CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
18114 Gawthrop Dr #204
F Composite 34.11
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Schools +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.2/5.0
  • Cash flow +0.2/30.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$279,000

18114 Gawthrop Dr #204 · Lakewood Ranch, FL 34211
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,121 sqft · Condo public records · 174 Days on market
Built 2022 Good condition $249/sqft · 18% below area Est $339k · 18% under $1250/mo HOA · 48% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this beautifully appointed second-floor 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo in the highly sought-after Lakewood National community of Lakewood Ranch, FL. Built in 2022 and offered turnkey furnished, this residence is truly move-in ready—perfect as a full-time home, seasonal retreat, or investment opportunity. Step inside to a thoughtfully designed open-concept floor plan that blends comfort and modern elegance. The kitchen is both stylish and functional, featuring sleek cabinetry, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a spacious island with bar seating—perfect for casual dining or entertaining guests.

Key facts

  • $1,250 HOA
  • Parking
  • Community pool

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $279k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-15k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $118k (57.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $261k (6.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (57.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 0.9% vs local median 2.9% in Lakewood Ranch — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: B.D. Gullett Elementary School (math 78% / reading 73%, grade A, #211 of 2,144 statewide, top 10%, 1,121 students, 20% FRL); R. Dan Nolan Middle School (math 79% / reading 72%, grade A, #38 of 571 statewide, top 7%, 760 students, 28% FRL); Lakewood Ranch High School (math 47% / reading 63%, grade C, #135 of 667 statewide, top 20%, 2,435 students, 22% FRL) — zoned schools average 23% FRL vs 51% district-wide (27 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 69% at this address vs 52% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Manatee average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.2%/yr); 1554 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 98d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 70% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 174 days — a 12% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 48% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $117,552 (57.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 174 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 58% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
0.89%
Cash-on-cash
-19.29%
DSCR
0.14
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$339,274
List price
$279,000
Delta
-17.77%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
17520 Gawthrop Dr #304 0.41mi 2/2.0 1,121 (0%) 1mo $285,000 $254 80
16904 Vardon Ter #304 0.86mi 2/2.0 1,121 (0%) 1mo $260,000 $232 64
17118 Vardon Ter #202 0.74mi 2/2.0 1,142 (+2%) 1mo $256,500 $225 62
19110 Scallop Loop #206 1.26mi 2/2.0 1,154 (+3%) 1mo $290,000 $251 59
19110 Scallop Loop #202 1.26mi 2/2.0 1,154 (+3%) 1mo $290,000 $251 59
19110 Scallop Loop #405 1.26mi 2/2.0 1,154 (+3%) 1mo $315,000 $273 59
19110 Scallop Loop #302 0.99mi 2/2.0 1,154 (+3%) 1mo $290,000 $251 59
19110 Scallop Loop #303 1.26mi 2/2.0 1,154 (+3%) 1mo $290,000 $251 59
17626 Gawthrop Dr #208 0.34mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,286 (+15%) 0mo $315,000 $245 54
5558 Palmer Cir #205 0.96mi 2/2.0 1,329 (+19%) 0mo $385,000 $290 40
19110 Scallop Loop #101 1.26mi 2/2.0 1,300 (+16%) 1mo $290,000 $223 39
18917 Scallop Loop #106 1.04mi 2/2.0 1,366 (+22%) 1mo $385,997 $283 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-63.4%
Equity multiple
-0.69×
Total profit
$-131,947
Equity at exit
$41,600
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
-2.12×
Total profit
$-243,829
Equity at exit
$24,123

Cash invested: $78,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
1 active · 1 under contract
Median asking
$250,000 ($223/sqft)
Median days on market
23 d
This list price
100% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+35.7% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 34211

Home prices YoY
-27.5%
Rents YoY
-5.2%
Active inventory
1554
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,612 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,463
Tax from tax record
$490 /mo · $5,878/yr
Insurance
$116
HOA
$1,250
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$549
Net cashflow
$-1,256

