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3586 Mobile Rd
B Composite 73.7
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.3/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$76,900

3586 Mobile Rd · Susquehanna, PA 17109
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · Manufactured public records · 104 Days on market
Built 2005 $77/sqft · 11% below area Est $86k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for a home in Harrisburg, with low maintenance and comfort? This may be the one for you, welcome to Progress Ridge MHP. This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom manufactured home with spacious front porch offers an open floor plan, and a convenient location to shopping, restaurants and major highways. Schedule your tour today, appliances convey! Buyer must meet PMI approval. Lot rent is $500, water is metered, and sewer fee is $42/mo. Trash fee is $21.50/mo. Storm water $7.06 monthly.

Key facts

  • Built 2005
  • Listed 103 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $77k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $657 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $77k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Susquehanna Township SD (suburban): math 17% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #444 of 539 in PA (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 79 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $532 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $69,979 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.08%
Cap rate
17.58%
Cash-on-cash
40.32%
DSCR
2.79
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$86,087
List price
$76,900
Delta
-10.67%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.37% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.3%
Equity multiple
2.55×
Total profit
$33,355
Equity at exit
$11,466
10-year hold
IRR
43.4%
Equity multiple
5.65×
Total profit
$100,032
Equity at exit
$6,649

Cash invested: $21,532 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17109

Rents YoY
5.4%
Active inventory
79
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,600 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$403
Tax from tax record
$105 /mo · $1,264/yr
Insurance
$32
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$336
Net cashflow
$657

Break-even live

Break-even rent $768
Max offer price $76,900
Occupancy floor 54%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $700 -5% $679 +0% $657 +5% $635 +10% $613
Rent -10% $531 -5% $594 +0% $657 +5% $720 +10% $783
Rate -1.0pp $696 -0.5pp $676 base $657 +0.5pp $637 +1.0pp $617

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,225
Closing costs
$2,307
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
301 N Progress Ave Harrisburg, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1203 $1,610 $1.34 15d 4 0.11mi
3250 Wakefield Rd Harrisburg, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0 650 $1,305 $2.01 15d 12 0.42mi
3800 Elmerton Ave Unit 3800- 1 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,295 $1.29 24d 1 0.64mi
4131 Spring Valley Rd Harrisburg, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 974 $1,440 $1.48 15d 1 0.88mi
4216 Jonestown Rd Unit A3 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 15d 1 0.98mi
4227 Cambridge St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1210 $1,950 $1.61 45d 1 1.00mi
4212 Williamsburg Dr Harrisburg, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 923 $1,808 $1.96 15d 14 1.03mi
3106 Hoffer St Unit 3106 Penbrook, PA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,675 $1.86 15d 1 1.13mi
4112 Beechwood Ln Harrisburg, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1007 $1,958 $1.94 15d 8 1.20mi
4245 Sussex Dr Lower Paxton Township, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0 720 $1,395 $1.94 45d 1 1.23mi
1008 Eaglecrest Ct Harrisburg, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0 779 $1,485 $1.91 15d 33 1.25mi
821 Sequoia Dr Harrisburg, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1200 $1,945 $1.62 15d 42 1.45mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $76,900 Active 104 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $76,900 Active 103 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $76,900 Active 102 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $76,900 Active 101 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $76,900 Active 99 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $76,900 Active 96 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $76,900 Active 95 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $76,900 Active 94 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $76,900 Active 93 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $76,900 Active 89 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $76,900 Active 88 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $76,900 Active 87 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $76,900 Active 86 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $76,900 Active 85 DOM
  15. 2026-04-24
    price $76,900 484-char remark
    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    Looking for a home in Harrisburg, with low maintenance and comfort? This may be the one for you, welcome to Progress Ridge MHP. This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom manufactured home with spacious front porch offers an open floor plan, and a convenient location to shopping, restaurants and major highways. Schedule your tour today, appliances convey! Buyer must meet PMI approval. Lot rent is $500, water is metered, and sewer fee is $42/mo. Trash fee is $21.50/mo. Storm water $7.06 monthly.

