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27 Skyline Dr #27
B- Composite 69.24
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$82,900

27 Skyline Dr #27 · West Deer, PA 15084
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,140 sqft · Manufactured · 415 Days on market
Built 2025 Excellent condition $73/sqft · 18% above area Est $70k · 18% over ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This newly installed manufactured home at 27 Skyline Dr, Tarentum, PA 15084, features a 15' x 76' layout with high-quality construction and modern finishes. Built with R-28 insulation, perimeter heating, and aluminum ductwork, it includes LED lighting, MDF cabinetry, and stainless steel appliances. The home offers a spacious layout, fiberglass tub/shower, shingle roof, and vinyl siding. It's set on a solid block foundation with custom stairs and is skirting-ready for a complete finish.

Key facts

  • R-28 insulation
  • Led lighting
  • Aluminum ductwork

Tags

HIGH QUALITY CONSTRUCTIONMODERN FINISHESR-28 INSULATIONPERIMETER HEATINGALUMINUM DUCTWORKLED LIGHTING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $83k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $418 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $83k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Deer Lakes SD (suburban): math 39% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #182 of 539 in PA (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $949 of equity ($573 loan paydown + $376 appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 415 days — a 12% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $72,952 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 415 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.60%
Cap rate
13.15%
Cash-on-cash
24.48%
DSCR
2.09
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$70,000
List price
$82,900
Delta
18.43%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
76 Crestview Dr 0.04mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,001 (-12%) 5mo $70,000 $70 69

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.45% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.6%
Equity multiple
2.12×
Total profit
$26,034
Equity at exit
$25,969
10-year hold
IRR
26.1%
Equity multiple
4.02×
Total profit
$70,100
Equity at exit
$32,774

Cash invested: $23,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15084

Home prices YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
39
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,325 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$435
Tax est. 1.5%
$104 /mo · $1,244/yr
Insurance
$35
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$278
Net cashflow
$418

Break-even live

Break-even rent $795
Max offer price $82,900
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $475 -5% $447 +0% $418 +5% $389 +10% $361
Rent -10% $313 -5% $366 +0% $418 +5% $470 +10% $523
Rate -1.0pp $460 -0.5pp $439 base $418 +0.5pp $396 +1.0pp $375

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,725
Closing costs
$2,487
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $82,900 Active 415 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $82,900 Active 414 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $82,900 Active 413 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $82,900 Active 412 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $82,900 Active 410 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $82,900 Active 406 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $82,900 Active 405 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $82,900 Active 404 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $82,900 Active 401 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $82,900 Active 400 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $82,900 Active 399 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $82,900 Active 398 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $82,900 Active 397 DOM
  14. 2025-05-21
    price $82,900 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    This newly installed manufactured home at 27 Skyline Dr, Tarentum, PA 15084, features a 15' x 76' layout with high-quality construction and modern finishes. Built with R-28 insulation, perimeter heating, and aluminum ductwork, it includes LED lighting, MDF cabinetry, and stainless steel appliances. The home offers a spacious layout, fiberglass tub/shower, shingle roof, and vinyl siding. It's set on a solid block foundation with custom stairs and is skirting-ready for a complete finish.

  15. 2025-04-30
    listed $87,900 Active 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    This newly installed manufactured home at 27 Skyline Dr, Tarentum, PA 15084, features a 15' x 76' layout with high-quality construction and modern finishes. Built with R-28 insulation, perimeter heating, and aluminum ductwork, it includes LED lighting, MDF cabinetry, and stainless steel appliances. The home offers a spacious layout, fiberglass tub/shower, shingle roof, and vinyl siding. It's set on a solid block foundation with custom stairs and is skirting-ready for a complete finish.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,895
− Mortgage interest
−$4,644
− Property taxes
−$1,244
− Insurance
−$1,081
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,272
− Management
−$1,272
− Depreciation
−$2,412
Taxable income
$3,972
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$953
After-tax cash flow
$4,062/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This manufactured home is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It is move-in ready and would benefit from minor exterior painting and landscaping to further enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Deer Lakes SD
NCES district ID
4207540
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$57,944
Composite
42.64/100
National rank
#3183
State rank
#182 of 539 in PA

Livability — West Deer

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Curtisville, PA
Population (ZIP)
9,884

Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,250,282 people
By 2030
1,256,482 · +0.5%
By 2040
1,256,318 · +0.5%
By 2050
1,244,169 · -0.5%
By 2075
1,197,693 · -4.2%
By 2100
1,093,187 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 14% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.45%
Current HPI
230.7532
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-05-21 Price Changed $82,900 Zillow
  • 2025-04-30 Listed $87,900 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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