205 Fox Run Cir · Jenks, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great 3 bed 2 bath home in Jenks. Newer windows, roof, flooring, HVAC, appliances, extra insulation in attic and guttering. This home wont last long.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Large backyard
- Flexible office
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Community gutter(s)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces
- Security: No safety shelter
- Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Faces west; Slab foundation
- Construction: Built using stone and wood frame; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Year built per public records
- Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Rain gutters; Covered patio and porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range/Oven; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom with private bath (first floor); Additional bedrooms (first floor)
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Master full bath with shower (first floor); Full hall bath (first floor); Total of 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: High-speed internet; Wired for data; Ceiling fan(s); Laminate countertops; Insulated doors; Vinyl insulated windows; Programmable thermostat; Electric oven connection
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Inside utility room (first floor); Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $276 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $222k (1.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $222k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.5% in Jenks — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#33 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Jenks (suburban): math 34% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #27 of 270 in OK (top 10%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 258 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,818 units permitted in Tulsa County in 2024 (518 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tulsa County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $165k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.25%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $272,738
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 W 114th Ct S | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,724 (+5%) | 1mo | $280,000 | $162 | 87 |
| 74 Fox Run Cir | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,597 (-3%) | 10mo | $238,000 | $149 | 81 |
| 11701 S Forest Ct | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,762 (+7%) | 0mo | $300,000 | $170 | 74 |
| 11702 S Gum Ave | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,731 (+5%) | 1mo | $270,000 | $156 | 72 |
| 11722 S Gum Ave | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,652 (+0%) | 7mo | $249,900 | $151 | 71 |
| 11106 S 1st St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,481 (-10%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $179 | 64 |
| 712 W 119th St S | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,474 (-10%) | 5mo | $250,000 | $170 | 56 |
| 12021 S Forest Pl | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,472 (-10%) | 3mo | $265,000 | $180 | 51 |
| 626 W 120th St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,438 (-12%) | 4mo | $255,000 | $177 | 49 |
| 11508 S Locust Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,750 (+6%) | 11mo | $290,000 | $166 | 49 |
| 11407 S Locust Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,882 (+14%) | 3mo | $302,000 | $160 | 44 |
| 1018 W 120th Ct S | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,851 (+13%) | 3mo | $305,000 | $165 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.2% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-18,458
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- 1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $8,331
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74037
- Home prices YoY
- -23.3%
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 258
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,217 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$202 /mo · $2,425/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$466
- Net cashflow
- $276
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 806 W 118th St S Jenks, OK | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1950 | $2,299 | $1.18 | 1d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 11906 S Juniper Ct Jenks, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1799 | $2,200 | $1.22 | 1d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1224 W 112th Dr S Jenks, OK | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1818 | $1,950 | $1.07 | 15d | 1 | 0.74mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $225,000 Pending 9 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $225,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $240,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $240,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $240,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $240,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-28$240,000 Active
-
2020-02-13soldstatus $165,000
-
2020-02-12soldstatus $165,000 Closed 149-char remark
Show marketing remark (149 chars)
Great 3 bed 2 bath home in Jenks. Newer windows, roof, flooring, HVAC, appliances, extra insulation in attic and guttering. This home wont last long.
-
2020-01-06status Pending 149-char remark
Show marketing remark (149 chars)
Great 3 bed 2 bath home in Jenks. Newer windows, roof, flooring, HVAC, appliances, extra insulation in attic and guttering. This home wont last long.
-
2020-01-02price $165,000 149-char remark
Show marketing remark (149 chars)
Great 3 bed 2 bath home in Jenks. Newer windows, roof, flooring, HVAC, appliances, extra insulation in attic and guttering. This home wont last long.
-
2019-12-02price $163,000 149-char remark
Show marketing remark (149 chars)
Great 3 bed 2 bath home in Jenks. Newer windows, roof, flooring, HVAC, appliances, extra insulation in attic and guttering. This home wont last long.
-
2019-11-14$167,500 Active 149-char remark
Show marketing remark (149 chars)
Great 3 bed 2 bath home in Jenks. Newer windows, roof, flooring, HVAC, appliances, extra insulation in attic and guttering. This home wont last long.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,425 · $202/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,425 · $202/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,607
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$2,425
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,129
- − Management
- −$2,129
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$349
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$84
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,394/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jenks
- NCES district ID
- 4015720
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,291
- Composite
- 31.5/100
- National rank
- #5973
- State rank
- #27 of 270 in OK
Livability — Jenks
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #33
- US rank
- #7270
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jenks, OK
- County
- Tulsa County · 640,811 people
- City population
- 24,547
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,547
- Household income
- $103,942
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 233.0
Population outlook (Tulsa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 723,846 people
- By 2030
- 766,033 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 851,386 · +17.6%
- By 2050
- 938,389 · +29.6%
- By 2075
- 1,166,011 · +61.1%
- By 2100
- 1,350,277 · +86.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Two or more races 14% Asian 11% Hispanic / Latino 8% Native American 6% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Philippines, Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 6% Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tulsa
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.2) · D 41.3% · R 56.5% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.2pp toward D · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.2 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+22.9 2012: R+27.4 2008: R+24.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.99%
- Current HPI
- 207.6174
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.20%
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+43.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $240,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2020-02-13 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
- 2020-02-12 Sold (MLS) $165,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2020-01-06 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2020-01-02 Price Changed $165,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2019-12-02 Price Changed $163,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2019-11-14 Listed $167,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,425 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…