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23602 Youpon Lake Ln
D+ Composite 48.28
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • DSCR +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$200,000

23602 Youpon Lake Ln · Spring, TX 77373
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,470 sqft · Townhouse public records · 6 Days on market
Built 2008 3,882 sqft lot $136/sqft · at area comps Est $209k · at est. $29/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome Home to Spring Crossing! This 3 bed, 2.5 bath townhome is just minutes from the Hardy Toll Road and I45 for an easy commute or great option to add to the rental portfolio. Corner lot allows for additional privacy plus charming front porch to relax and unwind. Nicely maintained two story has tile flooring throughout main living space. Open floor plan from kitchen to dining and living space is perfect for entertaining. Convenient main floor powder bath plus laundry area includes washer and dryer too! Back patio off kitchen offers additional space to grill, dine, and plenty of grassy space for the kids or pup to play. Primary bedroom features walk in closet plus an attached primary bath with walk in shower. Bedrooms 2 and 3 share second full bath. See it TODAY!!

Key facts

  • Corner townhome
  • Open concept design
  • Tile flooring

Tags

CORNER TOWNHOMETWO STORY LAYOUTOPEN CONCEPT DESIGNTILE FLOORINGBACK PATIOWALK IN CLOSET

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Spring Crossing Community Association (annual fee $350); Community includes curbs

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; 2 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; 2 stories; Built in 2008; Slab foundation; Composition roof
  • Construction: Cement siding construction
  • Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Private yard; Side yard; Concrete road surface

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: Three upstairs bedrooms (11x10, 11x10, 17x13); Downstairs kitchen (13x10) and living room (15x10) noted among 5 total rooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Kitchen and family room combo; Kitchen and dining combo; Tub/shower; Ceiling fan(s)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $136 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.5% in Spring — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#635 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Spring ISD (suburban): math 19% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #730 of 826 in TX (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Gloria Marshall El (math 15% / reading 25%, grade F, #3,536 of 4,322 statewide, top 83%, 953 students, 81% FRL); Rickey C Bailey Middle (math 15% / reading 23%, grade F, #1,466 of 1,662 statewide, top 89%, 1,065 students, 85% FRL); Spring H S (math 12% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,497 of 1,632 statewide, top 92%, 2,760 students, 72% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 595 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 10 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $200,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
7.11%
Cash-on-cash
2.91%
DSCR
1.13
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$208,943
List price
$200,000
Delta
-4.28%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
23621 Wildwood Green Way 0.05mi 3/2.5 1,440 (-2%) 13mo $175,000 $122 83
23731 Pebworth Pl 0.22mi 3/2.5 1,564 (+6%) 21mo $179,900 $115 62

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.7%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-30,193
Equity at exit
$29,821
10-year hold
IRR
-14.9%
Equity multiple
0.29×
Total profit
$-39,973
Equity at exit
$17,292

Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77373

Rents YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
595
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,263 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,049
Tax from tax record
$491 /mo · $5,890/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$29
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$475
Net cashflow
$136

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,091
Max offer price $200,000
Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$50,000
Closing costs
$6,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$29 · $348/yr

Listing history 45 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $200,000 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $200,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $200,000 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $200,000 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on marketlisting id $200,000 Active 1 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $200,000 Active 26 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $200,000 Active 25 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $200,000 Active 24 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $200,000 Active 21 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $200,000 Active 20 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $200,000 Active 19 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $200,000 Active 18 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $200,000 Active 17 DOM
  14. 2026-05-14
    listed $200,000 Active 967-char remark
  15. 2024-11-13
    historical $1,650
  16. 2024-11-04
    historical $1,650
  17. 2024-09-12
    listed $1,650
  18. 2024-08-29
    price $1,650
  19. 2024-08-28
    listed $2,650
  20. 2024-07-11
    soldstatus
  21. 2024-07-09
    historical 777-char remark
    Show marketing remark (777 chars)

