Duplex
1947 Estrada Dr · El Paso, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$167,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity on the east side of El Paso--ideal for investors or first-time buyers! This well-maintained half duplex offers 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, with a functional layout designed for comfortable living. Enjoy refrigerated air, generous living spaces, and a private backyard with a storage shed--perfect for relaxing or added storage. Conveniently located near major highways, shopping, and dining, providing easy access to everything you need. For investors, this property offers strong rental potential in a desirable area. For first-time buyers, it's an affordable, move-in ready option with room to grow. Don't miss this versatile and budget-friendly opportunity!
Key facts
- Refrigerated air
- Private backyard
- Storage shed
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $167k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $692/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $167k).
- Recommended offer: $157k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#23 in TX, #1,375 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+.
- Socorro ISD (urban): math 23% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #624 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Benito Martinez El (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,583 of 4,322 statewide, top 86%, 497 students, 80% FRL); William D Slider Middle (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,077 of 1,662 statewide, top 66%, 703 students, 78% FRL); Montwood H S (math 25% / reading 46%, grade F, #941 of 1,632 statewide, top 58%, 2,498 students, 74% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 237 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,196 units permitted in El Paso County in 2024 (143 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,293/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 2856% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- El Paso County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.0% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($157k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.97% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.49%
- DSCR
- 2.58
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.24×
- Total profit
- $57,966
- Equity at exit
- $24,900
- IRR
- 36.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.24×
- Total profit
- $151,585
- Equity at exit
- $14,439
Cash invested: $46,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79936
- Home prices YoY
- -25.9%
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 237
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,293 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$876
- Tax from tax record
- −$273 /mo · $3,277/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$692
- Net cashflow
- $1,383
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,478 | -5% $1,430 | +0% $1,383 | +5% $1,336 | +10% $1,289 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,123 | -5% $1,253 | +0% $1,383 | +5% $1,513 | +10% $1,643 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,467 | -0.5pp $1,426 | base $1,383 | +0.5pp $1,340 | +1.0pp $1,296 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2 | $3,292 |
| #1 | 3 | 2 | $1,646 |
| #2 | 3 | 2 | $1,646 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,293 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,750
- Closing costs
- $5,010
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 Lake Omega St Unit C El Paso, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 764 | $950 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 2521 Robert Wynn St Unit 1 El Paso, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,150 | $1.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2521 Robert Wynn St Unit 5 El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1001 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 25d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2244 Robert Wynn St El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1459 | $1,450 | $0.99 | 4d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1777 Alan Shepard Ln El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1328 | $1,535 | $1.16 | 4d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2624 Lake Victoria Dr Unit A El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,575 | $1.37 | 45d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 11280 Pebble Hills Blvd El Paso, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 785 | $1,205 | $1.54 | 4d | 2 | 0.91mi |
| 11224 Wharf Cove Dr Unit A El Paso, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 841 | $1,100 | $1.31 | 20d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1916 Lee Elder Dr Unit B El Paso, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,200 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 11242 Wharf Cove Dr Unit A El Paso, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 11275 Pebble Hills Blvd El Paso, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,150 | $1.06 | 16d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 11128 Wharf Cove Dr El Paso, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $1,700 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 11924 Kings Guard Dr El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1295 | $1,595 | $1.23 | 16d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1913 Bobby Jones Dr Unit D El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1378 | $1,595 | $1.16 | 25d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1640 Doug Olson Dr El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1448 | $1,725 | $1.19 | 4d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3186 Crazy Horse Dr El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $1,650 | $1.27 | 12d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2008 Amy Sue Dr El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1305 | $1,475 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2008 Amy Sue Dr El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1305 | $1,475 | $1.13 | 25d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1628 James Chisum Dr El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 12d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2028 Amy Sue Dr Unit C El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1305 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2028 Amy Sue Dr Unit B El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1305 | $1,550 | $1.19 | 20d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2001 Amy Sue Dr Unit D El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 12008 Castle Woods Dr El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1192 | $1,495 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 12130 Pebble Hills Blvd El Paso, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 899 | $1,720 | $1.91 | 20d | 15 | 1.33mi |
| 11600 Edward James Ave El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1186 | $1,650 | $1.39 | 25d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1548 James Chisum Dr El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1192 | $1,450 | $1.22 | 16d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1655 Victor Lopez Dr El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,550 | $1.47 | 16d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2905 Beachcomber Dr Unit A El Paso, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 13d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2905 Beachcomber Dr Unit B El Paso, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,275 | $1.42 | 4d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2901 Beachcomber Dr Unit B El Paso, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1098 | $1,095 | $1.00 | 13d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2807 Beachcomber Dr El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1396 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 11837 Jim Ryan Ln El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1023 | $1,450 | $1.42 | 25d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 12115 Royal Woods Dr El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1184 | $1,750 | $1.48 | 16d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $167,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $167,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $167,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $167,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $167,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $167,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $167,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $167,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $167,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $167,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $167,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $167,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $167,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $167,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $167,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-19price $167,000 701-char remark
Show marketing remark (701 chars)
Great opportunity on the east side of El Paso--ideal for investors or first-time buyers! This well-maintained half duplex offers 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, with a functional layout designed for comfortable living. Enjoy refrigerated air, generous living spaces, and a private backyard with a storage shed--perfect for relaxing or added storage. Conveniently located near major highways, shopping, and dining, providing easy access to everything you need. For investors, this property offers strong rental potential in a desirable area. For first-time buyers, it's an affordable, move-in ready option with room to grow. Don't miss this versatile and budget-friendly opportunity!
