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4721 Lebanon Church Rd
C- Composite 53.83
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,000

4721 Lebanon Church Rd · West Mifflin, PA 15122
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,490 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 42 Days on market
Built 1925 0.91 ac lot $60/sqft · 29% below area Est $210k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful, spaceous home in West Mifflin. .nestled behind a yard of beautiful trees this home a combination of style and old world charm. .. you have to see this to believe it. Wonderful hardwood floors, amazing tiled front porch and a wonderful back yard

Key facts

  • 0.91 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1925

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 parking space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Brick construction; Property on approximately 0.91 acre lot
  • Construction: Brick exterior
  • Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer; Resale condition

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Wall unit cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; One fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $149k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $92 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $149k).
  • Recommended offer: $145k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 5.2% in West Mifflin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#539 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B+; Watch: health & safety D, crime D-, amenities F.
  • West Mifflin Area SD (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #443 of 539 in PA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $124k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $144,530 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
7.03%
Cash-on-cash
2.65%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$210,321
List price
$149,000
Delta
-29.16%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6927 Wilson St 0.34mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,201 (-12%) 22mo $289,500 $132 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.0%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-18,164
Equity at exit
$22,216
10-year hold
IRR
-2.8%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-7,804
Equity at exit
$12,883

Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15122

Home prices YoY
-30.4%
Active inventory
58
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,602 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$781
Tax from tax record
$330 /mo · $3,956/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$336
Net cashflow
$92

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,485
Max offer price $149,000
Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,250
Closing costs
$4,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,000 Active 42 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,000 Active 41 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,000 Active 40 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,000 Active 39 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $149,000 Active 37 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,000 Active 33 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,000 Active 32 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,000 Active 31 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $159,000 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,000 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,000 Active 25 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,000 Active 24 DOM
  13. 2026-05-07
    listed $169,900 Active 575-char remark
  14. 2015-03-27
    soldstatus $124,000
  15. 2015-03-22
    price $124,000 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    Beautiful, spaceous home in West Mifflin. .nestled behind a yard of beautiful trees this home a combination of style and old world charm. .. you have to see this to believe it. Wonderful hardwood floors, amazing tiled front porch and a wonderful back yard

  16. 2015-03-20
    soldstatus $124,000 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    Beautiful, spaceous home in West Mifflin. .nestled behind a yard of beautiful trees this home a combination of style and old world charm. .. you have to see this to believe it. Wonderful hardwood floors, amazing tiled front porch and a wonderful back yard

  17. 2015-03-20
    price $144,900 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    Beautiful, spaceous home in West Mifflin. .nestled behind a yard of beautiful trees this home a combination of style and old world charm. .. you have to see this to believe it. Wonderful hardwood floors, amazing tiled front porch and a wonderful back yard

  18. 2014-08-26
    listed $144,900 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    Beautiful, spaceous home in West Mifflin. .nestled behind a yard of beautiful trees this home a combination of style and old world charm. .. you have to see this to believe it. Wonderful hardwood floors, amazing tiled front porch and a wonderful back yard

  19. 1976-04-05
    soldstatus $38,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,956 · $330/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,956 · $330/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,219
− Mortgage interest
−$8,346
− Property taxes
−$3,956
− Insurance
−$745
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,537
− Management
−$1,537
− Depreciation
−$4,335
Taxable loss
−$1,238
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$297
After-tax cash flow
$1,403/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Mifflin Area SD
NCES district ID
4225680
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$46,532
Composite
25.78/100
National rank
#7371
State rank
#443 of 539 in PA

Livability — West Mifflin

Score
73/100
State rank
#539
US rank
#5042

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Mifflin, PA
County
Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
City population
18,816
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
18,816
Household income
$72,485
Rent vs Own
21.6% rent · 78.4% own
Severe rent burden
334.0

Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,250,282 people
By 2030
1,256,482 · +0.5%
By 2040
1,256,318 · +0.5%
By 2050
1,244,169 · -0.5%
By 2075
1,197,693 · -4.2%
By 2100
1,093,187 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Slovak 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
1% · South Korea
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -107.69%
Current HPI
246.2486
Rent YoY
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+287.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Price Changed $149,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $159,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $169,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2015-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $124,000 Public Records
  • 2015-03-22 Price Changed $124,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2015-03-20 Sold (MLS) $124,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2015-03-20 Price Changed $144,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2014-08-26 Listed $144,900 West Penn MLS
  • 1976-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $38,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,956 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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