111 Ridge Rd · Eureka Springs, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.7/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$235,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nestled in the serene Ozarks, this newly constructed 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home blends modern design with natural beauty. Spacious living areas feature large windows that flood the space with natural light and provide picturesque views of the surrounding landscape. Adjacent kitchen space offers plenty of room for customization, perfect for culinary creations and entertaining guests. Master suite provides a private retreat with an en-suite bathroom for comfort and convenience. Step outside to the back deck, ideal for relaxing while enjoying tranquil views of the property. Just minutes from Beaver Lake, easy access to boating, fishing, and hiking enhances outdoor living opportunities.
Key facts
- Large windows
- Beaver lake
- Kitchen space
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($30k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $235k).
- Recommended offer: $207k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.9% vs local median 1.7% in Eureka Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#78 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety C-, amenities D.
- Eureka Springs School District (rural): math 37% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #61 of 238 in AR (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Eureka Springs Elem. School (math 47% / reading 42%, grade F, #143 of 454 statewide, top 36%, 227 students, 66% FRL); Eureka Springs Middle School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #92 of 201 statewide, top 50%, 212 students, 64% FRL); Eureka Springs High School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #48 of 292 statewide, top 19%, 222 students, 51% FRL).
- Market conditions: 372 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 30 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $19k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (7.3% local appreciation)).
- Carroll County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (7.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $66k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 153 days — a 12% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $13k; list at $235k implies a 1708% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 153 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 45.06%
- DSCR
- 3.00
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $446,073
- List price
- $235,000
- Delta
- -47.32%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
7.31% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 56.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.71×
- Total profit
- $243,993
- Equity at exit
- $167,640
- IRR
- 51.7%
- Equity multiple
- 9.99×
- Total profit
- $591,263
- Equity at exit
- $322,878
Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72631
- Home prices YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 372
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,183 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,232
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$294 /mo · $3,525/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,088
- Net cashflow
- $2,471
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,633 | -5% $2,552 | +0% $2,471 | +5% $2,389 | +10% $2,308 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $2,061 | -5% $2,266 | +0% $2,471 | +5% $2,675 | +10% $2,880 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,589 | -0.5pp $2,530 | base $2,471 | +0.5pp $2,410 | +1.0pp $2,348 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,750
- Closing costs
- $7,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85 Center Rd Unit 1221900P Eureka Springs, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1237 | $5,183 | $4.19 | 15d | 1 | 0.71mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $235,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $235,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $235,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $235,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $235,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $235,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $235,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $235,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $235,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $235,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $235,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $235,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $235,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $235,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $235,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $235,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-04-23price $235,000 691-char remark
Show marketing remark (691 chars)
Nestled in the serene Ozarks, this newly constructed 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home blends modern design with natural beauty. Spacious living areas feature large windows that flood the space with natural light and provide picturesque views of the surrounding landscape. Adjacent kitchen space offers plenty of room for customization, perfect for culinary creations and entertaining guests. Master suite provides a private retreat with an en-suite bathroom for comfort and convenience. Step outside to the back deck, ideal for relaxing while enjoying tranquil views of the property. Just minutes from Beaver Lake, easy access to boating, fishing, and hiking enhances outdoor living opportunities.
-
2026-03-19price $255,000 691-char remark
Show marketing remark (691 chars)
Nestled in the serene Ozarks, this newly constructed 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home blends modern design with natural beauty. Spacious living areas feature large windows that flood the space with natural light and provide picturesque views of the surrounding landscape. Adjacent kitchen space offers plenty of room for customization, perfect for culinary creations and entertaining guests. Master suite provides a private retreat with an en-suite bathroom for comfort and convenience. Step outside to the back deck, ideal for relaxing while enjoying tranquil views of the property. Just minutes from Beaver Lake, easy access to boating, fishing, and hiking enhances outdoor living opportunities.
-
2026-01-19$265,000 Active 691-char remark
Show marketing remark (691 chars)
Nestled in the serene Ozarks, this newly constructed 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home blends modern design with natural beauty. Spacious living areas feature large windows that flood the space with natural light and provide picturesque views of the surrounding landscape. Adjacent kitchen space offers plenty of room for customization, perfect for culinary creations and entertaining guests. Master suite provides a private retreat with an en-suite bathroom for comfort and convenience. Step outside to the back deck, ideal for relaxing while enjoying tranquil views of the property. Just minutes from Beaver Lake, easy access to boating, fishing, and hiking enhances outdoor living opportunities.
-
2022-01-11soldstatus $13,000
-
2022-01-07soldstatus $13,000 Closed 314-char remark
Show marketing remark (314 chars)
Located in a well-established subdivision, this lot would make a nice home site. Mundell Heights has a community water system and electricity is already at the street so building should be easy. Getting to Beaver Lake, the White River, or Eureka Springs, is easy and quick! Owner financing is possible on this lot.
-
2021-11-30status Pending 314-char remark
Show marketing remark (314 chars)
Located in a well-established subdivision, this lot would make a nice home site. Mundell Heights has a community water system and electricity is already at the street so building should be easy. Getting to Beaver Lake, the White River, or Eureka Springs, is easy and quick! Owner financing is possible on this lot.
-
2018-05-07$13,000 Active 314-char remark
Show marketing remark (314 chars)
Located in a well-established subdivision, this lot would make a nice home site. Mundell Heights has a community water system and electricity is already at the street so building should be easy. Getting to Beaver Lake, the White River, or Eureka Springs, is easy and quick! Owner financing is possible on this lot.
-
2003-04-04soldstatus $5,000
-
1993-05-10soldstatus $7,000
-
1982-08-30soldstatus $5,000
-
1982-08-28soldstatus $6,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $62,196
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,164
- − Property taxes
- −$3,525
- − Insurance
- −$1,175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,976
- − Management
- −$4,976
- − Depreciation
- −$6,836
- Taxable income
- $27,545
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$6,611
- After-tax cash flow
- $23,036/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Eureka Springs School District
- NCES district ID
- 0505970
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,912
- Composite
- 34.55/100
- National rank
- #5171
- State rank
- #61 of 238 in AR
Livability — Eureka Springs
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #9085
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 4,550
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,084
Population outlook (Carroll County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 28,014 people
- By 2030
- 28,006 · +-0.0%
- By 2040
- 28,242 · +0.8%
- By 2050
- 29,169 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 33,935 · +21.1%
- By 2100
- 39,497 · +41.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 7% Italian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Carroll
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.7) · D 33.0% · R 64.7% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.1pp · 2024: -31.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.7 2020: R+28.8 2016: R+32.3 2012: R+23.9 2008: R+18.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.31%
- Current HPI
- 260.9347
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+3816.7% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $235,000 NWARMLS
- 2026-03-19 Price Changed $255,000 NWARMLS
- 2026-01-19 Listed $265,000 NWARMLS
- 2022-01-11 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
- 2022-01-07 Sold (MLS) $13,000 NWARMLS
- 2021-11-30 Pending — NWARMLS
- 2018-05-07 Listed $13,000 NWARMLS
- 2003-04-04 Sold (Public Records) $5,000 Public Records
- 1993-05-10 Sold (Public Records) $7,000 Public Records
- 1982-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $5,000 Public Records
- 1982-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $6,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $378 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…