Jillian B Plan · Woodfin, NC 28804

$242,468

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,450 sqft · SingleFamily · 420 Days on market

Good condition

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Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +6.3/10.0
• Condition / age +3.8/5.0
• Cash flow +3.0/30.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.6/5.0
• 1% rule +0.0/10.0
• DSCR +0.0/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Appreciate all the comforts of a home built just for you at just the right size. Come together in the lively center of this home featuring a kitchen open to the dining and living rooms. Then enjoy privacy in the master suite separate from the other 2 bedrooms. Everything you want is here in this perfect gem.

Key facts

• Listed 419 days

Tags

• KITCHEN OPEN TO DINING
• MASTER SUITE SEPARATE

🏗️ New construction. The $242,468 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $415,000.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $242k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-16k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $219k (9.6% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $192k (20.9% below list).
• Recommended offer: $192k (20.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 59/100 on livability (#538 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-, cost of living B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Buncombe County Schools (suburban): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #72 of 178 in NC (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Weaverville Elementary (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B, #179 of 1,410 statewide, top 14%, 303 students, 48% FRL); North Buncombe Middle (math 63% / reading 59%, grade B+, #40 of 475 statewide, top 9%, 504 students, 45% FRL); North Buncombe High (math 67% / reading 65%, grade B, #154 of 535 statewide, top 29%, 956 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools at 45% FRL track the district average.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 63% at this address vs 48% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Buncombe County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 511 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 41d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,305 units permitted in Buncombe County in 2024 (1,855 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Buncombe County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 420 days — a 12% lower offer ($213k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.

Recommended offer $191,807 (20.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 420 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.46% ✗
• Cap rate: 2.38%
• Cash-on-cash: -13.97%
• DSCR: 0.38
• GRM: 18.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $415,000
• List price: $242,468
• Delta: -41.57%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
35 Marlwood Ct #136	0.30mi	3/2.0	1,424 (-2%)	2mo	$399,900	$281	82
11 Crandon Ct	0.47mi	3/2.0	1,473 (+2%)	1mo	$415,000	$282	74
31 Knoll Ridge Dr	0.53mi	3/2.0	1,442 (-1%)	7mo	$405,000	$281	69
5 Koenig Way	0.52mi	3/2.5	1,414 (-2%)	6mo	$408,000	$289	64
56 Knoll Ridge Dr	0.63mi	3/2.0	1,529 (+5%)	5mo	$415,000	$271	57
17 Marlwood Ct #127	0.43mi	3/2.0	1,614 (+11%)	5mo	$470,000	$291	57
61 Knoll Ridge Dr	0.64mi	3/2.0	1,555 (+7%)	3mo	$505,000	$325	55
110 Leisure Mountain Rd #30	0.65mi	2/2.5 (-1)	1,488 (+3%)	5mo	$357,000	$240	54
138 Appalachian Village Rd	0.67mi	3/2.0	1,486 (+2%)	15mo	$485,000	$326	52
65 Knoll Ridge Dr	0.67mi	3/2.0	1,529 (+5%)	10mo	$369,000	$241	52
896 Aiken Rd	0.62mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,571 (+8%)	4mo	$430,000	$274	49
447 Creekside Dr	0.72mi	3/2.0	1,645 (+13%)	9mo	$438,000	$266	36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.46% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -45.4%
• Equity multiple: -0.36×
• Total profit: $-158,154
• Equity at exit: $61,878

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: -1.30×
• Total profit: $-267,181
• Equity at exit: $35,882

Cash invested: $116,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State North Carolina: 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

Methodology + full state rankings →

Balanced market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

• For sale now: 11 active · 11 under contract
• Months of supply: 6.0 mo (17%/mo absorbed)
• Median asking: $364,900 ($243/sqft)
• Median days on market: 182 d
• This list price: lowest-priced of the active set
• ARV vs active asking: +17.6% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 28804

• Rents YoY: 0.5%
• Active inventory: 511
• Price-to-rent: 10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,918 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,176
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$519 /mo · $6,225/yr
• Insurance: −$173
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$403
• Net cashflow: $-1,353

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,630

Max offer price $219,263

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-1,066	-5% $-1,209	+0% $-1,353	+5% $-1,496	+10% $-1,639
Rent	-10% $-1,504	-5% $-1,428	+0% $-1,353	+5% $-1,277	+10% $-1,201
Rate	-1.0pp $-1,144	-0.5pp $-1,247	base $-1,353	+0.5pp $-1,460	+1.0pp $-1,570

