702 Lookout Ave · Charleroi, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.7/30.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +5.0/15.0
- Appreciation +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$71,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Super cute home with covered front porch and back porch. One car garage in rear. Back yard is the perfect spot for your furry friend. Large living room, eat in size kitchen, and 3rd bedroom ( on the main level ) could be a dinning room instead if you wanted. Two large bedrooms upstairs share a “jack and Jill “ bathroom
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- One car garage
- Back yard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $72k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $193 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($911 rent vs $72k).
- Recommended offer: $67k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 15.3% in Charleroi — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#382 in PA, #3,416 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D+, employment F.
- Charleroi SD (rural): math 20% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #421 of 539 in PA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 489 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.8%/yr); year-one equity from $494 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-1.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $72k implies a 104% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.59%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $67,706
- List price
- $71,500
- Delta
- 5.60%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 924 5th St | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 | 1,087 (+14%) | 6mo | $58,000 | $53 | 59 |
| 807 Lookout Ave | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 825 (-13%) | 21mo | $58,000 | $70 | 53 |
| 412 Oakland Ave | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,050 (+10%) | 22mo | $84,000 | $80 | 44 |
| 301 Fremont Rd | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 | 1,087 (+14%) | 16mo | $122,500 | $113 | 44 |
| 37 Moyer Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,088 (+14%) | 18mo | $162,000 | $149 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.83% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $4,325
- Equity at exit
- $14,457
- IRR
- 12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.15×
- Total profit
- $22,964
- Equity at exit
- $12,903
Cash invested: $20,020 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15022
- Home prices YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $911 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$375
- Tax from tax record
- −$122 /mo · $1,458/yr
- Insurance
- −$30
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$191
- Net cashflow
- $193
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,875
- Closing costs
- $2,145
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 207 5th St Apt 203 Charleroi, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $695 | $1.07 | 1d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1204 Lower Meadow Ave Charleroi, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,150 | $1.12 | 1d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1221 Graham Ave Monessen, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,300 | $1.35 | 1d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 925 Leeds Ave Monessen, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $700 | $0.70 | 14d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 925 Leeds Ave Monessen, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $700 | $0.70 | 1d | 1 | 1.12mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $71,500 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $71,500 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $71,500 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $71,500 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $71,500 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $71,500 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $71,500 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $71,500 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $71,500 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $71,500 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $71,500 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $71,500 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $71,500 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $71,500 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
Super cute home with covered front porch and back porch. One car garage in rear. Back yard is the perfect spot for your furry friend. Large living room, eat in size kitchen, and 3rd bedroom ( on the main level ) could be a dinning room instead if you wanted. Two large bedrooms upstairs share a “jack and Jill “ bathroom
-
2026-04-06$73,000 Active 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
Super cute home with covered front porch and back porch. One car garage in rear. Back yard is the perfect spot for your furry friend. Large living room, eat in size kitchen, and 3rd bedroom ( on the main level ) could be a dinning room instead if you wanted. Two large bedrooms upstairs share a “jack and Jill “ bathroom
-
2014-12-22soldstatus $35,000
-
2014-12-11price $35,000 500-char remark
Show marketing remark (500 chars)
Charming Home Newer Windows, High Efficiency Furnace. Master Bedroom on the Main Level. Large Eat-in-Kitchen has two seater counter bar and lots of cabinets for storage. Full Bathoom on Main Level and a Jack-n-Jill Powder Room between both Upper Level Bedrooms. Large Covered Front Porch freshly painted. Rear Porch overlooks small Yard. Convenient One-car Detached Garage has Alley Access. There is additional on-street parking as well for guests. This home will make a great starter home or rental.
-
2014-12-10price $42,000 500-char remark
Show marketing remark (500 chars)
Charming Home Newer Windows, High Efficiency Furnace. Master Bedroom on the Main Level. Large Eat-in-Kitchen has two seater counter bar and lots of cabinets for storage. Full Bathoom on Main Level and a Jack-n-Jill Powder Room between both Upper Level Bedrooms. Large Covered Front Porch freshly painted. Rear Porch overlooks small Yard. Convenient One-car Detached Garage has Alley Access. There is additional on-street parking as well for guests. This home will make a great starter home or rental.
-
2014-12-10soldstatus $35,000 500-char remark
Show marketing remark (500 chars)
Charming Home Newer Windows, High Efficiency Furnace. Master Bedroom on the Main Level. Large Eat-in-Kitchen has two seater counter bar and lots of cabinets for storage. Full Bathoom on Main Level and a Jack-n-Jill Powder Room between both Upper Level Bedrooms. Large Covered Front Porch freshly painted. Rear Porch overlooks small Yard. Convenient One-car Detached Garage has Alley Access. There is additional on-street parking as well for guests. This home will make a great starter home or rental.
-
2014-09-11$42,000 500-char remark
Show marketing remark (500 chars)
Charming Home Newer Windows, High Efficiency Furnace. Master Bedroom on the Main Level. Large Eat-in-Kitchen has two seater counter bar and lots of cabinets for storage. Full Bathoom on Main Level and a Jack-n-Jill Powder Room between both Upper Level Bedrooms. Large Covered Front Porch freshly painted. Rear Porch overlooks small Yard. Convenient One-car Detached Garage has Alley Access. There is additional on-street parking as well for guests. This home will make a great starter home or rental.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,458 · $122/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,458 · $122/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,930
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,005
- − Property taxes
- −$1,458
- − Insurance
- −$358
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$874
- − Management
- −$874
- − Depreciation
- −$2,080
- Taxable income
- $1,280
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$307
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,012/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charleroi SD
- NCES district ID
- 4205640
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,410
- Composite
- 29.72/100
- National rank
- #6450
- State rank
- #421 of 539 in PA
Livability — Charleroi
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #382
- US rank
- #3416
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Charleroi, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,044
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 208,060 people
- By 2030
- 207,168 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,738 · -2.6%
- By 2050
- 195,269 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 175,588 · -15.6%
- By 2100
- 145,827 · -29.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 6% Black 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.5) · D 36.9% · R 62.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.7pp · 2024: -25.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.5 2020: R+22.8 2016: R+25.3 2012: R+13.3 2008: R+4.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.83%
- Current HPI
- 174.218
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+70.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $71,500 West Penn MLS
- 2026-04-06 Listed $73,000 West Penn MLS
- 2014-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 2014-12-11 Price Changed $35,000 West Penn MLS
- 2014-12-10 Sold (MLS) $35,000 West Penn MLS
- 2014-12-10 Price Changed $42,000 West Penn MLS
- 2014-09-11 Listed $42,000 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2026): $1,458 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…