    Welcome Home to Spring Crossing! This 3 bed, 2.5 bath townhome is just minutes from the Hardy Toll Road and I45 for an easy commute or great option to add to the rental portfolio. Corner lot allows for additional privacy plus charming front porch to relax and unwind. Nicely maintained two story has tile flooring throughout main living space. Open floor plan from kitchen to dining and living space is perfect for entertaining. Convenient main floor powder bath plus laundry area includes washer and dryer too! Back patio off kitchen offers additional space to grill, dine, and plenty of grassy space for the kids or pup to play. Primary bedroom features walk in closet plus an attached primary bath with walk in shower. Bedrooms 2 and 3 share second full bath. See it TODAY!!

  22. 2024-07-08
    soldstatus Sold 777-char remark
    Show marketing remark (777 chars)

    Welcome Home to Spring Crossing! This 3 bed, 2.5 bath townhome is just minutes from the Hardy Toll Road and I45 for an easy commute or great option to add to the rental portfolio. Corner lot allows for additional privacy plus charming front porch to relax and unwind. Nicely maintained two story has tile flooring throughout main living space. Open floor plan from kitchen to dining and living space is perfect for entertaining. Convenient main floor powder bath plus laundry area includes washer and dryer too! Back patio off kitchen offers additional space to grill, dine, and plenty of grassy space for the kids or pup to play. Primary bedroom features walk in closet plus an attached primary bath with walk in shower. Bedrooms 2 and 3 share second full bath. See it TODAY!!

  23. 2024-06-29
    status Pending 777-char remark
    Show marketing remark (777 chars)

    Welcome Home to Spring Crossing! This 3 bed, 2.5 bath townhome is just minutes from the Hardy Toll Road and I45 for an easy commute or great option to add to the rental portfolio. Corner lot allows for additional privacy plus charming front porch to relax and unwind. Nicely maintained two story has tile flooring throughout main living space. Open floor plan from kitchen to dining and living space is perfect for entertaining. Convenient main floor powder bath plus laundry area includes washer and dryer too! Back patio off kitchen offers additional space to grill, dine, and plenty of grassy space for the kids or pup to play. Primary bedroom features walk in closet plus an attached primary bath with walk in shower. Bedrooms 2 and 3 share second full bath. See it TODAY!!

  24. 2024-06-13
    status Pending, Continue to Show 777-char remark
    Show marketing remark (777 chars)

    Welcome Home to Spring Crossing! This 3 bed, 2.5 bath townhome is just minutes from the Hardy Toll Road and I45 for an easy commute or great option to add to the rental portfolio. Corner lot allows for additional privacy plus charming front porch to relax and unwind. Nicely maintained two story has tile flooring throughout main living space. Open floor plan from kitchen to dining and living space is perfect for entertaining. Convenient main floor powder bath plus laundry area includes washer and dryer too! Back patio off kitchen offers additional space to grill, dine, and plenty of grassy space for the kids or pup to play. Primary bedroom features walk in closet plus an attached primary bath with walk in shower. Bedrooms 2 and 3 share second full bath. See it TODAY!!

  25. 2024-05-16
    listed $199,900 Active 777-char remark
    Show marketing remark (777 chars)

    Welcome Home to Spring Crossing! This 3 bed, 2.5 bath townhome is just minutes from the Hardy Toll Road and I45 for an easy commute or great option to add to the rental portfolio. Corner lot allows for additional privacy plus charming front porch to relax and unwind. Nicely maintained two story has tile flooring throughout main living space. Open floor plan from kitchen to dining and living space is perfect for entertaining. Convenient main floor powder bath plus laundry area includes washer and dryer too! Back patio off kitchen offers additional space to grill, dine, and plenty of grassy space for the kids or pup to play. Primary bedroom features walk in closet plus an attached primary bath with walk in shower. Bedrooms 2 and 3 share second full bath. See it TODAY!!