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $103,750
• Closing costs: $12,450
• Club membership (one-time): —
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 18 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
50 Barnwood Dr Asheville, NC	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	833	$1,484	$1.78	1d	10	0.15mi
89 Black Locust Dr Asheville, NC	3.0	2.0	1216	$1,850	$1.52	51d	1	0.29mi
365 Weaverville Rd Unit 2 Asheville, NC	2.0	1.0	924	$1,250	$1.35	51d	1	0.61mi
327 Heather Ct Asheville, NC	4.0	2.0	1400	$2,600	$1.86	22d	1	0.65mi
8 Cricket Crossing Ct Asheville, NC	2.0	1.5	960	$1,850	$1.93	154d	1	0.65mi
602 Highline Dr Asheville, NC	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1070	$1,950	$1.82	0d	10	0.90mi
311 Aiken Rd Asheville, NC	2.0	1.0	900	$1,350	$1.50	184d	1	1.07mi
311 Aiken Rd Unit I Asheville, NC	2.0	1.0	900	$1,295	$1.44	164d	1	1.07mi
19 Barnett Shoals Dr Weaverville, NC	3.0	2.5	1310	$2,200	$1.68	154d	1	1.13mi
14 Loftin St Weaverville, NC	3.0	2.0	1800	$2,700	$1.50	154d	1	1.15mi
1070 Cider Mill Loop Weaverville, NC	2.0	2.0	1102	$1,745	$1.58	0d	1	1.30mi
1070 Cider Mill Loop Weaverville, NC	2.0	2.0	1102	$1,745	$1.58	21d	1	1.30mi
1070 Cider Mill Loop Weaverville, NC	3.0	2.0	1383	$2,210	$1.60	185d	1	1.30mi
1070 Cider Mill Loop Weaverville, NC	3.0	2.0	1303	$1,895	$1.45	28d	1	1.30mi
1070 Cider Mill Loop Weaverville, NC	2.0	2.0	1102	$1,775	$1.61	40d	1	1.30mi
1070 Cider Mill Loop Weaverville, NC	3.0	2.0	1303	$1,855	$1.42	34d	1	1.30mi
1070 Cider Mill Loop Weaverville, NC	2.0	2.0	1102	$1,745	$1.58	13d	1	1.30mi
1070 Cider Mill Loop Weaverville, NC	3.0	2.0	1303	$1,855	$1.42	22d	1	1.30mi

