275 Granite Rd · Ossipee, NH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $507 – $941
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +4.8/30.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.2/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$320,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
HISTORIC JACOB LEIGHTON HOUSE IN PEACEFUL GRANITE, NH. BEAUTIFULLY RESTORED W/ ORIG FRPLCS, BEEHIVE OVN, PANELLING, EXPSD BEAMS WAINSCTNG. NEW BTHS, KITCHN, OFFICE, CEDAR SHINGLES, ROOF 12X14 SHINGLD MINI-BARN. RUFUS PORTER STYLE MURAL BY MARY RITTER
Key facts
- Updated windows
- Newer roof
- First floor laundry
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel driveway
- Utilities: Drilled well; On-site private septic (leach field); 100 Amp service with circuit breakers; Eversource electric; Cable available (Spectrum); Fiber optic and high-speed internet available; Telephone service available
- Home design: Saltbox style; Existing structure; Natural exterior color; Shingle - asphalt roof
- Construction: Built in 1808; Wood frame construction with shake siding and wood exterior; Foundation details not specified
- Exterior features: Country setting; Near golf course; Near shopping; Near snowmobile trails; Rural; Gravel driveway; Surveyed
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: First-floor bedroom; Second-floor bedroom; Second-floor bedroom
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (first floor); One 3/4 bathroom (second floor)
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Electric heating; Wood stove
- Interior features: 10 total rooms; Foyer; Living room; Dining room; Playroom; Crawl space basement (interior access), dirt and gravel floor, unfinished with interior stairs
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $320k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-782 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $182k (43.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $165k (48.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $165k (48.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Governor Wentworth Reg School District (rural): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #47 of 98 in NH (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Ossipee Central School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #190 of 263 statewide, top 75%, 287 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools average 57% FRL vs 27% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 32% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Governor Wentworth Reg School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 357 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $34k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Carroll County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$55k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($310k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $175k; list at $320k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1808 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 48% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1808 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.52% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- -10.47%
- DSCR
- 0.53
- GRM
- 16.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $456,068
- List price
- $320,000
- Delta
- -29.84%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.39×
- Total profit
- $124,418
- Equity at exit
- $288,281
- IRR
- 16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.53×
- Total profit
- $405,458
- Equity at exit
- $621,690
Cash invested: $89,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Hampshire
- 56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+1
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 03864
- Home prices YoY
- 34.7%
- Active inventory
- 35
- Price-to-rent
- 16.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,651 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,678
- Tax from tax record
- −$275 /mo · $3,296/yr
- Insurance
- −$133
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$347
- Net cashflow
- $-782
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $80,000
- Closing costs
- $9,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $320,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $320,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $320,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $320,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $320,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $320,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $320,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $320,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $320,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $320,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $320,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $320,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $320,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $320,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-13$320,000 Active 1402-char remark
-
2025-08-31price $335,000
-
2025-07-24price $350,000
-
2004-07-16soldstatus $175,000
Show marketing remark (250 chars)
HISTORIC JACOB LEIGHTON HOUSE IN PEACEFUL GRANITE, NH. BEAUTIFULLY RESTORED W/ ORIG FRPLCS, BEEHIVE OVN, PANELLING, EXPSD BEAMS WAINSCTNG. NEW BTHS, KITCHN, OFFICE, CEDAR SHINGLES, ROOF 12X14 SHINGLD MINI-BARN. RUFUS PORTER STYLE MURAL BY MARY RITTER
-
2004-06-14historical
Show marketing remark (250 chars)
HISTORIC JACOB LEIGHTON HOUSE IN PEACEFUL GRANITE, NH. BEAUTIFULLY RESTORED W/ ORIG FRPLCS, BEEHIVE OVN, PANELLING, EXPSD BEAMS WAINSCTNG. NEW BTHS, KITCHN, OFFICE, CEDAR SHINGLES, ROOF 12X14 SHINGLD MINI-BARN. RUFUS PORTER STYLE MURAL BY MARY RITTER
-
2004-02-16$174,000
Show marketing remark (250 chars)
HISTORIC JACOB LEIGHTON HOUSE IN PEACEFUL GRANITE, NH. BEAUTIFULLY RESTORED W/ ORIG FRPLCS, BEEHIVE OVN, PANELLING, EXPSD BEAMS WAINSCTNG. NEW BTHS, KITCHN, OFFICE, CEDAR SHINGLES, ROOF 12X14 SHINGLD MINI-BARN. RUFUS PORTER STYLE MURAL BY MARY RITTER
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2004-02-02soldstatus $140,000
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2004-01-06historical
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2003-08-02$165,000
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2001-11-29soldstatus $80,000
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2001-10-30historical
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2001-05-26$89,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,296 · $275/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,136 · $428/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,840/yr (+$153/mo · 55.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,808
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,925
- − Property taxes
- −$3,296
- − Insurance
- −$1,600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,585
- − Management
- −$1,585
- − Depreciation
- −$9,309
- Taxable loss
- −$15,491
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,718
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,667/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Governor Wentworth Reg School District
- NCES district ID
- 3303330
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,933
- Composite
- 41.24/100
- National rank
- #3533
- State rank
- #47 of 98 in NH
Livability — Ossipee
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,047
Population outlook (Carroll County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,072 people
- By 2030
- 43,158 · -4.2%
- By 2040
- 38,044 · -15.6%
- By 2050
- 33,087 · -26.6%
- By 2075
- 25,661 · -43.1%
- By 2100
- 18,684 · -58.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Black 8% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% German 3% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Carroll
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.8% · R 50.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -1.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.7 2020: D+1.5 2016: R+5.7 2012: R+0.8 2008: D+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 141.67%
- Current HPI
- 550.4057
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+256.0% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $320,000 PrimeMLS
- 2025-08-31 Price Changed $335,000 PrimeMLS
- 2025-07-24 Price Changed $350,000 PrimeMLS
- 2004-07-16 Sold (MLS) $175,000 PrimeMLS
- 2004-06-14 Delisted — PrimeMLS
- 2004-02-16 Listed $174,000 PrimeMLS
- 2004-02-02 Sold (MLS) $140,000 PrimeMLS
- 2004-01-06 Delisted — PrimeMLS
- 2003-08-02 Listed $165,000 PrimeMLS
- 2001-11-29 Sold (MLS) $80,000 PrimeMLS
- 2001-10-30 Delisted — PrimeMLS
- 2001-05-26 Listed $89,900 PrimeMLS
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2024): $3,296 · +11.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…