34520 Fleet Rd · Glade Spring, VA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +6.2/10.0
- Appreciation +5.7/10.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Brick house offering living room, kitchen, 4 bedrooms, 2 baths, office, full unfinished basement and metal roof. Washer and dryer hookups are located in the basement featuring a heat pump for heating and cooling. There is a small home with vinyl siding, 768 sq. ft. , living room, kitchen, 1 bedroom and 1 bath. Has no heating or cooling. Both dwellings share the septic system and are fixers. Buyer and buyer's agent to verify all information in this listing. Subject to Errors and Omissions.
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Vinyl siding
- Septic system
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $42 ($503/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $118k (9.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 3.2% in Glade Spring — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#399 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D-, amenities F.
- Washington County Public School District (rural): math 68% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #15 of 131 in VA (top 12%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Meadowview Elementary (math 63% / reading 74%, grade B+, #357 of 1,108 statewide, top 33%, 551 students, 89% FRL); Glade Spring Middle (math 70% / reading 74%, grade A, #65 of 342 statewide, top 21%, 254 students, 80% FRL); Patrick Henry High (math 62% / reading 82%, grade B+, #134 of 319 statewide, top 45%, 366 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 42% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 99 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
- Washington County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.57%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $170,031
- List price
- $130,000
- Delta
- -23.54%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34507 Fleet Rd | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,299 (-8%) | 1mo | $172,000 | $132 | 84 |
| 9433 Legend Dr | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,511 (+7%) | 11mo | $185,000 | $122 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $7,391
- Equity at exit
- $46,802
- IRR
- 8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.02×
- Total profit
- $37,183
- Equity at exit
- $64,114
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24340
- Home prices YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 36
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,180 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$88 /mo · $1,053/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$248
- Net cashflow
- $42
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $116 | -5% $79 | +0% $42 | +5% $5 | +10% $-32 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-51 | -5% $-5 | +0% $42 | +5% $89 | +10% $135 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $107 | -0.5pp $75 | base $42 | +0.5pp $8 | +1.0pp $-26 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $130,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $130,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $130,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $130,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $130,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $130,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $130,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $130,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $130,000 493-char remark
Show marketing remark (493 chars)
Brick house offering living room, kitchen, 4 bedrooms, 2 baths, office, full unfinished basement and metal roof. Washer and dryer hookups are located in the basement featuring a heat pump for heating and cooling. There is a small home with vinyl siding, 768 sq. ft. , living room, kitchen, 1 bedroom and 1 bath. Has no heating or cooling. Both dwellings share the septic system and are fixers. Buyer and buyer's agent to verify all information in this listing. Subject to Errors and Omissions.
-
2026-02-18price $135,500 493-char remark
Show marketing remark (493 chars)
Brick house offering living room, kitchen, 4 bedrooms, 2 baths, office, full unfinished basement and metal roof. Washer and dryer hookups are located in the basement featuring a heat pump for heating and cooling. There is a small home with vinyl siding, 768 sq. ft. , living room, kitchen, 1 bedroom and 1 bath. Has no heating or cooling. Both dwellings share the septic system and are fixers. Buyer and buyer's agent to verify all information in this listing. Subject to Errors and Omissions.
-
2026-01-14$149,900 Active 493-char remark
Show marketing remark (493 chars)
Brick house offering living room, kitchen, 4 bedrooms, 2 baths, office, full unfinished basement and metal roof. Washer and dryer hookups are located in the basement featuring a heat pump for heating and cooling. There is a small home with vinyl siding, 768 sq. ft. , living room, kitchen, 1 bedroom and 1 bath. Has no heating or cooling. Both dwellings share the septic system and are fixers. Buyer and buyer's agent to verify all information in this listing. Subject to Errors and Omissions.
-
2022-07-29soldstatus $147,500 931-char remark
Show marketing remark (931 chars)
Great neighborhood and lots of potential. Three bedroom, two bath home situated on a half acre lot in Washington Co, VA. , just minutes from I-81. Two additional small rooms that could be used as an office or craft room. New laminate flooring in kitchen, replacement windows and a new Alternative Treatment Unit costing over $9,000. This ATU septic system has a warranty that will convey to new owner. A detached garage that has been converted into an efficiency apartment/mother-in-law suite. The apartment has one bedroom, one bath with open floor plan. Kitchen includes stove/oven and refrigerator. Apartment has it's own separate, paved driveway and could easily be converted back to a garage if you choose. Both needs some TLC and is being sold as-is. Home inspection may be done but is for informational purposes only. This home is priced to sell in it's current condition. Seller is willing to negotiate a repair concession.