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,201
Max offer price $117,552
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-1,098 -5% $-1,177 +0% $-1,256 +5% $-1,335 +10% $-1,414
Rent -10% $-1,462 -5% $-1,359 +0% $-1,256 +5% $-1,153 +10% $-1,049
Rate -1.0pp $-1,115 -0.5pp $-1,185 base $-1,256 +0.5pp $-1,328 +1.0pp $-1,402

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$69,750
Closing costs
$8,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18114 Gawthrop Dr Bradenton, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1300 $2,300 $1.77 119d 5 0.03mi
18114 Gawthrop Dr Bradenton, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1310 $2,200 $1.68 82d 4 0.03mi
18028 Gawthrop Dr Bradenton, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1310 $2,100 $1.60 2d 5 0.08mi
18028 Gawthrop Dr Bradenton, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1310 $1,950 $1.49 93d 7 0.08mi
18008 Gawthrop Dr #402 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1154 $2,500 $2.17 111d 1 0.12mi
17902 Gawthrop Dr Unit 1546175P Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.0 1280 $2,965 $2.32 111d 1 0.17mi
17902 Gawthrop Dr Bradenton, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1202 $3,500 $2.91 9d 2 0.17mi
17902 Gawthrop Dr Bradenton, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1213 $3,500 $2.89 78d 3 0.17mi
17810 Gawthrop Dr Bradenton, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1453 $2,200 $1.51 9d 3 0.18mi
17810 Gawthrop Dr Bradenton, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1453 $2,200 $1.51 114d 2 0.18mi
17724 Gawthrop Dr Bradenton, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1220 $2,500 $2.05 107d 3 0.29mi
17724 Gawthrop Dr Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1137 $2,950 $2.59 9d 3 0.29mi
17704 Gawthrop Dr Unit 1545826P Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.0 1431 $3,163 $2.21 110d 1 0.33mi
17704 Gawthrop Dr Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1142 $2,375 $2.08 119d 3 0.34mi
17704 Gawthrop Dr Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1142 $2,300 $2.01 82d 2 0.34mi
17626 Gawthrop Dr #206 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1142 $5,500 $4.82 119d 1 0.36mi
17520 Gawthrop Dr Unit 1 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1121 $3,000 $2.68 119d 1 0.43mi
17520 Gawthrop Dr Bradenton, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1214 $2,550 $2.10 82d 2 0.43mi
17520 Gawthrop Dr Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1244 $4,325 $3.48 9d 2 0.43mi
17510 Gawthrop Dr Bradenton, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1214 $3,000 $2.47 5d 2 0.46mi
17510 Gawthrop Dr Bradenton, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1196 $1,900 $1.59 9d 3 0.46mi
17510 Gawthrop Dr Bradenton, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1196 $1,900 $1.59 88d 6 0.46mi
5721 Palmer Cir Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1452 $3,250 $2.24 82d 2 0.64mi
5711 Palmer Cir #206 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1462 $3,000 $2.05 119d 1 0.67mi
5710 Palmer Cir #201 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1462 $4,500 $3.08 119d 1 0.68mi
17118 Vardon Ter Bradenton, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1214 $2,495 $2.06 97d 2 0.74mi
17118 Vardon Ter Bradenton, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1214 $2,100 $1.73 110d 3 0.74mi
5685 Palmer Cir #105 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1329 $3,100 $2.33 119d 1 0.75mi
17118 Vardon Ter #306 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1142 $2,000 $1.75 9d 1 0.76mi
17108 Vardon Ter Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1216 $4,450 $3.66 9d 2 0.78mi
17108 Vardon Ter Bradenton, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1203 $2,500 $2.08 119d 4 0.78mi
5674 Palmer Cir #206 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1336 $2,900 $2.17 9d 1 0.81mi
5674 Palmer Cir #203 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1336 $3,100 $2.32 119d 1 0.81mi
17006 Vardon Ter Bradenton, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1214 $2,500 $2.06 7d 2 0.83mi
17006 Vardon Ter Bradenton, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1196 $2,950 $2.47 119d 3 0.83mi
5664 Palmer Cir #202 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1355 $3,400 $2.51 119d 1 0.84mi
5507 Palmer Cir #105 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1329 $2,600 $1.96 82d 1 0.86mi
18923 Scallop Loop Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1355 $2,500 $1.85 9d 1 0.87mi
5528 Palmer Cir #105 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1355 $2,000 $1.48 111d 1 0.87mi
5517 Palmer Cir #105 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1329 $4,000 $3.01 119d 1 0.88mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Irrigation equipment includedCommunity features: clubhouse, deed restrictions, fitness center, golf carts allowed, pool, sidewalks, tennis courts
Financial info
Total monthly association fees reported approx. $1,250.75Total annual association fees reported approx. $15,009Lease restrictions apply
HOA & community
HOA requiredMonthly condo fee (approx.) $526; quarterly condo fees reported as $1,579Association annual fees reported (one listed at $8,693 annually)Association amenities include clubhouse, pool, fitness center, tennis courts, golf, grounds and structure maintenance, management, security, and reclaimed water irrigationPets allowed (cats and dogs)Association approval required

