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355 Elmhurst Rd 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 73.47
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

355 Elmhurst Rd · Dayton, OH 45417
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,200 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 51 Days on market
Built 1923 5,001 sqft lot $67/sqft · 29% below area Est $112k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This is an investor's dream! This property is a 3 bed 1.5 bath that is low maintenance with some nice upgrades. The property comes with the following amenities; fenced in backyard, private driveway, newer roof, AC, 2 sump pumps, new water heater, and newer furnace. Currently occupied, the tenant pays $800/mo (below market rent). Tenant pay all utilities.

Key facts

  • 5,001 sq ft lot
  • Built 1923
  • Listed 51 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Offered for sale

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Home design: Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Kitchen island
  • Bedrooms: Third-level bedroom; Second-level bedroom; Second-level bedroom
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Kitchen island; Full unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $80,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$111,996) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $302 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 7.4% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
  • Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 137 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $38k; list at $80k implies a 111% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $77,600 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
10.83%
Cash-on-cash
16.19%
DSCR
1.72
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$111,996
List price
$80,000
Delta
-28.57%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
236 Elmhurst Rd 0.14mi 2/1.0 1,245 (+4%) 2mo $54,900 $44 84
332 Roxbury Rd 0.10mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,140 (-5%) 8mo $129,000 $113 76
4643 Laurel Dr 0.30mi 2/1.5 1,150 (-4%) 7mo $47,000 $41 74
346 Bungalow Rd 0.14mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,157 (-4%) 8mo $114,000 $99 74
4909 W 3rd St 0.52mi 2/1.0 1,212 (+1%) 8mo $53,500 $44 66
3001 Edison St 0.50mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,217 (+1%) 9mo $24,000 $20 62
71 N Alder St 0.46mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (+4%) 8mo $110,000 $88 58
4531 Chesapeake Ave 0.26mi 2/1.0 1,050 (-12%) 9mo $79,000 $75 57
4530 Chesapeake Ave 0.28mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,364 (+14%) 3mo $65,500 $48 55
222 N Decker Ave 0.59mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,092 (-9%) 7mo $70,000 $64 44
4059 Kammer Ave 0.51mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,037 (-14%) 8mo $99,000 $95 40
504 N Upland Ave 0.73mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,044 (-13%) 1mo $70,000 $67 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.06% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.3%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$7,389
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
18.4%
Equity multiple
2.60×
Total profit
$35,853
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45417

Home prices YoY
-32.3%
Rents YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
137
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,033 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$61 /mo · $733/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$217
Net cashflow
$302

Break-even live

Break-even rent $651
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $347 -5% $325 +0% $302 +5% $280 +10% $257
Rent -10% $221 -5% $261 +0% $302 +5% $343 +10% $384
Rate -1.0pp $342 -0.5pp $323 base $302 +0.5pp $281 +1.0pp $260

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 31 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4109 Midway Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 971 $1,000 $1.03 4d 1 0.18mi
3925 Hoover Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 936 $1,100 $1.18 3d 1 0.73mi
342 Lookout Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 800 $775 $0.97 44d 1 0.74mi
342 Lookout Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 800 $750 $0.94 3d 1 0.74mi
126 Bluecrest Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 840 $1,000 $1.19 15d 1 0.88mi
137 Westwood Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 784 $900 $1.15 4d 1 0.94mi
863 N Upland Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1042 $1,200 $1.15 44d 1 0.95mi
500 Bowie Dr Unit 122 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 850 $910 $1.07 44d 1 0.95mi
4625 Gardendale Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 864 $1,150 $1.33 3d 1 1.00mi
828 Walton Ave Unit 832 Walton Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 750 $795 $1.06 24d 1 1.10mi
617 Westwood Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1304 $1,050 $0.81 44d 1 1.12mi
70 Gramont Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 966 $1,300 $1.35 3d 1 1.14mi
1498 Elaine St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 864 $1,025 $1.19 3d 1 1.23mi
5336 Rockport Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 925 $1,025 $1.11 44d 1 1.24mi
4576 Live Oak Dr Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 44d 1 1.24mi
920 Huron Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 950 $995 $1.05 4d 1 1.26mi
1427 Stuben Dr Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 957 $900 $0.94 3d 1 1.29mi
1595 Elaine St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 864 $950 $1.10 3d 1 1.33mi
1816 N James H McGee Blvd Apt A Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 3d 1 1.34mi
1816 N James H McGee Blvd Unit C Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 950 $1,150 $1.21 3d 1 1.34mi
1816 N James H McGee Blvd Apt B Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 950 $1,150 $1.21 44d 1 1.34mi
216 N Ardmore Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,100 $0.73 4d 1 1.36mi
437 Lorenz Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1322 $1,200 $0.91 24d 1 1.37mi
2525 Lakeview Ave Unit 9 Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 920 $700 $0.76 44d 1 1.42mi
2525 Lakeview Ave Unit 2 Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 750 $750 $1.00 44d 1 1.42mi
2525 Lakeview Ave Unit 5 Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 750 $750 $1.00 4d 1 1.42mi
660 Gramont Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1142 $1,050 $0.92 4d 1 1.44mi
635 Anna St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 960 $1,300 $1.35 15d 1 1.44mi
623 Clifton Dr Apt A Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 3d 1 1.48mi
623 Clifton Dr Apt B Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,174 $0.98 4d 1 1.48mi
2525 Germantown St Unit C Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 750 $750 $1.00 44d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $80,000 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $80,000 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $80,000 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $80,000 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $80,000 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $80,000 Active 45 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $80,000 Active 43 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $80,000 Active 42 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 40 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $80,000 Active 37 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $80,000 Active 36 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $80,000 Active 35 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $90,000 Active 34 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $90,000 Active 33 DOM
  16. 2026-04-28
    listed $90,000 Active 357-char remark
  17. 1989-08-29
    soldstatus $38,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$733 · $61/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$990 · $83/mo
Expected delta
+$258/yr (+$21/mo · 35.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,397
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$733
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$992
− Management
−$992
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$2,472
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$593
After-tax cash flow
$3,033/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dayton City
NCES district ID
3904384
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$28,688
Composite
12.94/100
National rank
#9579
State rank
#641 of 656 in OH

Livability — Dayton

Score
65/100
State rank
#716
US rank
#12895

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dayton, OH
County
Montgomery County · 459,541 people
City population
164,387
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
28,186
Household income
$36,945
Rent vs Own
52.1% rent · 47.9% own
Severe rent burden
1822.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
523,241 people
By 2030
514,948 · -1.6%
By 2040
493,378 · -5.7%
By 2050
469,639 · -10.2%
By 2075
418,360 · -20.0%
By 2100
353,315 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (71%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 71% White 20% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 0%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -92.43%
Current HPI
193.4175
Rent YoY
▲ 4.06%
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+110.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Price Changed $80,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $90,000 Dayton MLS
  • 1989-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $733 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…