CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
4133 N Missouri St
C- Composite 52.04
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,900

4133 N Missouri St · Harlingen, TX 78550
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 49 Days on market
Built 1999 2,000 sqft lot $111/sqft · 44% below area Est $213k · 44% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

All brick home with very low maintenance required located in a gated over 55yo community. This home comes furnished and has a large living room with an open layout to the kitchen and dining area. It features a large eat-in kitchen, 2 bedrooms with a 2nd bedroom that can be used as a bedroom, den or office area. It has 2 full bathrooms and an indoor laundry room. There's a one car carport and the home has tile and carpet flooring. Its move in ready and it comes with all the appliances. If you're looking for convenience, low maintenance and something move in ready, this home is for you.

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Large living room
  • Open layout

Tags

BRICK HOMEGATED COMMUNITYLARGE LIVING ROOMOPEN LAYOUTLARGE KITCHENINDOOR LAUNDRY ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee; Senior community

Exterior

  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
  • Construction: Brick veneer construction; Slab foundation; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Composition roof; Lot located in Sunshine Country Club Estates; Lot approximately 0.0459 acres

Interior

  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Washer and dryer included; Electric water heater; Carpet and tile flooring; Ceiling fans; Central air conditioning; Central electric heating
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $49 ($590/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (2.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.8% in Harlingen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#217 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, commute F, employment F.
  • Harlingen CISD (urban): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #647 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Dishman El (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,333 of 4,322 statewide, top 80%, 320 students, 95% FRL); Gutierrez Middle (math 26% / reading 31%, grade F, #1,122 of 1,662 statewide, top 69%, 819 students, 71% FRL); Harlingen H S (math 32% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,204 of 1,632 statewide, top 75%, 1,942 students, 82% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 465 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $116,303 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
6.79%
Cash-on-cash
1.76%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$213,491
List price
$119,900
Delta
-43.84%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.45% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.9%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-15,723
Equity at exit
$17,877
10-year hold
IRR
-3.2%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-7,289
Equity at exit
$10,367

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78550

Rents YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
465
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,164 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$192 /mo · $2,300/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$244
Net cashflow
$49

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,102
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18586 Primera Rd Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,095 $1.00 44d 1 0.79mi
2204 Northridge Ave Unit 2 Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 955 $1,250 $1.31 44d 1 0.92mi
2204 Northridge Ave Unit 23 Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 955 $1,250 $1.31 21d 1 0.92mi
2211 Northridge Ave Unit C Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 877 $1,150 $1.31 44d 1 0.96mi
2104 Multi National Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 830 $1,100 $1.33 44d 1 0.97mi
2219 Northridge Ave Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 830 $1,000 $1.20 14d 1 0.98mi
2218 Multi National Unit B Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 877 $1,100 $1.25 14d 1 0.99mi
2205 Multi National Unit A Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 876 $1,100 $1.26 44d 1 1.01mi
2209 Multi National Unit D Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 876 $1,100 $1.26 44d 1 1.02mi
2005 Southridge Ave Unit A Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 848 $1,250 $1.47 44d 1 1.08mi
17931 Spruce St Harlingen, TX 3.0 2.0 1284 $1,850 $1.44 44d 1 1.40mi
20550 Alta Vista Ct Unit C Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 970 $1,125 $1.16 44d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,900 Active 49 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,900 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,900 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,900 Active 46 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $119,900 Active 44 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $119,900 Active 41 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,900 Active 40 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,900 Active 39 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,900 Active 38 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,900 Active 34 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,900 Active 33 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,900 Active 32 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 31 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $119,900 Active 30 DOM
  15. 2026-04-30
    listed $119,900 Active 591-char remark
  16. 2023-05-03
    soldstatus
  17. 2010-03-26
    soldstatus
  18. 1998-03-24
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,300 · $192/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,300 · $192/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,969
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$2,300
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,118
− Management
−$1,118
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable loss
−$1,370
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$329
After-tax cash flow
$919/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harlingen CISD
NCES district ID
4822530
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,182
Composite
24.94/100
National rank
#7566
State rank
#647 of 826 in TX

Livability — Harlingen

Score
73/100
State rank
#217
US rank
#5347

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Harlingen, TX
County
Cameron County · 310,734 people
City population
95,667
Metro
Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
Population (ZIP)
53,335
Household income
$49,007
Rent vs Own
49.5% rent · 50.5% own
Severe rent burden
2251.0

Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
441,603 people
By 2030
448,113 · +1.5%
By 2040
456,385 · +3.3%
By 2050
456,294 · +3.3%
By 2075
423,851 · -4.0%
By 2100
342,787 · -22.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (83%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 83% Two or more races 29% White 14% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 76%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada
Languages at home
51% English-only · Spanish 48%

Political lean MEDSL · Cameron

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
2008→2024 swing
-34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -142.60%
Current HPI
167.7038
Rent YoY
▲ 3.45%
Metro
Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $119,900 RGVMLS
  • 2023-05-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2010-03-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1998-03-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,300 · -1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…