hills Blvd El Paso, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 785 $1,205 $1.54 4d 2 0.91mi
11224 Wharf Cove Dr Unit A El Paso, TX 2.0 1.0 841 $1,100 $1.31 20d 1 0.93mi
1916 Lee Elder Dr Unit B El Paso, TX 2.0 2.0 850 $1,200 $1.41 45d 1 0.95mi
11242 Wharf Cove Dr Unit A El Paso, TX 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 45d 1 0.97mi
11275 Pebble Hills Blvd El Paso, TX 2.0 1.5 1080 $1,150 $1.06 16d 1 1.02mi
11128 Wharf Cove Dr El Paso, TX 4.0 2.0 1310 $1,700 $1.30 45d 1 1.10mi
11924 Kings Guard Dr El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1295 $1,595 $1.23 16d 1 1.11mi
1913 Bobby Jones Dr Unit D El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1378 $1,595 $1.16 25d 1 1.16mi
1640 Doug Olson Dr El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1448 $1,725 $1.19 4d 1 1.18mi
3186 Crazy Horse Dr El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1303 $1,650 $1.27 12d 1 1.19mi
2008 Amy Sue Dr El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1305 $1,475 $1.13 45d 1 1.22mi
2008 Amy Sue Dr El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1305 $1,475 $1.13 25d 1 1.22mi
1628 James Chisum Dr El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,500 $1.00 12d 1 1.23mi
2028 Amy Sue Dr Unit C El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1305 $1,500 $1.15 45d 1 1.25mi
2028 Amy Sue Dr Unit B El Paso, TX 3.0 3.0 1305 $1,550 $1.19 20d 1 1.25mi
2001 Amy Sue Dr Unit D El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,500 $1.00 45d 1 1.25mi
12008 Castle Woods Dr El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1192 $1,495 $1.25 25d 1 1.29mi
12130 Pebble Hills Blvd El Paso, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 899 $1,720 $1.91 20d 15 1.33mi
11600 Edward James Ave El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1186 $1,650 $1.39 25d 1 1.35mi
1548 James Chisum Dr El Paso, TX 3.0 1.5 1192 $1,450 $1.22 16d 1 1.40mi
1655 Victor Lopez Dr El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,550 $1.47 16d 1 1.41mi
2905 Beachcomber Dr Unit A El Paso, TX 2.0 1.0 900 $1,350 $1.50 13d 1 1.45mi
2905 Beachcomber Dr Unit B El Paso, TX 2.0 1.0 900 $1,275 $1.42 4d 1 1.45mi
2901 Beachcomber Dr Unit B El Paso, TX 2.0 2.0 1098 $1,095 $1.00 13d 1 1.45mi
2807 Beachcomber Dr El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1396 $1,500 $1.07 45d 1 1.46mi
11837 Jim Ryan Ln El Paso, TX 3.0 1.5 1023 $1,450 $1.42 25d 1 1.49mi
12115 Royal Woods Dr El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1184 $1,750 $1.48 16d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $167,000 Active 73 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $167,000 Active 70 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $167,000 Active 69 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $167,000 Active 68 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $167,000 Active 67 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $167,000 Active 65 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $167,000 Active 62 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $167,000 Active 61 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $167,000 Active 60 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $167,000 Active 59 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $167,000 Active 56 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $167,000 Active 55 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $167,000 Active 54 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $167,000 Active 53 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $167,000 Active 52 DOM
  16. 2026-05-19
    price $167,000 701-char remark
    Show marketing remark (701 chars)

    Great opportunity on the east side of El Paso--ideal for investors or first-time buyers! This well-maintained half duplex offers 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, with a functional layout designed for comfortable living. Enjoy refrigerated air, generous living spaces, and a private backyard with a storage shed--perfect for relaxing or added storage. Conveniently located near major highways, shopping, and dining, providing easy access to everything you need. For investors, this property offers strong rental potential in a desirable area. For first-time buyers, it's an affordable, move-in ready option with room to grow. Don't miss this versatile and budget-friendly opportunity!