Exterior

Parking
Covered parking1-car carport
Security
24-hour guard (community amenity)
Utilities
Public waterPublic sewerPublic utilities
Home design
CondominiumResidential property typeSecond-floor unitNorth-facing
Construction
Block and stucco constructionTile roofSlab foundationBuilding name/number: 18114
Exterior features
Screened patio/porchBalconyExterior lightingSidewalksSliding doorsStorageTennis courtsInfinity poolLap poolOn waterfront with pond view (approximately 30 ft frontage)Lot includes golf course accessPaved roads

Interior

Kitchen
DishwasherDisposalMicrowaveRefrigerator
Bedrooms
2 bedrooms (located on 2nd floor)
Flooring
CarpetCeramic tile
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms
Heating & cooling
Central heatingCentral air conditioning
Interior features
Ceiling fansEat-in kitchenLiving room / dining room comboProgrammable thermostatWalk-in closetsWindow treatments
Laundry & utility
Washer and dryer includedLaundry inside unit

HOA detail $1,250/mo · $15,000/yr condo

Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-22
    days on market $279,000 Active 174 DOM
  2. 2026-09-21
    days on market $279,000 Active 173 DOM
  3. 2026-09-20
    days on market $279,000 Active 172 DOM
  4. 2026-09-19
    days on market $279,000 Active 171 DOM
  5. 2026-09-18
    days on market $279,000 Active 170 DOM
  6. 2026-09-17
    days on market $279,000 Active 169 DOM
  7. 2026-09-16
    days on market $279,000 Active 168 DOM
  8. 2026-09-15
    days on market $279,000 Active 167 DOM
  9. 2026-09-14
    days on market $279,000 Active 166 DOM
  10. 2026-09-13
    days on market $279,000 Active 165 DOM
  11. 2026-09-12
    days on market $279,000 Active 164 DOM
  12. 2026-09-11
    days on market $279,000 Active 163 DOM
  13. 2026-09-05
    days on market $279,000 Active 157 DOM
  14. 2026-09-04
    days on market $279,000 Active 156 DOM
  15. 2026-09-03
    days on market $279,000 Active 155 DOM
  16. 2026-08-31
    days on market $279,000 Active 152 DOM
  17. 2026-08-30
    days on market $279,000 Active 151 DOM
  18. 2026-08-29
    days on market $279,000 Active 150 DOM
  19. 2026-08-28
    days on market $279,000 Active 149 DOM
  20. 2026-08-27
    days on market $279,000 Active 148 DOM
  21. 2026-08-26
    days on market $279,000 Active 147 DOM
  22. 2026-08-25
    days on market $279,000 Active 146 DOM
  23. 2026-08-24
    days on market $279,000 Active 145 DOM
  24. 2026-08-23
    days on market $279,000 Active 144 DOM
  25. 2026-08-22
    days on market $279,000 Active 143 DOM
  26. 2026-08-21
    days on market $279,000 Active 142 DOM
  27. 2026-08-20
    days on market $279,000 Active 141 DOM
  28. 2026-08-19
    days on market $279,000 Active 140 DOM
  29. 2026-08-18
    days on market $279,000 Active 139 DOM
  30. 2026-08-17
    days on market $279,000 Active 138 DOM
  31. 2026-08-16
    days on market $279,000 Active 137 DOM
  32. 2026-08-15
    days on market $279,000 Active 136 DOM
  33. 2026-08-14
    days on market $279,000 Active 135 DOM
  34. 2026-08-13
    days on market $279,000 Active 134 DOM
  35. 2026-08-12
    days on market $279,000 Active 133 DOM
  36. 2026-08-11
    days on market $279,000 Active 132 DOM
  37. 2026-08-10
    days on market $279,000 Active 131 DOM
  38. 2026-08-09
    days on market $279,000 Active 130 DOM
  39. 2026-08-08
    days on market $279,000 Active 129 DOM
  40. 2026-08-07
