23602 Youpon Lake Ln · Spring, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.0/30.0
- ARV discount +9.4/15.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome Home to Spring Crossing! This 3 bed, 2.5 bath townhome is just minutes from the Hardy Toll Road and I45 for an easy commute or great option to add to the rental portfolio. Corner lot allows for additional privacy plus charming front porch to relax and unwind. Nicely maintained two story has tile flooring throughout main living space. Open floor plan from kitchen to dining and living space is perfect for entertaining. Convenient main floor powder bath plus laundry area includes washer and dryer too! Back patio off kitchen offers additional space to grill, dine, and plenty of grassy space for the kids or pup to play. Primary bedroom features walk in closet plus an attached primary bath with walk in shower. Bedrooms 2 and 3 share second full bath. See it TODAY!!
Key facts
- Corner townhome
- Open concept design
- Tile flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Spring Crossing Community Association (annual fee $350); Community includes curbs
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 2 garage spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; 2 stories; Built in 2008; Slab foundation; Composition roof
- Construction: Cement siding construction
- Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Private yard; Side yard; Concrete road surface
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave
- Bedrooms: Three upstairs bedrooms (11x10, 11x10, 17x13); Downstairs kitchen (13x10) and living room (15x10) noted among 5 total rooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: Kitchen and family room combo; Kitchen and dining combo; Tub/shower; Ceiling fan(s)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $136 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.5% in Spring — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#635 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Spring ISD (suburban): math 19% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #730 of 826 in TX (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Gloria Marshall El (math 15% / reading 25%, grade F, #3,536 of 4,322 statewide, top 83%, 953 students, 81% FRL); Rickey C Bailey Middle (math 15% / reading 23%, grade F, #1,466 of 1,662 statewide, top 89%, 1,065 students, 85% FRL); Spring H S (math 12% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,497 of 1,632 statewide, top 92%, 2,760 students, 72% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 595 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 10 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.91%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $208,943
- List price
- $200,000
- Delta
- -4.28%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23621 Wildwood Green Way | 0.05mi | 3/2.5 | 1,440 (-2%) | 13mo | $175,000 | $122 | 83 |
| 23731 Pebworth Pl | 0.22mi | 3/2.5 | 1,564 (+6%) | 21mo | $179,900 | $115 | 62 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-30,193
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- -14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-39,973
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77373
- Rents YoY
- -0.3%
- Active inventory
- 595
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,263 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$491 /mo · $5,890/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$29
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$475
- Net cashflow
- $136
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $29 · $348/yr
Listing history 45 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $200,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $200,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $200,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $200,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $200,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $200,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $200,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $200,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $200,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $200,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $200,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $200,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $200,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-14$200,000 Active 967-char remark
-
2024-11-13historical $1,650
-
2024-11-04historical $1,650
-
2024-09-12$1,650
-
2024-08-29price $1,650
-
2024-08-28$2,650
-
2024-07-11soldstatus
-
2024-07-09historical 777-char remark
Show marketing remark (777 chars)
Welcome Home to Spring Crossing! This 3 bed, 2.5 bath townhome is just minutes from the Hardy Toll Road and I45 for an easy commute or great option to add to the rental portfolio. Corner lot allows for additional privacy plus charming front porch to relax and unwind. Nicely maintained two story has tile flooring throughout main living space. Open floor plan from kitchen to dining and living space is perfect for entertaining. Convenient main floor powder bath plus laundry area includes washer and dryer too! Back patio off kitchen offers additional space to grill, dine, and plenty of grassy space for the kids or pup to play. Primary bedroom features walk in closet plus an attached primary bath with walk in shower. Bedrooms 2 and 3 share second full bath. See it TODAY!!
-
2024-07-08soldstatus Sold 777-char remark
Show marketing remark (777 chars)
Welcome Home to Spring Crossing! This 3 bed, 2.5 bath townhome is just minutes from the Hardy Toll Road and I45 for an easy commute or great option to add to the rental portfolio. Corner lot allows for additional privacy plus charming front porch to relax and unwind. Nicely maintained two story has tile flooring throughout main living space. Open floor plan from kitchen to dining and living space is perfect for entertaining. Convenient main floor powder bath plus laundry area includes washer and dryer too! Back patio off kitchen offers additional space to grill, dine, and plenty of grassy space for the kids or pup to play. Primary bedroom features walk in closet plus an attached primary bath with walk in shower. Bedrooms 2 and 3 share second full bath. See it TODAY!!
-
2024-06-29status Pending 777-char remark
Show marketing remark (777 chars)
Welcome Home to Spring Crossing! This 3 bed, 2.5 bath townhome is just minutes from the Hardy Toll Road and I45 for an easy commute or great option to add to the rental portfolio. Corner lot allows for additional privacy plus charming front porch to relax and unwind. Nicely maintained two story has tile flooring throughout main living space. Open floor plan from kitchen to dining and living space is perfect for entertaining. Convenient main floor powder bath plus laundry area includes washer and dryer too! Back patio off kitchen offers additional space to grill, dine, and plenty of grassy space for the kids or pup to play. Primary bedroom features walk in closet plus an attached primary bath with walk in shower. Bedrooms 2 and 3 share second full bath. See it TODAY!!