  26. 2024-05-15
    historical $199,900 777-char remark
    Show marketing remark (777 chars)

    Welcome Home to Spring Crossing! This 3 bed, 2.5 bath townhome is just minutes from the Hardy Toll Road and I45 for an easy commute or great option to add to the rental portfolio. Corner lot allows for additional privacy plus charming front porch to relax and unwind. Nicely maintained two story has tile flooring throughout main living space. Open floor plan from kitchen to dining and living space is perfect for entertaining. Convenient main floor powder bath plus laundry area includes washer and dryer too! Back patio off kitchen offers additional space to grill, dine, and plenty of grassy space for the kids or pup to play. Primary bedroom features walk in closet plus an attached primary bath with walk in shower. Bedrooms 2 and 3 share second full bath. See it TODAY!!

  27. 2023-09-30
    historical $1,550
  28. 2023-09-26
    listed $1,550
  29. 2021-08-31
    soldstatus
  30. 2016-07-27
    soldstatus
  31. 2016-07-22
    soldstatus Sold
  32. 2016-06-16
    status Pending
  33. 2016-06-04
    status Option Pending
  34. 2016-05-14
    status Active
  35. 2016-05-08
    status Pending
  36. 2016-04-27
    status Option Pending
  37. 2016-04-19
    status Active
  38. 2016-03-18
    status Pending
  39. 2016-02-29
    status Option Pending
  40. 2016-01-05
    listed $117,000 Active
  41. 2015-06-11
    soldstatus
  42. 2015-06-08
    soldstatus Sold
  43. 2015-05-18
    status Pending
  44. 2015-05-07
    status Option Pending
  45. 2015-02-05
    listed $115,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,890 · $491/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,890 · $491/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,155
− Mortgage interest
−$11,203
− Property taxes
−$5,890
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,172
− Management
−$2,172
− HOA
−$348
− Depreciation
−$5,818
Taxable loss
−$1,448
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$348
After-tax cash flow
$1,977/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Spring ISD
NCES district ID
4841220
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$51,584
Composite
20.12/100
National rank
#8643
State rank
#730 of 826 in TX

Livability — Spring

Score
66/100
State rank
#635
US rank
#12101

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Spring, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
430,529
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
69,739
Household income
$88,617
Rent vs Own
27.2% rent · 72.8% own
Severe rent burden
1050.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 40% White 30% Black 23% Two or more races 22% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 27% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
64% English-only · Spanish 32% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -142.98%
Current HPI
251.7231
Rent YoY
▼ -0.30%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+73.9% since first listed
34 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $200,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-06-12 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $200,000 HARMLS
  • 2024-11-13 Rental Removed $1,650 RENTALBEAST
  • 2024-11-04 Rental Removed $1,650 HARMLS
  • 2024-09-12 Listed for Rent $1,650 RENTALBEAST
  • 2024-08-29 Price Changed $1,650 HARMLS
  • 2024-08-28 Listed for Rent $2,650 HARMLS
  • 2024-07-11 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-07-09 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2024-07-08 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2024-06-29 Pending HARMLS
  • 2024-06-13 Pending HARMLS
  • 2024-05-16 Listed $199,900 HARMLS
  • 2024-05-15 Coming Soon $199,900 HARMLS
  • 2023-09-30 Rental Removed $1,550 HARMLS
  • 2023-09-26 Listed for Rent $1,550 HARMLS
  • 2021-08-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2016-07-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2016-07-22 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2016-06-16 Pending HARMLS
  • 2016-06-04 Pending HARMLS
  • 2016-05-14 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2016-05-08 Pending HARMLS
  • 2016-04-27 Pending HARMLS
  • 2016-04-19 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2016-03-18 Pending HARMLS
  • 2016-02-29 Pending HARMLS
  • 2016-01-05 Listed $117,000 HARMLS
  • 2015-06-11 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2015-06-08 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2015-05-18 Pending HARMLS
  • 2015-05-07 Pending HARMLS
  • 2015-02-05 Listed $115,000 HARMLS

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,890 · -2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…