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5550 Plantation Oaks Dr
B- Composite 67.84
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,900

5550 Plantation Oaks Dr · Tillmans Corner, AL 36582
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,030 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 55 Days on market
Built 1982 0.26 ac lot $62/sqft · 57% below area ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 5550 Plantation Oaks Drive! This spacious 5-bedroom, 2-bath home is ready for its new owners. Tucked away in a quiet cul-de-sac, it offers plenty of room to spread out and enjoy comfortable living. The home features a large kitchen perfect for meal prep and entertaining, along with a generous family room ideal for gatherings. A cozy wood-burning stove adds warmth and charm during the cooler months. Don’t miss your chance to see all this home has to offer—contact your favorite realtor today to schedule a showing. Property may be subject to the Alabama One Year Right of Redemption.

Key facts

  • Quiet cul-de-sac
  • Large kitchen
  • Generous family room

Tags

LARGE KITCHENGENEROUS FAMILY ROOMCOZY WOOD-BURNING STOVEQUIET CUL-DE-SAC

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Water available; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Brick front; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built in 1982
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Property has a view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Refrigerator; Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Other interior features; Wood burning stove fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater; 110-volt electrical service

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $778 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.8% vs local median 5.0% in Tillmans Corner — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#260 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 250 active listings in the ZIP; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $121,153 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.57%
Cap rate
13.77%
Cash-on-cash
26.69%
DSCR
2.19
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$288,275
List price
$124,900
Delta
-56.67%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5185 Santos Dr W 0.57mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,013 (-1%) 2mo $290,000 $144 63
6209 Waterbridge Ave 0.58mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,037 (+0%) 10mo $268,000 $132 59
5398 Quail Run 0.38mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,860 (-8%) 16mo $215,000 $116 50
6129 General Lee Ave 0.61mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,246 (+11%) 9mo $245,000 $109 42
6175 Stream Bank Dr 0.49mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,272 (+12%) 13mo $260,000 $114 42
6137 Stream Bank Dr 0.52mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,752 (-14%) 12mo $235,000 $134 38
6185 Stream Bank Dr 0.49mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,768 (-13%) 18mo $240,100 $136 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.5%
Equity multiple
1.84×
Total profit
$29,268
Equity at exit
$18,623
10-year hold
IRR
28.7%
Equity multiple
3.55×
Total profit
$89,161
Equity at exit
$10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36582

Home prices YoY
-19.1%
Active inventory
250
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,962 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$65 /mo · $779/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$412
Net cashflow
$778

Break-even live

Break-even rent $977
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $124,900 Active 55 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $124,900 Active 54 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $124,900 Active 53 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $124,900 Active 52 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $124,900 Active 50 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $124,900 Active 49 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $124,900 Active 47 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $124,900 Active 46 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $124,900 Active 45 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $124,900 Active 44 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $124,900 Active 41 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $124,900 Active 40 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $124,900 Active 39 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $124,900 Active 38 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $124,900 Active 37 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $124,900 Active 36 DOM
  17. 2026-04-24
    listed $129,900 Active 613-char remark
  18. 2008-04-04
    soldstatus $150,324

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$779 · $65/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$779 · $65/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,539
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$779
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,883
− Management
−$1,883
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable income
$7,740
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,858
After-tax cash flow
$7,475/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mobile County
NCES district ID
0102370
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$42,455
Composite
22.9/100
National rank
#8002
State rank
#81 of 129 in AL

Livability — Tillmans Corner

Score
61/100
State rank
#260
US rank
#18090

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tillmans Corner, AL
County
Mobile County · 246,577 people
City population
14,550
Metro
Mobile, AL
Population (ZIP)
23,705
Household income
$64,763
Rent vs Own
20.1% rent · 79.9% own
Severe rent burden
431.0

Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
415,303 people
By 2030
411,755 · -0.9%
By 2040
399,670 · -3.8%
By 2050
382,616 · -7.9%
By 2075
337,353 · -18.8%
By 2100
283,391 · -31.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 18% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mobile

2024 margin
R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
2008→2024 swing
-7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.61%
Current HPI
209.7621
Rent YoY
Metro
Mobile, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Price Changed $124,900 GCMLS AL
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $129,900 GCMLS AL
  • 2008-04-04 Sold (Public Records) $150,324 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $779 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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