1421 S 12th St #210 · Waco, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 55.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.1/30.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Chic, move-in ready 2bed, 2bath condo in the desirable Casablanca community. With a thoughtfully arranged living space, this unit is an ideal fit for a student, first-time buyer, or investor seeking turnkey Waco ownership. Located inside a gated community just minutes from Baylor University, campus life, and downtown, the property pairs privacy and convenience with community amenities, including an on-site pool. Enjoy quick access to dining, entertainment, and major corridors while benefiting from low-maintenance condo living. Schedule a showing today and experience the perfect blend of location and value.
Key facts
- Gated community
- On-site pool
- $155 HOA
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $109k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $15 ($183/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
- Recommended offer: $96k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.9% in Waco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#166 in TX, #4,378 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, commute F, employment D-.
- Waco ISD (urban): math 20% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #773 of 826 in TX (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: South Waco El (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #4,021 of 4,322 statewide, top 94%, 462 students, 96% FRL); Cesar Chavez Middle (math 16% / reading 24%, grade F, #1,428 of 1,662 statewide, top 87%, 840 students, 94% FRL); University H S (math 39% / reading 31%, grade F, #954 of 1,632 statewide, top 59%, 1,678 students, 89% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 470 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,014 units permitted in McLennan County in 2024 (200 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- McLennan County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 217 days — a 12% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $41k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 55% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 217 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.60%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $135,024
- List price
- $109,000
- Delta
- -19.27%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1421 S 12th St #103 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 832 (0%) | 0mo | $115,000 | $138 | 100 |
| 1421 S 12th St #211 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 832 (0%) | 4mo | $124,000 | $149 | 96 |
| 1405 Speight Ave #1 | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 | 929 (+12%) | 0mo | $155,000 | $167 | 73 |
| 1405 Speight Ave #5 | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 | 929 (+12%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $167 | 72 |
| 1358 S 12th St | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 958 (+15%) | 5mo | $156,500 | $163 | 67 |
| 1226 Baylor Ave #118 | 0.09mi | 2/2.5 | 1,024 (+23%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $122 | 66 |
| 1350 S 12th St | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 958 (+15%) | 4mo | $225,000 | $235 | 66 |
| 1521 Connor Ave | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 | 999 (+20%) | 0mo | $168,899 | $169 | 60 |
| 2005 S 8th St #6 | 0.50mi | 2/2.0 | 920 (+11%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $136 | 56 |
| 1927 S 20th St | 0.67mi | 2/1.5 | 796 (-4%) | 5mo | $199,000 | $250 | 55 |
| 330 Austin Ave #310 | 1.21mi | 2/1.0 | 948 (+14%) | 2mo | $425,900 | $449 | 36 |
| 2221 Ross Ave | 0.94mi | 2/1.0 | 660 (-21%) | 0mo | $65,000 | $98 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.86% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-17,906
- Equity at exit
- $16,252
- IRR
- -11.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-19,203
- Equity at exit
- $9,424
Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 0 active · 1 under contract
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 76706
- Home prices YoY
- -29.1%
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 470
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,169 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$572
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$136 /mo · $1,635/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$155
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$245
- Net cashflow
- $15
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $91 | -5% $53 | +0% $15 | +5% $-22 | +10% $-60 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-77 | -5% $-31 | +0% $15 | +5% $61 | +10% $108 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $70 | -0.5pp $43 | base $15 | +0.5pp $-13 | +1.0pp $-42 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,250
- Closing costs
- $3,270
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1421 S 12th St Waco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 928 | $950 | $1.02 | 2d | 2 | 0.02mi |
| 1508 S 13th St Waco, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $895 | $1.15 | 109d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 1226 Baylor Ave Waco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1024 | $1,337 | $1.31 | 109d | 2 | 0.04mi |
| 1226 Baylor Ave Waco, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1024 | $1,050 | $1.03 | 0d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 1226 Baylor Ave Waco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1024 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 117d | 2 | 0.04mi |
| 1214 Baylor Ave Waco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 832 | $1,020 | $1.23 | 117d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 1214 Baylor Ave Waco, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 736 | $1,095 | $1.49 | 139d | 2 | 0.04mi |
| 1214 Baylor Ave #110 Waco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 832 | $1,195 | $1.44 | 2d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 1214 Baylor Ave Waco, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 832 | $945 | $1.14 | 109d | 2 | 0.04mi |
| 1368 S 12th St Waco, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 687 | $1,200 | $1.75 | 2d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 1348 S 12th St Waco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 958 | $1,300 | $1.36 | 117d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 1120 James Ave Apt 107 Waco, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $795 | $1.14 | 2d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 1120 James Ave Apt 203 Waco, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $725 | $1.12 | 2d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 1120 James Ave Unit Brownstone 205 Waco, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $795 | $1.22 | 117d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 920 Speight Ave Apt 102 Waco, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 624 | $725 | $1.16 | 2d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1500 S 9th St Waco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1141 | $1,165 | $1.02 | 2d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1911 S 8th St Waco, TX | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1212 | $1,233 | $1.02 | 2d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1911 S 8th St Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 798 | $1,198 | $1.50 | 117d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2005 S 8th St Waco, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 685 | $1,000 | $1.46 | 109d | 2 | 0.51mi |
| 1918 S 8th St Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1061 | $1,200 | $1.13 | 117d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1920 S 8th St Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1061 | $1,200 | $1.13 | 2d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 600 Bagby Ave Waco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1102 | $1,198 | $1.09 | 6d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1827 Wood Ave Waco, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1018 | $1,350 | $1.33 | 2d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 805 S 8th St Waco, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 490 | $1,064 | $2.17 | 0d | 21 | 0.59mi |
| 1901 Dutton Ave Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,400 | $1.62 | 109d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 715 Cleveland Ave Waco, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 845 | $1,611 | $1.91 | 2d | 13 | 0.62mi |