Listing history 50 events

1. 2026-11-08
   days on market $242,468 Active 420 DOM
2. 2026-11-07
   days on market $242,468 Active 419 DOM
3. 2026-11-06
   days on market $242,468 Active 418 DOM
4. 2026-11-05
   days on market $242,468 Active 417 DOM
5. 2026-11-04
   days on market $242,468 Active 416 DOM
6. 2026-11-02
   days on market $242,468 Active 414 DOM
7. 2026-11-01
   days on market $242,468 Active 413 DOM
8. 2026-10-31
   days on market $242,468 Active 412 DOM
9. 2026-10-30
   days on market $242,468 Active 411 DOM
10. 2026-10-29
    days on market $242,468 Active 410 DOM
11. 2026-10-28
    days on market $242,468 Active 409 DOM
12. 2026-10-27
    days on market $242,468 Active 408 DOM
13. 2026-10-26
    days on market $242,468 Active 407 DOM
14. 2026-10-25
    days on market $242,468 Active 406 DOM
15. 2026-10-24
    days on market $242,468 Active 405 DOM
16. 2026-10-23
    days on market $242,468 Active 404 DOM
17. 2026-10-22
    days on market $242,468 Active 403 DOM
18. 2026-10-21
    days on market $242,468 Active 402 DOM
19. 2026-10-20
    days on market $242,468 Active 401 DOM
20. 2026-10-19
    days on market $242,468 Active 400 DOM
21. 2026-10-18
    days on market $242,468 Active 399 DOM
22. 2026-10-17
    days on market $242,468 Active 398 DOM
23. 2026-10-16
    days on market $242,468 Active 397 DOM
24. 2026-10-15
    days on market $242,468 Active 396 DOM
25. 2026-10-14
    days on market $242,468 Active 395 DOM
26. 2026-10-13
    days on market $242,468 Active 394 DOM
27. 2026-10-12
    pricedays on market $242,468 Active 393 DOM
28. 2026-10-11
    days on market $240,735 Active 392 DOM
29. 2026-10-10
    days on market $240,735 Active 391 DOM
30. 2026-10-09
    days on market $240,735 Active 390 DOM
31. 2026-10-08
    days on market $240,735 Active 389 DOM
32. 2026-10-07
    days on market $240,735 Active 388 DOM
33. 2026-10-06
    days on market $240,735 Active 387 DOM
34. 2026-10-05
    days on market $240,735 Active 386 DOM
35. 2026-10-04
    days on market $240,735 Active 385 DOM
36. 2026-10-04
    days on market $240,735 Active 384 DOM
37. 2026-10-02
    days on market $240,735 Active 383 DOM
38. 2026-10-01
    days on market $240,735 Active 382 DOM
39. 2026-10-01
    days on market $240,735 Active 381 DOM
40. 2026-09-29
    days on market $240,735 Active 380 DOM
41. 2026-09-28
    days on market $240,735 Active 379 DOM
42. 2026-09-27
    days on market $240,735 Active 378 DOM
43. 2026-09-26
    days on market $240,735 Active 377 DOM
44. 2026-09-25
    days on market $240,735 Active 376 DOM
45. 2026-09-24
    days on market $240,735 Active 375 DOM
46. 2026-09-23
    days on market $240,735 Active 374 DOM
47. 2026-09-22
    days on market $240,735 Active 373 DOM
48. 2026-09-21
    days on market $240,735 Active 372 DOM
49. 2026-09-20
    days on market $240,735 Active 371 DOM
50. 2026-09-18
    days on market $240,735 Active 369 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $23,017
• − Mortgage interest: −$23,246
• − Property taxes: −$6,225
• − Insurance: −$2,075
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,841
• − Management: −$1,841
• − Depreciation: −$12,073
• Taxable loss: −$24,285
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$5,828
• After-tax cash flow: $-10,404/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 4 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $7,250–$21,750 screening

This single-family home is in good condition with a good condition score of 75. It has a cosmetic rehab level and requires minor maintenance. The highest-ROI updates include painting the exterior siding and landscaping improvements.

Value-add opportunities

• Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value. ↑
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve both resale and rental value. ↑
• Rental HVAC maintenance — A well-maintained HVAC system can attract renters and reduce utility costs. ↑

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

C Composite school gradezoned avg 63/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Weaverville Elementary B NC #179/1,410 Nat'l #6,217/41,679 Middle North Buncombe Middle B+ NC #40/475 Nat'l #1,667/14,009 High North Buncombe High B NC #154/535 Nat'l #2,694/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Buncombe County Schools
• NCES district ID: 3700450
• Math proficiency: 45% ▬ 0.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▲ 2.00%
• Median HH income: $45,981
• Composite: 40.32/100
• National rank: #3749
• State rank: #72 of 178 in NC

D Composite livability gradescore 59/100

Livability — Woodfin

• Score: 59/100
• State rank: #538
• US rank: #19731

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime A- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Woodfin, NC
• County: Buncombe County · 286,475 people
• Metro: Asheville, NC
• Population (ZIP): 25,776
• Household income: $88,312
• Rent vs Own: 28.9% rent · 71.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 14% of renters

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Population outlook (Buncombe County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 286,475 people
• By 2030: 302,237 · +5.5%
• By 2040: 330,687 · +15.4%
• By 2050: 356,370 · +24.4%
• By 2075: 409,383 · +42.9%
• By 2100: 437,270 · +52.6%

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Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (82%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 82% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 4% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 4%
• Languages at home: 91% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

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Political lean MEDSL · Buncombe

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+24.8) · D 61.7% · R 36.9% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: +10.9pp toward D · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 24.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+24.8 2020: D+21.1 2016: D+14.6 2012: D+12.4 2008: D+13.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -410.50%
• Current HPI: 333.3821
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.46%
• Metro: Asheville, NC
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 26

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Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	2	$213B
▸Retail	2	$95B
▸Industrial Conglomerate	1	$38B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$35B
▸Utilities	1	$30B
▸Industrial Machinery	1	$19B

Price history

+4.5% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-05 Price Changed $235,415 Zillow
• 2025-10-20 Price Changed $228,702 Zillow
• 2025-08-05 Listed $225,322 Zillow