315 30th Ave W Unit B203 · South Bradenton, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 30 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.2/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$88,412
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Pick me and the seller will give you $4,000 towards your closing costs! How's that! Discover Woodpark at Desoto Square, one of Bradenton's most affordable hidden gems just 20 minutes to our famous beaches. This 2nd floor, 2-bedroom, 2 bath condo is ripe for the picking. Walk around the grounds and discover the beautiful, landscaped property and tranquil sounds of the fountains in the lake. Meet new friends at one of the many activities or events held at the centrally located clubhouse. Go for a swim, play a game of billiards or practice up on your shuffleboard skills. You can do it all or just relax as your monthly condo fee covers your water, sewer, refuge disposal, recreational facilitie
Key facts
- $597 HOA
- Community pool
- Built 1980
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Senior community
- Financial info: Total monthly fees $515; total annual fees $6,180; Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: HOA required (Association: Woodpark / Canice Roy); Monthly association fee $515 (includes cable TV, common area taxes, pool, escrow reserves fund, fidelity bond); Association amenities: clubhouse, gated community, pool; Association approval required; Community features: clubhouse, community mailbox, deed restrictions, sidewalks, association-owned recreation, special community restrictions; Pets allowed (max 25 lbs); Buyer approval required
Exterior
- Parking: Directions reference gated entrance and building parking area
- Security: Gated community
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected; Irrigation equipment
- Home design: Residential condominium; Unit located on 2nd floor; Faces north; Three or more levels in building; Gated community
- Construction: Block and stucco construction; Membrane and shingle roof; Slab foundation; Building/Unit B203
- Exterior features: Outdoor lighting; Outdoor grill; Sidewalk; Storage; Pool with gunite, in-ground construction, tile and lighting; Lake view
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Elevator in building; Living room/dining room combo; Thermostat; Window treatments (including blinds)
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $88k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $64 ($765/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $88k).
- Recommended offer: $83k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.1% in South Bradenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in FL, #3,092 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime D+, commute F.
- Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.4%/yr); 319 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $611 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($83k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $56k; list at $88k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 39% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.73% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.09%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-14,406
- Equity at exit
- $13,183
- IRR
- -26.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.06×
- Total profit
- $-23,243
- Equity at exit
- $7,644
Cash invested: $24,755 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34205
- Rents YoY
- -2.4%
- Active inventory
- 319
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,533 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$464
- Tax from tax record
- −$50 /mo · $596/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$597
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$322
- Net cashflow
- $64
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,103
- Closing costs
- $2,652
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 305 30th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 987 | $1,400 | $1.42 | 23d | 2 | 0.02mi |
| 305 30th Ave W Unit A207 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,400 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 425 30th Ave W Unit C308 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 924 | $1,590 | $1.72 | 23d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 515 30th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1001 | $1,375 | $1.37 | 16d | 2 | 0.09mi |
| 505 30th Ave W Unit E406 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1001 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 23d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 390 301 Blvd W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,495 | $1.33 | 23d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 603 27th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1365 | $1,250 | $0.92 | 23d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 302 26th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1043 | $1,575 | $1.51 | 2d | 23 | 0.34mi |
| 907 34th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 985 | $1,599 | $1.62 | 19d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 907 34th Ave W Unit B Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,795 | $1.79 | 23d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 919 34th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,599 | $1.68 | 11d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 350 34th Avenue Dr E Bradenton, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 893 | $1,335 | $1.49 | 1d | 6 | 0.44mi |
| 2244 9th St W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 768 | $1,323 | $1.72 | 23d | 4 | 0.54mi |
| 805 22nd Ave W Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 790 | $1,200 | $1.52 | 23d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 313 24th Ave E Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $2,400 | $1.90 | 23d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2422 11th St W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,445 | $1.61 | 23d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 616 33rd Ave E Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 750 | $1,600 | $2.13 | 23d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 702 21st Ave W Unit C Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 3d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2019 5th St W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 750 | $1,575 | $2.10 | 3d | 22 | 0.60mi |
| 1308 36th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 715 | $1,199 | $1.68 | 23d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 718 26th Ave E Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,600 | $2.13 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2409 13th St W Apt 2 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $1,175 | $1.53 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2117 11th St W Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,295 | $1.52 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 712 26th Ave E Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,600 | $2.13 | 23d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 505 22nd Ter E Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1039 | $1,989 | $1.91 | 3d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2127 13th St W Unit B Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,149 | $1.64 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2017 12th St W Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,300 | $1.81 | 23d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 3506 14th St W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 874 | $1,725 | $1.97 | 23d | 5 | 0.73mi |
| 2402 9th St E Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1137 | $2,000 | $1.76 | 23d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1319 18th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1185 | $1,795 | $1.51 | 23d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1701 13th St W Apt A Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,395 | $1.64 | 3d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1418 18th Avenue Dr W Unit 1418 Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,900 | $1.90 | 23d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 723 44th Ave E Unit 5 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1350 | $1,650 | $1.22 | 16d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1505 18th Avenue Dr W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 886 | $1,875 | $2.12 | 16d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3808 11th St E Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,600 | $1.88 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2001 25th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $3,000 | $2.19 | 19d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1501 13th St W Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,199 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 203 46th Avenue Ter W Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,099 | $1.25 | 3d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2205 20th St W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,850 | $2.28 | 11d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 202 46th Avenue Ter W #409 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1086 | $1,995 | $1.84 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $597 · $7,164/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewerlandscaping
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $88,412 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $88,412 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,412 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,412 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,412 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,412 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,412 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-10statusdays on market $99,412 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $99,412 Pending 61 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,412 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $99,412 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $114,412 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $114,412 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-04-04$114,412 Active
-
2001-05-22soldstatus $56,000
-
1996-04-12soldstatus $34,000
-
1982-02-01soldstatus $50,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $596 · $50/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $734 · $61/mo
- Expected delta
- +$138/yr (+$12/mo · 23.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,393
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,952
- − Property taxes
- −$596
- − Insurance
- −$442
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,471
- − Management
- −$1,471
- − HOA
- −$7,164
- − Depreciation
- −$2,572
- Taxable loss
- −$276
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$66
- After-tax cash flow
- $831/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manatee
- NCES district ID
- 1201230
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,607
- Composite
- 44.43/100
- National rank
- #2806
- State rank
- #26 of 73 in FL
Livability — South Bradenton
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3092
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Bradenton, FL
- County
- Manatee County · 416,364 people
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,946
- Household income
- $52,525
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1736.0
Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 447,342 people
- By 2030
- 488,911 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 567,934 · +27.0%
- By 2050
- 637,995 · +42.6%
- By 2075
- 781,970 · +74.8%
- By 2100
- 848,272 · +89.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 18% Black 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Manatee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -310.18%
- Current HPI
- 369.8239
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.43%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+128.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-04 Listed $114,412 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-05-22 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
- 1996-04-12 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
- 1982-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $596 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…