-
2024-06-13status Pending, Continue to Show 777-char remark
Show marketing remark (777 chars)
Welcome Home to Spring Crossing! This 3 bed, 2.5 bath townhome is just minutes from the Hardy Toll Road and I45 for an easy commute or great option to add to the rental portfolio. Corner lot allows for additional privacy plus charming front porch to relax and unwind. Nicely maintained two story has tile flooring throughout main living space. Open floor plan from kitchen to dining and living space is perfect for entertaining. Convenient main floor powder bath plus laundry area includes washer and dryer too! Back patio off kitchen offers additional space to grill, dine, and plenty of grassy space for the kids or pup to play. Primary bedroom features walk in closet plus an attached primary bath with walk in shower. Bedrooms 2 and 3 share second full bath. See it TODAY!!
-
2024-05-16$199,900 Active 777-char remark
Show marketing remark (777 chars)
Welcome Home to Spring Crossing! This 3 bed, 2.5 bath townhome is just minutes from the Hardy Toll Road and I45 for an easy commute or great option to add to the rental portfolio. Corner lot allows for additional privacy plus charming front porch to relax and unwind. Nicely maintained two story has tile flooring throughout main living space. Open floor plan from kitchen to dining and living space is perfect for entertaining. Convenient main floor powder bath plus laundry area includes washer and dryer too! Back patio off kitchen offers additional space to grill, dine, and plenty of grassy space for the kids or pup to play. Primary bedroom features walk in closet plus an attached primary bath with walk in shower. Bedrooms 2 and 3 share second full bath. See it TODAY!!
-
2024-05-15historical $199,900 777-char remark
Show marketing remark (777 chars)
Welcome Home to Spring Crossing! This 3 bed, 2.5 bath townhome is just minutes from the Hardy Toll Road and I45 for an easy commute or great option to add to the rental portfolio. Corner lot allows for additional privacy plus charming front porch to relax and unwind. Nicely maintained two story has tile flooring throughout main living space. Open floor plan from kitchen to dining and living space is perfect for entertaining. Convenient main floor powder bath plus laundry area includes washer and dryer too! Back patio off kitchen offers additional space to grill, dine, and plenty of grassy space for the kids or pup to play. Primary bedroom features walk in closet plus an attached primary bath with walk in shower. Bedrooms 2 and 3 share second full bath. See it TODAY!!
-
2023-09-30historical $1,550
-
2023-09-26$1,550
-
2021-08-31soldstatus
-
2016-07-27soldstatus
-
2016-07-22soldstatus Sold
-
2016-06-16status Pending
-
2016-06-04status Option Pending
-
2016-05-14status Active
-
2016-05-08status Pending
-
2016-04-27status Option Pending
-
2016-04-19status Active
-
2016-03-18status Pending
-
2016-02-29status Option Pending
-
2016-01-05$117,000 Active
-
2015-06-11soldstatus
-
2015-06-08soldstatus Sold
-
2015-05-18status Pending
-
2015-05-07status Option Pending
-
2015-02-05$115,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,890 · $491/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,890 · $491/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,155
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$5,890
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,172
- − Management
- −$2,172
- − HOA
- −$348
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable loss
- −$1,448
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$348
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,977/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Spring ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4841220
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,584
- Composite
- 20.12/100
- National rank
- #8643
- State rank
- #730 of 826 in TX
Livability — Spring
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #635
- US rank
- #12101
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Spring, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 430,529
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 69,739
- Household income
- $88,617
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1050.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 40% White 30% Black 23% Two or more races 22% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 27% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 32% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.98%
- Current HPI
- 251.7231
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.30%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+73.9% since first listed34 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $200,000 HARMLS
- 2026-06-12 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-05-14 Listed $200,000 HARMLS
- 2024-11-13 Rental Removed $1,650 RENTALBEAST
- 2024-11-04 Rental Removed $1,650 HARMLS
- 2024-09-12 Listed for Rent $1,650 RENTALBEAST
- 2024-08-29 Price Changed $1,650 HARMLS
- 2024-08-28 Listed for Rent $2,650 HARMLS
- 2024-07-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-07-09 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2024-07-08 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2024-06-29 Pending — HARMLS
- 2024-06-13 Pending — HARMLS
- 2024-05-16 Listed $199,900 HARMLS
- 2024-05-15 Coming Soon $199,900 HARMLS
- 2023-09-30 Rental Removed $1,550 HARMLS
- 2023-09-26 Listed for Rent $1,550 HARMLS
- 2021-08-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-07-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-07-22 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2016-06-16 Pending — HARMLS
- 2016-06-04 Pending — HARMLS
- 2016-05-14 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2016-05-08 Pending — HARMLS
- 2016-04-27 Pending — HARMLS
- 2016-04-19 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2016-03-18 Pending — HARMLS
- 2016-02-29 Pending — HARMLS
- 2016-01-05 Listed $117,000 HARMLS
- 2015-06-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2015-06-08 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2015-05-18 Pending — HARMLS
- 2015-05-07 Pending — HARMLS
- 2015-02-05 Listed $115,000 HARMLS
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $5,890 · -2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…