118 Pecan St · Pauls Valley, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.8/30.0
- ARV discount +14.2/15.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great Starter or Investment Property! This is an adorable 2 bed 1 bath with updates including newer windows, laminate and carpet throughout, knotty pine interior doors, updated bathroom with shower/tub combo. Living room features electric fireplace. The kitchen has is very cute with stove, refrigerator and dishwasher. Very large backyard ready for your BBQ and touch football!
Key facts
- Move-in ready
- Renovated home
- Fresh paint
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Single story
- Exterior features: Composition roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Electric oven
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Electric range; Electric oven; Central heating and cooling; Natural gas heating
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $170 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($870 rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 3.1% in Pauls Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 54/100 on livability (#604 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Pauls Valley (town): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #117 of 270 in OK (top 43%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Garvin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Garvin County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $59k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.12%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $93,936
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 224 N Cherry St St | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 992 (+9%) | 2mo | $79,000 | $80 | 79 |
| 106 Chestnut | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 894 (-2%) | 11mo | $129,900 | $145 | 73 |
| 315 N Cherry St | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 870 (-5%) | 19mo | $90,000 | $103 | 69 |
| 718 N Santa Fe St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 972 (+7%) | 7mo | $80,000 | $82 | 60 |
| 409 N Elm St | 0.27mi | 2/1.5 | 1,024 (+12%) | 22mo | $87,000 | $85 | 46 |
| 413 N Cherry St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,040 (+14%) | 21mo | $131,950 | $127 | 43 |
| 801 N Pine St | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 | 996 (+9%) | 14mo | $130,000 | $131 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-2,133
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.54×
- Total profit
- $12,063
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73075
- Home prices YoY
- -14.1%
- Active inventory
- 85
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $870 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$64 /mo · $771/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$183
- Net cashflow
- $170
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $215 | -5% $193 | +0% $170 | +5% $148 | +10% $125 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $101 | -5% $136 | +0% $170 | +5% $205 | +10% $239 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $210 | -0.5pp $191 | base $170 | +0.5pp $149 | +1.0pp $128 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $80,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $80,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $80,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $80,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $80,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $80,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-19$80,000 Active
-
2021-12-28soldstatus $58,700
-
2021-12-27soldstatus $58,700 Sold 381-char remark
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
Great Starter or Investment Property! This is an adorable 2 bed 1 bath with updates including newer windows, laminate and carpet throughout, knotty pine interior doors, updated bathroom with shower/tub combo. Living room features electric fireplace. The kitchen has is very cute with stove, refrigerator and dishwasher. Very large backyard ready for your BBQ and touch football!
-
2021-11-06status Pending 381-char remark
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
Great Starter or Investment Property! This is an adorable 2 bed 1 bath with updates including newer windows, laminate and carpet throughout, knotty pine interior doors, updated bathroom with shower/tub combo. Living room features electric fireplace. The kitchen has is very cute with stove, refrigerator and dishwasher. Very large backyard ready for your BBQ and touch football!
-
2021-10-26$64,200 Active 381-char remark
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
Great Starter or Investment Property! This is an adorable 2 bed 1 bath with updates including newer windows, laminate and carpet throughout, knotty pine interior doors, updated bathroom with shower/tub combo. Living room features electric fireplace. The kitchen has is very cute with stove, refrigerator and dishwasher. Very large backyard ready for your BBQ and touch football!
-
2020-04-24soldstatus $45,000
-
2020-04-17soldstatus $45,000 335-char remark
Show marketing remark (335 chars)
Cute as a bug! Ready for starter or investor, well maintained, close to downtown and schools. Huge backyard is a blank canvas ready for love! Includes, stove, refrigerator AND washer/dryer. Beautifully tiled kitchen countertops, Cedar lined closet. Steel entry doors, several knotty pine interior doors. Schedule a showing today!
-
2020-02-17$50,000 335-char remark
Show marketing remark (335 chars)
Cute as a bug! Ready for starter or investor, well maintained, close to downtown and schools. Huge backyard is a blank canvas ready for love! Includes, stove, refrigerator AND washer/dryer. Beautifully tiled kitchen countertops, Cedar lined closet. Steel entry doors, several knotty pine interior doors. Schedule a showing today!
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2016-06-13historical
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2016-01-13$42,000
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2007-08-15soldstatus $19,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $771 · $64/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $771 · $64/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,440
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$771
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$835
- − Management
- −$835
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $790
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$190
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,853/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pauls Valley
- NCES district ID
- 4023550
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,515
- Composite
- 20.87/100
- National rank
- #8497
- State rank
- #117 of 270 in OK
Livability — Pauls Valley
- Score
- 54/100
- State rank
- #604
- US rank
- #24233
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pauls Valley, OK
- City population
- 9,478
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,478
Population outlook (Garvin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 28,277 people
- By 2030
- 28,619 · +1.2%
- By 2040
- 29,478 · +4.2%
- By 2050
- 30,384 · +7.5%
- By 2075
- 34,074 · +20.5%
- By 2100
- 36,099 · +27.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 12% Native American 5% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 3% European 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 10%
Political lean MEDSL · Garvin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+66.1) · D 16.4% · R 82.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.5pp toward R · 2008: -43.6pp · 2024: -66.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+66.1 2020: R+64.2 2016: R+60.7 2012: R+46.1 2008: R+43.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -38.52%
- Current HPI
- 235.1168
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+310.3% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $80,000 DAOR
- 2021-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $58,700 Public Records
- 2021-12-27 Sold (MLS) $58,700 MLSOK
- 2021-11-06 Pending — MLSOK
- 2021-10-26 Listed $64,200 MLSOK
- 2020-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2020-04-17 Sold (MLS) $45,000 MLSOK
- 2020-02-17 Listed $50,000 MLSOK
- 2016-06-13 Listing Removed — MLSOK
- 2016-01-13 Listed $42,000 MLSOK
- 2007-08-15 Sold (Public Records) $19,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+13.2%/yrLatest (2025): $771 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…