-
2026-05-07status Active 701-char remark
Show marketing remark (701 chars)
Great opportunity on the east side of El Paso--ideal for investors or first-time buyers! This well-maintained half duplex offers 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, with a functional layout designed for comfortable living. Enjoy refrigerated air, generous living spaces, and a private backyard with a storage shed--perfect for relaxing or added storage. Conveniently located near major highways, shopping, and dining, providing easy access to everything you need. For investors, this property offers strong rental potential in a desirable area. For first-time buyers, it's an affordable, move-in ready option with room to grow. Don't miss this versatile and budget-friendly opportunity!
-
2026-04-30historical Active Under Contract 701-char remark
Show marketing remark (701 chars)
Great opportunity on the east side of El Paso--ideal for investors or first-time buyers! This well-maintained half duplex offers 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, with a functional layout designed for comfortable living. Enjoy refrigerated air, generous living spaces, and a private backyard with a storage shed--perfect for relaxing or added storage. Conveniently located near major highways, shopping, and dining, providing easy access to everything you need. For investors, this property offers strong rental potential in a desirable area. For first-time buyers, it's an affordable, move-in ready option with room to grow. Don't miss this versatile and budget-friendly opportunity!
-
2026-04-09$171,000 Active 701-char remark
Show marketing remark (701 chars)
Great opportunity on the east side of El Paso--ideal for investors or first-time buyers! This well-maintained half duplex offers 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, with a functional layout designed for comfortable living. Enjoy refrigerated air, generous living spaces, and a private backyard with a storage shed--perfect for relaxing or added storage. Conveniently located near major highways, shopping, and dining, providing easy access to everything you need. For investors, this property offers strong rental potential in a desirable area. For first-time buyers, it's an affordable, move-in ready option with room to grow. Don't miss this versatile and budget-friendly opportunity!
-
2024-05-15soldstatus
-
2024-04-10status Pending
-
2024-04-04price $158,000
-
2024-02-22$168,000 Active
-
2023-11-20historical
-
2023-10-11$155,000 Active
-
2023-10-03soldstatus
-
2023-09-12status Pending
-
2023-09-04$145,000 Active
-
2023-08-28historical
-
2023-07-31$145,000 Active
-
1986-01-03soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,277 · $273/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,277 · $273/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,516
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,355
- − Property taxes
- −$3,277
- − Insurance
- −$835
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,161
- − Management
- −$3,161
- − Depreciation
- −$4,858
- Taxable income
- $14,869
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,569
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,028/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Socorro ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4840710
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -34.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,318
- Composite
- 25.67/100
- National rank
- #7396
- State rank
- #624 of 826 in TX
Livability — El Paso
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #23
- US rank
- #1375
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- El Paso, TX
- County
- El Paso County · 761,266 people
- City population
- 630,223
- Metro
- El Paso, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 102,991
- Household income
- $67,198
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2856.0
Population outlook (El Paso County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 897,899 people
- By 2030
- 922,694 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 960,492 · +7.0%
- By 2050
- 982,919 · +9.5%
- By 2075
- 997,266 · +11.1%
- By 2100
- 900,630 · +0.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 86% Two or more races 40% White 9% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 82% Puerto Rican 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 32% English-only · Spanish 66%
Political lean MEDSL · El Paso
- 2024 margin
- D (+15.1) · D 57.0% · R 41.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.4pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 15.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+15.1 2020: D+35.1 2016: D+43.2 2012: D+32.6 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -86.55%
- Current HPI
- 247.851
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.04%
- Metro
- El Paso, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+15.2% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $167,000 GEPARMLS
- 2026-05-07 Relisted — GEPARMLS
- 2026-04-30 Contingent — GEPARMLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $171,000 GEPARMLS
- 2024-05-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-04-10 Pending — GEPARMLS
- 2024-04-04 Price Changed $158,000 GEPARMLS
- 2024-02-22 Listed $168,000 GEPARMLS
- 2023-11-20 Listing Removed — GEPARMLS
- 2023-10-11 Listed $155,000 GEPARMLS
- 2023-10-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-09-12 Pending — GEPARMLS
- 2023-09-04 Listed $145,000 GEPARMLS
- 2023-08-28 Listing Removed — GEPARMLS
- 2023-07-31 Listed $145,000 GEPARMLS
- 1986-01-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,277 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…