  17. 2026-05-07
    status Active 701-char remark
    Show marketing remark (701 chars)

    Great opportunity on the east side of El Paso--ideal for investors or first-time buyers! This well-maintained half duplex offers 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, with a functional layout designed for comfortable living. Enjoy refrigerated air, generous living spaces, and a private backyard with a storage shed--perfect for relaxing or added storage. Conveniently located near major highways, shopping, and dining, providing easy access to everything you need. For investors, this property offers strong rental potential in a desirable area. For first-time buyers, it's an affordable, move-in ready option with room to grow. Don't miss this versatile and budget-friendly opportunity!

  18. 2026-04-30
    historical Active Under Contract 701-char remark
    Show marketing remark (701 chars)

    Great opportunity on the east side of El Paso--ideal for investors or first-time buyers! This well-maintained half duplex offers 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, with a functional layout designed for comfortable living. Enjoy refrigerated air, generous living spaces, and a private backyard with a storage shed--perfect for relaxing or added storage. Conveniently located near major highways, shopping, and dining, providing easy access to everything you need. For investors, this property offers strong rental potential in a desirable area. For first-time buyers, it's an affordable, move-in ready option with room to grow. Don't miss this versatile and budget-friendly opportunity!

  19. 2026-04-09
    listed $171,000 Active 701-char remark
    Show marketing remark (701 chars)

    Great opportunity on the east side of El Paso--ideal for investors or first-time buyers! This well-maintained half duplex offers 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, with a functional layout designed for comfortable living. Enjoy refrigerated air, generous living spaces, and a private backyard with a storage shed--perfect for relaxing or added storage. Conveniently located near major highways, shopping, and dining, providing easy access to everything you need. For investors, this property offers strong rental potential in a desirable area. For first-time buyers, it's an affordable, move-in ready option with room to grow. Don't miss this versatile and budget-friendly opportunity!

  20. 2024-05-15
    soldstatus
  21. 2024-04-10
    status Pending
  22. 2024-04-04
    price $158,000
  23. 2024-02-22
    listed $168,000 Active
  24. 2023-11-20
    historical
  25. 2023-10-11
    listed $155,000 Active
  26. 2023-10-03
    soldstatus
  27. 2023-09-12
    status Pending
  28. 2023-09-04
    listed $145,000 Active
  29. 2023-08-28
    historical
  30. 2023-07-31
    listed $145,000 Active
  31. 1986-01-03
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,277 · $273/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,277 · $273/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$39,516
− Mortgage interest
−$9,355
− Property taxes
−$3,277
− Insurance
−$835
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,161
− Management
−$3,161
− Depreciation
−$4,858
Taxable income
$14,869
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,569
After-tax cash flow
$13,028/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Socorro ISD
NCES district ID
4840710
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -34.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$49,318
Composite
25.67/100
National rank
#7396
State rank
#624 of 826 in TX

Livability — El Paso

Score
81/100
State rank
#23
US rank
#1375

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
El Paso, TX
County
El Paso County · 761,266 people
City population
630,223
Metro
El Paso, TX
Population (ZIP)
102,991
Household income
$67,198
Rent vs Own
29.5% rent · 70.5% own
Severe rent burden
2856.0

Population outlook (El Paso County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
897,899 people
By 2030
922,694 · +2.8%
By 2040
960,492 · +7.0%
By 2050
982,919 · +9.5%
By 2075
997,266 · +11.1%
By 2100
900,630 · +0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 86% Two or more races 40% White 9% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 82% Puerto Rican 1%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada
Languages at home
32% English-only · Spanish 66%

Political lean MEDSL · El Paso

2024 margin
D (+15.1) · D 57.0% · R 41.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.4pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 15.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+15.1 2020: D+35.1 2016: D+43.2 2012: D+32.6 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -86.55%
Current HPI
247.851
Rent YoY
▲ 2.04%
Metro
El Paso, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+15.2% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $167,000 GEPARMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Relisted GEPARMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Contingent GEPARMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $171,000 GEPARMLS
  • 2024-05-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-04-10 Pending GEPARMLS
  • 2024-04-04 Price Changed $158,000 GEPARMLS
  • 2024-02-22 Listed $168,000 GEPARMLS
  • 2023-11-20 Listing Removed GEPARMLS
  • 2023-10-11 Listed $155,000 GEPARMLS
  • 2023-10-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-09-12 Pending GEPARMLS
  • 2023-09-04 Listed $145,000 GEPARMLS
  • 2023-08-28 Listing Removed GEPARMLS
  • 2023-07-31 Listed $145,000 GEPARMLS
  • 1986-01-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,277 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…