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1422 Market St
B Composite 70.15
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$129,900

1422 Market St · Ashland, PA 17921
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,140 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1935 2,613 sqft lot Est $175k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious 4-bedroom, 1-bath, 2,140 sqft home located in the heart of Ashland, PA, a charming town known for its scenic surroundings and rich history. This property offers ample potential for customization and renovation, perfect for those seeking a project to create their dream home or an investment opportunity. Currently vacant and ready for its next chapter, this home is conveniently situated near local amenities and outdoor attractions. Needs work but provides a solid foundation. Contact Santiago for showing details and make this Ashland property yours!

Key facts

  • Porch
  • Deck
  • Outdoor space

Tags

DECKPORCHOUTDOOR SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Sidewalks in the community

Exterior

  • Parking: No parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Rubber roof; No foundation details listed; Built area above grade: 2,140
  • Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Storm door(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator included
  • Flooring: Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Has heating
  • Interior features: Window coverings; Hardwood floors; Refrigerator included; Total of 10 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $142 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 10.9% in Ashland — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#1,179 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • North Schuylkill SD (rural): math 19% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #429 of 539 in PA (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $14k of equity ($898 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $31k; list at $130k implies a 319% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $129,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
8.12%
Cash-on-cash
6.52%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$175,480
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
28 N 19th St 0.25mi 4/1.0 2,095 (-2%) 1mo $180,000 $86 84
1228 Spruce St 0.19mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,949 (-9%) 10mo $159,000 $82 63
1107 Arch St 0.19mi 5/1.5 (+1) 2,236 (+4%) 20mo $125,000 $56 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.7%
Equity multiple
3.20×
Total profit
$79,848
Equity at exit
$117,024
10-year hold
IRR
24.2%
Equity multiple
7.27×
Total profit
$228,121
Equity at exit
$252,367

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17921

Home prices YoY
21.7%
Active inventory
48
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,376 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$154 /mo · $1,849/yr
Insurance
$54
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$289
Net cashflow
$142

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,196
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $129,900 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,900 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,900 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,900 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,900 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $129,900 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    remarks 182-char remark
  8. 2026-06-12
    listed $129,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,849 · $154/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,951 · $163/mo
Expected delta
+$102/yr (+$8/mo · 5.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,513
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$1,849
− Insurance
−$1,316
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,321
− Management
−$1,321
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable loss
−$350
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$84
After-tax cash flow
$1,789/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Schuylkill SD
NCES district ID
4210110
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$43,529
Composite
28.37/100
National rank
#6770
State rank
#429 of 539 in PA

Livability — Ashland

Score
64/100
State rank
#1179
US rank
#13787

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ashland, PA
City population
208
Population (ZIP)
7,029

Population outlook (Schuylkill County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
137,447 people
By 2030
133,121 · -3.1%
By 2040
124,172 · -9.7%
By 2050
115,611 · -15.9%
By 2075
100,796 · -26.7%
By 2100
86,667 · -36.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Iranian 4% Polish 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Schuylkill

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
2008→2024 swing
-33.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -42.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 62.11%
Current HPI
347.8425
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+766.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $129,900 CSVBR
  • 2025-02-04 Sold (MLS) $31,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-11-26 Price Changed $32,250 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-11-25 Price Changed $39,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-11-22 Price Changed $44,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-11-19 Listed $50,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-01-22 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2013-11-15 Listed $22,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1995-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,849 · +14.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…