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118 Pecan St
C+ Composite 62.73
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.2/15.0
  • DSCR +8.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

118 Pecan St · Pauls Valley, OK 73075
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 912 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 32 Days on market
Built 1958 Est $94k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great Starter or Investment Property! This is an adorable 2 bed 1 bath with updates including newer windows, laminate and carpet throughout, knotty pine interior doors, updated bathroom with shower/tub combo. Living room features electric fireplace. The kitchen has is very cute with stove, refrigerator and dishwasher. Very large backyard ready for your BBQ and touch football!

Key facts

  • Move-in ready
  • Renovated home
  • Fresh paint

Tags

RENOVATED HOMEUPDATED FLOORINGFRESH PAINTMODERN FIXTURESINVITING LAYOUTMOVE-IN READY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Single story
  • Exterior features: Composition roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Electric oven
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Electric range; Electric oven; Central heating and cooling; Natural gas heating

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $170 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($870 rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 3.1% in Pauls Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 54/100 on livability (#604 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Pauls Valley (town): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #117 of 270 in OK (top 43%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Garvin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Garvin County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $59k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $77,600 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
8.85%
Cash-on-cash
9.12%
DSCR
1.41
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$93,936
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
224 N Cherry St St 0.11mi 2/1.0 992 (+9%) 2mo $79,000 $80 79
106 Chestnut 0.31mi 2/1.0 894 (-2%) 11mo $129,900 $145 73
315 N Cherry St 0.16mi 2/1.0 870 (-5%) 19mo $90,000 $103 69
718 N Santa Fe St 0.40mi 3/1.0 (+1) 972 (+7%) 7mo $80,000 $82 60
409 N Elm St 0.27mi 2/1.5 1,024 (+12%) 22mo $87,000 $85 46
413 N Cherry St 0.24mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,040 (+14%) 21mo $131,950 $127 43
801 N Pine St 0.67mi 2/2.0 996 (+9%) 14mo $130,000 $131 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.5%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-2,133
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
7.2%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$12,063
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73075

Home prices YoY
-14.1%
Active inventory
85
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$870 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$64 /mo · $771/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$183
Net cashflow
$170

Break-even live

Break-even rent $655
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $215 -5% $193 +0% $170 +5% $148 +10% $125
Rent -10% $101 -5% $136 +0% $170 +5% $205 +10% $239
Rate -1.0pp $210 -0.5pp $191 base $170 +0.5pp $149 +1.0pp $128

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $80,000 Active 32 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $80,000 Active 30 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $80,000 Active 29 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $80,000 Active 28 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $80,000 Active 27 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $80,000 Active 25 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $80,000 Active 24 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $80,000 Active 21 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 20 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 19 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 18 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $80,000 Active 15 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 14 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 13 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 12 DOM
  16. 2026-05-19
    listed $80,000 Active
  17. 2021-12-28
    soldstatus $58,700
  18. 2021-12-27
    soldstatus $58,700 Sold 381-char remark
    Show marketing remark (381 chars)

    Great Starter or Investment Property! This is an adorable 2 bed 1 bath with updates including newer windows, laminate and carpet throughout, knotty pine interior doors, updated bathroom with shower/tub combo. Living room features electric fireplace. The kitchen has is very cute with stove, refrigerator and dishwasher. Very large backyard ready for your BBQ and touch football!

  19. 2021-11-06
    status Pending 381-char remark
    Show marketing remark (381 chars)

    Great Starter or Investment Property! This is an adorable 2 bed 1 bath with updates including newer windows, laminate and carpet throughout, knotty pine interior doors, updated bathroom with shower/tub combo. Living room features electric fireplace. The kitchen has is very cute with stove, refrigerator and dishwasher. Very large backyard ready for your BBQ and touch football!

  20. 2021-10-26
    listed $64,200 Active 381-char remark
    Show marketing remark (381 chars)

    Great Starter or Investment Property! This is an adorable 2 bed 1 bath with updates including newer windows, laminate and carpet throughout, knotty pine interior doors, updated bathroom with shower/tub combo. Living room features electric fireplace. The kitchen has is very cute with stove, refrigerator and dishwasher. Very large backyard ready for your BBQ and touch football!

  21. 2020-04-24
    soldstatus $45,000
  22. 2020-04-17
    soldstatus $45,000 335-char remark
    Show marketing remark (335 chars)

    Cute as a bug! Ready for starter or investor, well maintained, close to downtown and schools. Huge backyard is a blank canvas ready for love! Includes, stove, refrigerator AND washer/dryer. Beautifully tiled kitchen countertops, Cedar lined closet. Steel entry doors, several knotty pine interior doors. Schedule a showing today!

  23. 2020-02-17
    listed $50,000 335-char remark
    Show marketing remark (335 chars)

    Cute as a bug! Ready for starter or investor, well maintained, close to downtown and schools. Huge backyard is a blank canvas ready for love! Includes, stove, refrigerator AND washer/dryer. Beautifully tiled kitchen countertops, Cedar lined closet. Steel entry doors, several knotty pine interior doors. Schedule a showing today!

  24. 2016-06-13
    historical
  25. 2016-01-13
    listed $42,000
  26. 2007-08-15
    soldstatus $19,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$771 · $64/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$771 · $64/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,440
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$771
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$835
− Management
−$835
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$790
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$190
After-tax cash flow
$1,853/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pauls Valley
NCES district ID
4023550
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$37,515
Composite
20.87/100
National rank
#8497
State rank
#117 of 270 in OK

Livability — Pauls Valley

Score
54/100
State rank
#604
US rank
#24233

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pauls Valley, OK
City population
9,478
Population (ZIP)
9,478

Population outlook (Garvin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,277 people
By 2030
28,619 · +1.2%
By 2040
29,478 · +4.2%
By 2050
30,384 · +7.5%
By 2075
34,074 · +20.5%
By 2100
36,099 · +27.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 12% Native American 5% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 3% European 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 10%

Political lean MEDSL · Garvin

2024 margin
Solid R (+66.1) · D 16.4% · R 82.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-22.5pp toward R · 2008: -43.6pp · 2024: -66.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+66.1 2020: R+64.2 2016: R+60.7 2012: R+46.1 2008: R+43.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -38.52%
Current HPI
235.1168
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+310.3% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $80,000 DAOR
  • 2021-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $58,700 Public Records
  • 2021-12-27 Sold (MLS) $58,700 MLSOK
  • 2021-11-06 Pending MLSOK
  • 2021-10-26 Listed $64,200 MLSOK
  • 2020-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2020-04-17 Sold (MLS) $45,000 MLSOK
  • 2020-02-17 Listed $50,000 MLSOK
  • 2016-06-13 Listing Removed MLSOK
  • 2016-01-13 Listed $42,000 MLSOK
  • 2007-08-15 Sold (Public Records) $19,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+13.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $771 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…