🏷️ Likely Rental
1020 Beech St · Connersville, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +2.3/10.0
$64,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Tenant pays $1200 monthly including utilities
Key facts
- 8,276 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1920
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Gravel driveway; 2 garage spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Level lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (includes bedrooms and other living spaces)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Electric water heater; Basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $64k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $220 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($900 rent vs $64k).
- Recommended offer: $62k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 4.9% in Connersville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#313 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, amenities F.
- Fayette County School Corporation (town): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #206 of 301 in IN (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Grandview Elementary School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #652 of 994 statewide, top 68%, 539 students, 71% FRL).
- Market conditions: 171 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 20 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $442 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fayette County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $41k; list at $64k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.70%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $116,028
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 916 W 10th St | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 1,100 (-6%) | 4mo | $98,000 | $89 | 79 |
| 610 W 9th St | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,078 (-8%) | 1mo | $31,000 | $29 | 69 |
| 803 Mulberry St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,303 (+11%) | 6mo | $39,000 | $30 | 58 |
| 1317 W 6th St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,092 (-7%) | 6mo | $170,000 | $156 | 56 |
| 121 10th St | 0.72mi | 1/1.5 (-1) | 1,216 (+4%) | 1mo | $78,000 | $64 | 52 |
| 1328 W 6th St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,300 (+11%) | 10mo | $135,000 | $104 | 52 |
| 1532 Indian Spgs | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,081 (-8%) | 1mo | $189,000 | $175 | 51 |
| 1423 Memorial Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,040 (-11%) | 10mo | $145,900 | $140 | 48 |
| 1824 Boulevard Pl | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 1,036 (-12%) | 3mo | $103,000 | $99 | 44 |
| 640 W 17th St | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,032 (-12%) | 1mo | $35,000 | $34 | 42 |
| 417 W 15th St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 1,317 (+12%) | 9mo | $60,250 | $46 | 40 |
| 1603 Grand Ave | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 | 1,023 (-13%) | 9mo | $136,000 | $133 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $3,656
- Equity at exit
- $9,543
- IRR
- 14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.19×
- Total profit
- $21,367
- Equity at exit
- $5,534
Cash invested: $17,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47331
- Home prices YoY
- -2.1%
- Active inventory
- 171
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $900 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$336
- Tax from tax record
- −$129 /mo · $1,550/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$189
- Net cashflow
- $220
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,000
- Closing costs
- $1,920
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 309 W 11th St Connersville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $900 | $0.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $64,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $64,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $64,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $64,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $64,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $64,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $64,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $64,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $64,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $64,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $64,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $64,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $64,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $64,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $64,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-04-24$64,000 Active
Show marketing remark (45 chars)
Tenant pays $1200 monthly including utilities
-
2026-04-24$64,000 Active 45-char remark
Show marketing remark (45 chars)
Tenant pays $1200 monthly including utilities
-
2025-04-29soldstatus $41,000 Closed
-
2025-04-29soldstatus $41,000 Closed
-
2025-04-29soldstatus $30,000
-
2025-03-24status Pending
-
2025-03-24status Pending
-
2025-01-10$90,000 Active
-
2025-01-10$90,000 Active
-
2011-04-26soldstatus $40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,550 · $129/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,550 · $129/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,585
- − Property taxes
- −$1,550
- − Insurance
- −$320
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$864
- − Management
- −$864
- − Depreciation
- −$1,862
- Taxable income
- $1,755
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$421
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,213/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fayette County School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803510
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,669
- Composite
- 28.81/100
- National rank
- #6659
- State rank
- #206 of 301 in IN
Livability — Connersville
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #313
- US rank
- #12417
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Connersville, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,769
Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,758 people
- By 2030
- 20,673 · -5.0%
- By 2040
- 18,335 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 16,056 · -26.2%
- By 2075
- 11,030 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 6,800 · -68.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.3) · D 21.2% · R 77.5% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -50.8pp toward R · 2008: -5.6pp · 2024: -56.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.3 2020: R+54.4 2016: R+48.1 2012: R+16.9 2008: R+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -5.33%
- Current HPI
- 252.3898
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+60.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Listed $64,000 RRELMS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $64,000 ECIAOR
- 2025-04-29 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 2025-04-29 Sold (MLS) $41,000 RRELMS
- 2025-04-29 Sold (MLS) $41,000 ECIAOR
- 2025-03-24 Pending — RRELMS
- 2025-03-24 Pending — ECIAOR
- 2025-01-10 Listed $90,000 ECIAOR
- 2025-01-10 Listed $90,000 RRELMS
- 2011-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2024): $1,550 · +14.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…