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1152 S Atherton St
D Composite 43.71
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.4/15.0
  • Schools +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.5/5.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$259,000

1152 S Atherton St · State College, PA 16801
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,104 sqft · Townhouse public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1947 4,792 sqft lot Est $277k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Prime Location Half-Duplex in State College Borough! Location, charm, and opportunity come together in this all-brick half-duplex in the heart of State College’s coveted neighborhood. Just minutes from Penn State University and Downtown, this home is perfect as a PSU getaway, personal residence, or savvy investment. Gleaming hardwood floors flow throughout the main and second levels. The Interior is freshly painted, professionaly cleaned, and move-in ready. The main floor offers a spacious living room, bright dining area, and dedicated kitchen, while upstairs features three light-filled bedrooms and a full bath. Outside, relax or entertain on the large back deck. This property has an

Key facts

  • Large back deck
  • All-brick
  • Half-duplex

Tags

HALF-DUPLEXALL-BRICKHARDWOOD FLOORSLARGE BACK DECKACTIVE RENTAL PERMIT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Two driveway parking spaces (total of 2 garage/parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service for hot water
  • Home design: Semi-detached property; Fee simple ownership; Property in good condition; Assessor-reported year built
  • Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Asphalt driveway

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
  • Flooring: Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating fuel
  • Interior features: Hardwood flooring; Full, unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Electric hot water

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $259k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-94 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $242k (6.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $202k (22.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $202k (22.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 1.6% in State College — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 89/100 on livability (#29 in PA, #164 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, amenities A+; Watch: employment C-, cost of living C-.
  • State College Area SD (urban): math 62% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #41 of 539 in PA (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 158 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 399 units permitted in Centre County in 2024 (44 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Centre County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $201,585 (22.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
5.86%
Cash-on-cash
-1.56%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$277,104
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1152 S Atherton St 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,104 (0%) 0mo $260,000 $236 100
1172 S Atherton St 0.04mi 3/1.0 1,104 (0%) 1mo $257,000 $233 97
218 Westerly Pkwy 0.10mi 3/1.0 1,104 (0%) 3mo $277,000 $251 93
300 S Pugh St #504 0.69mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,077 (-2%) 8mo $431,500 $401 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.77% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.1%
Equity multiple
0.33×
Total profit
$-48,463
Equity at exit
$38,618
10-year hold
IRR
-12.2%
Equity multiple
0.28×
Total profit
$-51,957
Equity at exit
$22,394

Cash invested: $72,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16801

Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
158
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,016 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,358
Tax from tax record
$221 /mo · $2,646/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$423
Net cashflow
$-94

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,135
Max offer price $242,370
Occupancy floor 100%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$64,750
Closing costs
$7,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
200 Bradley Ave State College, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 755 $1,730 $2.29 43d 6 0.29mi
424 Waupelani Dr State College, PA 2.0 1.0–2.0 603 $1,495 $2.48 43d 63 0.47mi
200 Highland Ave #501 State College, PA 2.0 1.0 890 $1,800 $2.02 43d 1 0.75mi
679-A Waupelani Dr State College, PA 4.0 1.0–2.5 1335 $2,339 $1.75 43d 47 0.85mi
730 W Highland Aly State College, PA 3.0 1.0 900 $2,199 $2.44 43d 1 0.93mi
616 E College Ave State College, PA 2.0 2.0 975 $2,610 $2.68 43d 2 1.09mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-12
    listed $259,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,646 · $221/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,369 · $281/mo
Expected delta
+$723/yr (+$60/mo · 27.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,190
− Mortgage interest
−$14,508
− Property taxes
−$2,646
− Insurance
−$1,295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,935
− Management
−$1,935
− Depreciation
−$7,535
Taxable loss
−$5,664
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,359
After-tax cash flow
$230/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
State College Area SD
NCES district ID
4222770
Math proficiency
62% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$49,753
Composite
57.23/100
National rank
#1094
State rank
#41 of 539 in PA

Livability — State College

Score
89/100
State rank
#29
US rank
#164

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living C- Crime A+ Employment C- Housing C Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
State College, PA
County
Centre County · 99,000 people
City population
64,751
Metro
State College, PA
Population (ZIP)
40,774
Household income
$61,836
Rent vs Own
56.8% rent · 43.2% own
Severe rent burden
3590.0

Population outlook (Centre County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
177,113 people
By 2030
185,138 · +4.5%
By 2040
196,009 · +10.7%
By 2050
205,070 · +15.8%
By 2075
217,575 · +22.8%
By 2100
230,649 · +30.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Asian 9% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
12% · China, South Korea, Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Chinese 3% Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Centre

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.9% · R 48.1% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-9.0pp toward R · 2008: 11.8pp · 2024: 2.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.8 2020: D+4.8 2016: D+1.9 2012: R+0.0 2008: D+11.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -140.33%
Current HPI
208.2423
Rent YoY
▲ 2.77%
Metro
State College, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $259,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,646 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…