25313 Durango Ct · Burnt Store Marina, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- D
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $544 – $1,084
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 32 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Under contract-accepting backup offers. Nestled in the tranquil, deed-restricted community of Burnt Store Village, this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers over 1,300 sq. ft. of comfortable living space. Situated on a quiet street, the property features a welcoming exterior with a spacious driveway leading to a 2-car garage, lush landscaping accented by mature palm trees, and a covered front entryway. Recent upgrades include a new roof and A/C, providing peace of mind and modern convenience. The generous lot offers plenty of open space and privacy, while the surrounding neighborhood is beautifully maintained, creating a serene setting for your next home. Inside the home showcases cathedr
Key facts
- Generous lot
- Cathedral ceilings
- New a/c
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Homestead exempt; No CDD; Property zoned RSF3.5
- HOA & community: Burnt Store Village POA; HOA dues required — $20 monthly ($240 annually); Deed restrictions; Cats and dogs allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage (20 x 21) with garage door opener; Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Broadband/High-speed internet available; Cable available; Electricity available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces north
- Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on one level
- Exterior features: Enclosed patio; Front porch; Rear porch; Screened porch; Sliding doors; Rain gutters; Private mailbox; Mature landscaping with trees; Greenbelt; Landscaped grounds; Paved surfaces
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Range; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; Vaulted ceilings; High ceilings; Ceiling fans; Open floorplan; Living room/dining room combo; Eat-in kitchen; Split bedroom layout; Thermostat; Walk-in closets; Blinds on windows
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room; Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $265 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $227k (9.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $220k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.8% in Burnt Store Marina — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#354 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: East Elementary School (math 67% / reading 68%, grade B+, #435 of 2,144 statewide, top 21%, 761 students, 52% FRL); Charlotte High School (math 44% / reading 46%, grade D-, #228 of 667 statewide, top 35%, 1,994 students, 41% FRL).
- Market conditions: 1481 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 184 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $55k; list at $250k implies a 355% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→32/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 184 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.54%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-23,725
- Equity at exit
- $37,261
- IRR
- 0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $696
- Equity at exit
- $21,607
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33955
- Home prices YoY
- -24.5%
- Active inventory
- 1481
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,273 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$97 /mo · $1,160/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$20
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$477
- Net cashflow
- $265
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $406 | -5% $335 | +0% $265 | +5% $194 | +10% $123 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $85 | -5% $175 | +0% $265 | +5% $354 | +10% $444 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $390 | -0.5pp $328 | base $265 | +0.5pp $200 | +1.0pp $134 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25324 Lychee Ct Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $1,800 | $1.47 | 22d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 16107 Badalona Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1508 | $1,895 | $1.26 | 22d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 16077 Badalona Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1508 | $1,895 | $1.26 | 22d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 16229 Cape Horn Blvd Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1726 | $2,749 | $1.59 | 22d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 17434 Oro Ct Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1864 | $2,000 | $1.07 | 22d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 24417 Baltic Ave #1102 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1788 | $5,250 | $2.94 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $20 · $240/yr
- Likely covers
- landscaping
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending
-
2026-01-27price $249,900
-
2025-11-01$259,900 Active
-
2025-09-18historical
-
2025-09-18historical
-
2025-05-30price $259,000
-
2025-05-30price $259,000
-
2025-04-07$269,500 Active
-
2025-03-18$269,500 Active
-
2011-07-28soldstatus $54,900
-
2011-04-28$61,900
-
2006-06-23soldstatus $188,000
-
2006-06-19soldstatus $188,000
-
2006-02-27$189,900
-
2005-08-22$239,900
-
1999-08-31soldstatus $81,000
-
1996-02-02soldstatus $8,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,160 · $97/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,074 · $173/mo
- Expected delta
- +$914/yr (+$76/mo · 78.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone D · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 8 d/yr ≥107°F today · 32 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,281
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$1,160
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,182
- − Management
- −$2,182
- − HOA
- −$240
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable loss
- −$1,002
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$241
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,416/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charlotte
- NCES district ID
- 1200240
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,864
- Composite
- 45.62/100
- National rank
- #2586
- State rank
- #22 of 73 in FL
Livability — Burnt Store Marina
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #354
- US rank
- #6145
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Charlotte County · 196,994 people
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,399
- Household income
- $76,943
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 226.0
Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 198,646 people
- By 2030
- 210,507 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 230,857 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 247,148 · +24.4%
- By 2075
- 281,777 · +41.8%
- By 2100
- 293,609 · +47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Italian 3% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.71%
- Current HPI
- 242.9043
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+3023.8% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-27 Price Changed $249,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-01 Listed $259,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-18 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-18 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2025-05-30 Price Changed $259,000 FORTMLS
- 2025-05-30 Price Changed $259,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-07 Listed $269,500 FORTMLS
- 2025-03-18 Listed $269,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-07-28 Sold (MLS) $54,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-04-28 Listed $61,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $188,000 Public Records
- 2006-06-19 Sold (MLS) $188,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-02-27 Listed $189,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-08-22 Listed $239,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $81,000 Public Records
- 1996-02-02 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,160 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…