  16. 2026-03-07
    listed $79,900 Active 484-char remark
    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    Looking for a home in Harrisburg, with low maintenance and comfort? This may be the one for you, welcome to Progress Ridge MHP. This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom manufactured home with spacious front porch offers an open floor plan, and a convenient location to shopping, restaurants and major highways. Schedule your tour today, appliances convey! Buyer must meet PMI approval. Lot rent is $500, water is metered, and sewer fee is $42/mo. Trash fee is $21.50/mo. Storm water $7.06 monthly.

  17. 2026-03-06
    historical $79,900 484-char remark
    Show marketing remark (484 chars)

    Looking for a home in Harrisburg, with low maintenance and comfort? This may be the one for you, welcome to Progress Ridge MHP. This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom manufactured home with spacious front porch offers an open floor plan, and a convenient location to shopping, restaurants and major highways. Schedule your tour today, appliances convey! Buyer must meet PMI approval. Lot rent is $500, water is metered, and sewer fee is $42/mo. Trash fee is $21.50/mo. Storm water $7.06 monthly.

  18. 2023-11-13
    soldstatus $79,900 Closed 475-char remark
    Show marketing remark (475 chars)

    Beautiful completely remodeled and upgraded double wide in Progress Ridge! New flooring, New furnace, New AC, New Hot water heater, Fresh paint, New roof cap, New fridge and ready for you to move right in! All appliances stay including W & D, DW and fridge. Priced below market value for a quick sale. Owner must be approved by Park management (PMI) Close to shopping, Medical facilities and access to major roads. Perfect for first timers or empty nesters. See it today!

  19. 2023-10-13
    status Pending 475-char remark
    Show marketing remark (475 chars)

    Beautiful completely remodeled and upgraded double wide in Progress Ridge! New flooring, New furnace, New AC, New Hot water heater, Fresh paint, New roof cap, New fridge and ready for you to move right in! All appliances stay including W & D, DW and fridge. Priced below market value for a quick sale. Owner must be approved by Park management (PMI) Close to shopping, Medical facilities and access to major roads. Perfect for first timers or empty nesters. See it today!

  20. 2023-10-11
    listed $79,900 Active 475-char remark
    Show marketing remark (475 chars)

    Beautiful completely remodeled and upgraded double wide in Progress Ridge! New flooring, New furnace, New AC, New Hot water heater, Fresh paint, New roof cap, New fridge and ready for you to move right in! All appliances stay including W & D, DW and fridge. Priced below market value for a quick sale. Owner must be approved by Park management (PMI) Close to shopping, Medical facilities and access to major roads. Perfect for first timers or empty nesters. See it today!

  21. 2020-10-14
    soldstatus $38,000 Closed
  22. 2020-09-09
    status Pending
  23. 2020-06-13
    price $44,900
  24. 2020-03-17
    listed $49,900 Active
  25. 2017-10-31
    historical
  26. 2017-04-04
    listed $45,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,264 · $105/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,264 · $105/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,201
− Mortgage interest
−$4,308
− Property taxes
−$1,264
− Insurance
−$1,182
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,536
− Management
−$1,536
− Depreciation
−$2,237
Taxable income
$7,138
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,713
After-tax cash flow
$6,170/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Susquehanna Township SD
NCES district ID
4223010
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$61,794
Composite
25.59/100
National rank
#7424
State rank
#444 of 539 in PA

Livability — Susquehanna

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Progress, PA
County
Dauphin County · 247,857 people
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
Population (ZIP)
27,466
Household income
$71,833
Rent vs Own
48.0% rent · 52.0% own
Severe rent burden
1266.0

Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
281,628 people
By 2030
283,549 · +0.7%
By 2040
285,385 · +1.3%
By 2050
286,188 · +1.6%
By 2075
291,053 · +3.3%
By 2100
282,374 · +0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 13% Asian 11% Two or more races 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Polish 1%
Foreign-born
17% · India, Vietnam, Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Other Indo-European 5% Spanish 5% Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -144.02%
Current HPI
253.77
Rent YoY
▲ 5.37%
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+67.5% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $76,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-07 Listed $79,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-06 Coming Soon $79,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-11-13 Sold (MLS) $79,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-10-13 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-10-11 Listed $79,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-10-14 Sold (MLS) $38,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-09-09 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-06-13 Price Changed $44,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-03-17 Listed $49,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-10-31 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-04-04 Listed $45,900 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,264 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…