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3716 Canan Dr
D Composite 40.34
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.8/10.0
  • DSCR +1.1/10.0

$205,000

3716 Canan Dr · Weslaco, TX 78596
3 bd · 3.5 ba · 1,901 sqft · SingleFamily · 28 Days on market
Built 2013 6,036 sqft lot $108/sqft · 20% below area Est $255k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 3716 Canan Street in Weslaco, TX—an incredible opportunity to bring your vision to life! This home is approximately 65% complete, with major progress already in place including plumbing and electrical work. Located in a neat, well-maintained community, this property is perfect for investors, builders, or buyers looking to customize their dream home. Skip the early construction stages and finish it your way. Don’t miss the chance to add your personal touch and unlock this home’s full potential!

Key facts

  • 6,036 sq ft lot
  • Built 2013
  • Listed 28 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot about 6,037 square feet (0.1386 acres); Directions: From the Expressway (I-2), take the exit toward Westgate Drive. Head north on Westgate Drive, then turn east onto Mile 11 North Road. Continue straight and turn south onto Canan Street. The property at 3716 Canan Street will be on your right.
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: No dedicated parking spaces listed; Other garage or carport configuration
  • Utilities: City sewer
  • Home design: Single building; Living area recorded by HidalgoCAD
  • Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation; Building area about 1,901 total
  • Exterior features: Roof: none; Road surface: other; Public water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Other appliance(s); Water heater: none
  • Flooring: No flooring specified
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Interior features: Countertops (other); Window coverings (other)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $205k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-311 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $160k (21.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (31.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $140k (31.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#277 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Weslaco ISD (suburban): math 23% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #705 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Cleckler/Heald El (math 20% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,492 of 4,322 statewide, top 81%, 948 students, 82% FRL); Beatriz G Garza Middle (math 26% / reading 37%, grade F, #997 of 1,662 statewide, top 61%, 958 students, 76% FRL); Weslaco H S (math 25% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,147 of 1,632 statewide, top 71%, 2,553 students, 73% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 59% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 712 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $219 of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-1k appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
  • Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,000 (31.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.68%
Cap rate
4.47%
Cash-on-cash
-6.50%
DSCR
0.71
GRM
12.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$254,962
List price
$205,000
Delta
-19.60%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
816 Samaria St 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,876 (-1%) 6mo $275,000 $147 84
3820 Canan St 0.07mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,903 (+0%) 8mo $254,999 $134 81
608 Tierra Prometida St 0.16mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,945 (+2%) 1mo $269,999 $139 79
1112 Palm Pkwy 0.31mi 3/3.5 1,836 (-3%) 9mo $295,000 $161 72
3712 Canan Dr 0.01mi 3/2.0 1,647 (-13%) 4mo $265,500 $161 68
1500 Buen Camino St 0.62mi 3/2.5 1,640 (-14%) 12mo $198,000 $121 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.58% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.3%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-31,328
Equity at exit
$53,607
10-year hold
IRR
-5.7%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-31,904
Equity at exit
$59,887

Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78596

Home prices YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
712
Price-to-rent
12.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,400 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,075
Tax est. 1.5%
$256 /mo · $3,075/yr
Insurance
$85
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$294
Net cashflow
$-311

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,793
Max offer price $160,040
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-169 -5% $-240 +0% $-311 +5% $-382 +10% $-452
Rent -10% $-421 -5% $-366 +0% $-311 +5% $-255 +10% $-200
Rate -1.0pp $-207 -0.5pp $-259 base $-311 +0.5pp $-364 +1.0pp $-418

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$51,250
Closing costs
$6,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
37 Mesquite Ln Unit 37A Mercedes, TX 4.0 2.0 2048 $1,400 $0.68 45d 1 0.46mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    historical Option 527-char remark
  2. 2026-04-23
    listed $205,000 Active 527-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,800
− Mortgage interest
−$11,483
− Property taxes
−$3,075
− Insurance
−$1,025
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,344
− Management
−$1,344
− Depreciation
−$5,964
Taxable loss
−$7,435
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,784
After-tax cash flow
$-1,944/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Weslaco ISD
NCES district ID
4844960
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -29.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$32,867
Composite
22.05/100
National rank
#8196
State rank
#705 of 826 in TX

Livability — Weslaco

Score
72/100
State rank
#277
US rank
#6469

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Weslaco, TX
Population (ZIP)
38,942

Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
955,232 people
By 2030
1,009,774 · +5.7%
By 2040
1,120,332 · +17.3%
By 2050
1,225,036 · +28.2%
By 2075
1,439,189 · +50.7%
By 2100
1,533,429 · +60.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 86% Two or more races 38% White 13%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 82%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada
Languages at home
27% English-only · Spanish 72%

Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
2008→2024 swing
-41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.58%
Current HPI
261.5117
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Sold (MLS) MCALLENMLS
  • 2026-05-22 Pending MCALLENMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Contingent MCALLENMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $205,000 MCALLENMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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