-
2022-07-29soldstatus $147,500
Show marketing remark (931 chars)
Great neighborhood and lots of potential. Three bedroom, two bath home situated on a half acre lot in Washington Co, VA. , just minutes from I-81. Two additional small rooms that could be used as an office or craft room. New laminate flooring in kitchen, replacement windows and a new Alternative Treatment Unit costing over $9,000. This ATU septic system has a warranty that will convey to new owner. A detached garage that has been converted into an efficiency apartment/mother-in-law suite. The apartment has one bedroom, one bath with open floor plan. Kitchen includes stove/oven and refrigerator. Apartment has it's own separate, paved driveway and could easily be converted back to a garage if you choose. Both needs some TLC and is being sold as-is. Home inspection may be done but is for informational purposes only. This home is priced to sell in it's current condition. Seller is willing to negotiate a repair concession.
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2022-07-29soldstatus $147,500
Show marketing remark (931 chars)
Great neighborhood and lots of potential. Three bedroom, two bath home situated on a half acre lot in Washington Co, VA. , just minutes from I-81. Two additional small rooms that could be used as an office or craft room. New laminate flooring in kitchen, replacement windows and a new Alternative Treatment Unit costing over $9,000. This ATU septic system has a warranty that will convey to new owner. A detached garage that has been converted into an efficiency apartment/mother-in-law suite. The apartment has one bedroom, one bath with open floor plan. Kitchen includes stove/oven and refrigerator. Apartment has it's own separate, paved driveway and could easily be converted back to a garage if you choose. Both needs some TLC and is being sold as-is. Home inspection may be done but is for informational purposes only. This home is priced to sell in it's current condition. Seller is willing to negotiate a repair concession.
-
2022-05-09$144,000 931-char remark
Show marketing remark (931 chars)
Great neighborhood and lots of potential. Three bedroom, two bath home situated on a half acre lot in Washington Co, VA. , just minutes from I-81. Two additional small rooms that could be used as an office or craft room. New laminate flooring in kitchen, replacement windows and a new Alternative Treatment Unit costing over $9,000. This ATU septic system has a warranty that will convey to new owner. A detached garage that has been converted into an efficiency apartment/mother-in-law suite. The apartment has one bedroom, one bath with open floor plan. Kitchen includes stove/oven and refrigerator. Apartment has it's own separate, paved driveway and could easily be converted back to a garage if you choose. Both needs some TLC and is being sold as-is. Home inspection may be done but is for informational purposes only. This home is priced to sell in it's current condition. Seller is willing to negotiate a repair concession.
-
2022-05-09$144,000
Show marketing remark (931 chars)
Great neighborhood and lots of potential. Three bedroom, two bath home situated on a half acre lot in Washington Co, VA. , just minutes from I-81. Two additional small rooms that could be used as an office or craft room. New laminate flooring in kitchen, replacement windows and a new Alternative Treatment Unit costing over $9,000. This ATU septic system has a warranty that will convey to new owner. A detached garage that has been converted into an efficiency apartment/mother-in-law suite. The apartment has one bedroom, one bath with open floor plan. Kitchen includes stove/oven and refrigerator. Apartment has it's own separate, paved driveway and could easily be converted back to a garage if you choose. Both needs some TLC and is being sold as-is. Home inspection may be done but is for informational purposes only. This home is priced to sell in it's current condition. Seller is willing to negotiate a repair concession.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,053 · $88/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,066 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- +$13/yr (+$1/mo · 1.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥95°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,157
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,053
- − Insurance
- −$1,448
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,133
- − Management
- −$1,133
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable loss
- −$1,672
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$401
- After-tax cash flow
- $904/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Washington County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103900
- Math proficiency
- 68% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 79% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,412
- Composite
- 61.5/100
- National rank
- #754
- State rank
- #15 of 131 in VA
Livability — Glade Spring
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #399
- US rank
- #16421
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,173
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 53,266 people
- By 2030
- 52,284 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 49,415 · -7.2%
- By 2050
- 45,683 · -14.2%
- By 2075
- 37,258 · -30.1%
- By 2100
- 27,983 · -47.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Black 2% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.3) · D 23.0% · R 76.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: -32.7pp · 2024: -53.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.3 2020: R+52.5 2016: R+53.5 2012: R+43.2 2008: R+32.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.36%
- Current HPI
- 180.6398
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
||
| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
-9.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $130,000 TVRMLS
- 2026-02-18 Price Changed $135,500 TVRMLS
- 2026-01-14 Listed $149,900 TVRMLS
- 2022-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $147,500 Public Records
- 2022-07-29 Sold (MLS) $147,500 SWVAR
- 2022-07-29 Sold (MLS) $147,500 TVRMLS
- 2022-05-09 Listed $144,000 SWVAR
- 2022-05-09 Listed $144,000 TVRMLS
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,053 · +28.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…