    days on market $279,000 Active 128 DOM
  41. 2026-08-06
    days on market $279,000 Active 127 DOM
  42. 2026-08-05
    days on market $279,000 Active 126 DOM
  43. 2026-08-04
    days on market $279,000 Active 125 DOM
  44. 2026-08-03
    days on market $279,000 Active 124 DOM
  45. 2026-07-31
    days on market $279,000 Active 121 DOM
  46. 2026-07-30
    days on market $279,000 Active 119 DOM
  47. 2026-07-28
    days on market $279,000 Active 118 DOM
  48. 2026-07-24
    days on market $279,000 Active 114 DOM
  49. 2026-07-23
    days on market $279,000 Active 113 DOM
  50. 2026-07-22
    days on market $279,000 Active 112 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,878 · $490/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,878 · $490/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,344
− Mortgage interest
−$15,628
− Property taxes
−$5,878
− Insurance
−$1,395
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,507
− Management
−$2,507
− HOA
−$15,000
− Depreciation
−$8,116
Taxable loss
−$19,689
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,725
After-tax cash flow
$-10,343/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This move-in ready, 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo in Lakewood National is in excellent condition with modern amenities and a beautiful waterfront view.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property.
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms — Fresh flooring improves aesthetics and functionality in bathrooms.
C Composite school gradezoned avg 69/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary B.d. Gullett Elementary School A FL #211/2,144 Nat'l #2,011/41,679 Middle R. Dan Nolan Middle School A FL #38/571 Nat'l #472/14,009 High Lakewood Ranch High School C FL #135/667 Nat'l #4,413/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Manatee
NCES district ID
1201230
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$49,607
Composite
44.43/100
National rank
#2806
State rank
#26 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lakewood Ranch

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Lakewood Ranch, FL
County
Manatee County · 447,342 people
City population
52,177
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
Population (ZIP)
24,980
Household income
$119,911
Rent vs Own
21.7% rent · 78.3% own
Severe rent burden
10% of renters

Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
447,342 people
By 2030
488,911 · +9.3%
By 2040
567,934 · +27.0%
By 2050
637,995 · +42.6%
By 2075
781,970 · +74.8%
By 2100
848,272 · +89.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10% Asian 3% Black 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Romanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Manatee

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
2008→2024 swing
-16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+11700.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $295,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-18 Rental Removed $2,200 STELLARMLS
  • 2025-03-07 Price Changed $2,200 STELLARMLS
  • 2025-03-07 Listed for Rent $5,500 STELLARMLS
  • 2024-02-17 Rental Removed $2,500 STELLARMLS
  • 2023-12-28 Listed for Rent $2,500 STELLARMLS

Property tax history

-3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,878 · -9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…