| 1800 S 5th St Waco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,240 | $1.38 | 2d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2100 S 19th St Waco, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 684 | $1,600 | $2.34 | 2d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2100 S 19th St Waco, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 684 | $1,300 | $1.90 | 117d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 412 University St Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,895 | $2.19 | 117d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 709 S 6th St Waco, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 655 | $925 | $1.41 | 2d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 410 Daughtrey Ave Waco, TX | 1.0 | 2.0 | 897 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 2d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 625 S 5th St Waco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 860 | $1,010 | $1.17 | 2d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2202 Burnett Ave Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,300 | $1.22 | 2d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1800 Primrose Dr Waco, TX | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 942 | $1,043 | $1.11 | 0d | 32 | 0.95mi |
| 700 S 24th St Unit 1 Waco, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 812 | $1,200 | $1.48 | 2d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2613 Baylor Ave Waco, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 892 | $1,778 | $1.99 | 2d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 700 Franklin Ave Waco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $1,500 | $1.70 | 2d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 700 Franklin Ave Waco, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 702 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 117d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 700 Franklin Ave Waco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 802 | $1,500 | $1.87 | 139d | 1 | 1.05mi |
HOA detail $155/mo · $1,860/yr condo
- Likely covers
- poolsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-07-27days on market $109,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $109,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $109,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $109,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-07-22price $109,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $112,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $112,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $112,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $112,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $112,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $112,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $112,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $112,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $112,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $112,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-07-09pricedays on market $112,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $115,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $115,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $115,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $115,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $115,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $115,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $115,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $115,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $115,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $115,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $115,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $115,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $115,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $115,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $115,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $115,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $115,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $115,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $118,400 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $118,400 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $118,400 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $118,400 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $118,400 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $118,900 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $118,900 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $118,900 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $118,900 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $118,900 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-05-11price $119,900 614-char remark
Show marketing remark (614 chars)
Chic, move-in ready 2bed, 2bath condo in the desirable Casablanca community. With a thoughtfully arranged living space, this unit is an ideal fit for a student, first-time buyer, or investor seeking turnkey Waco ownership. Located inside a gated community just minutes from Baylor University, campus life, and downtown, the property pairs privacy and convenience with community amenities, including an on-site pool. Enjoy quick access to dining, entertainment, and major corridors while benefiting from low-maintenance condo living. Schedule a showing today and experience the perfect blend of location and value.
-
2026-05-09status Active 614-char remark
Show marketing remark (614 chars)
Chic, move-in ready 2bed, 2bath condo in the desirable Casablanca community. With a thoughtfully arranged living space, this unit is an ideal fit for a student, first-time buyer, or investor seeking turnkey Waco ownership. Located inside a gated community just minutes from Baylor University, campus life, and downtown, the property pairs privacy and convenience with community amenities, including an on-site pool. Enjoy quick access to dining, entertainment, and major corridors while benefiting from low-maintenance condo living. Schedule a showing today and experience the perfect blend of location and value.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 55% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,028
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,106
- − Property taxes
- −$1,635
- − Insurance
- −$545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,122
- − Management
- −$1,122
- − HOA
- −$1,860
- − Depreciation
- −$3,171
- Taxable loss
- −$1,533
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$368
- After-tax cash flow
- $551/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This move-in ready 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom condo in Casablanca community is in good condition with modern appliances and neutral paint. It offers a great location and low-maintenance living.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the interior walls — Fresh paint can make the space feel new and inviting ↑
- Both Replace the old TV stand with a modern one — Modern furniture can enhance the aesthetic and functionality of the living area ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Waco ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4844280
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,208
- Composite
- 17.57/100
- National rank
- #9043
- State rank
- #773 of 826 in TX
Livability — Waco
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #166
- US rank
- #4378
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Waco, TX
- County
- McLennan County · 264,191 people
- City population
- 125,319
- Metro
- Waco, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,627
- Household income
- $41,656
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 14% of renters
Population outlook (McLennan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 264,191 people
- By 2030
- 273,578 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 291,506 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 308,044 · +16.6%
- By 2075
- 349,648 · +32.3%
- By 2100
- 364,779 · +38.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 17% Black 15% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 29%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · McLennan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.9) · D 34.0% · R 64.9% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.0pp toward R · 2008: -23.9pp · 2024: -30.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.9 2020: R+23.4 2016: R+27.1 2012: R+29.8 2008: R+23.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -94.31%
- Current HPI
- 230.2557
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.86%
- Metro
- Waco, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-20.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $119,900 NTREIS
- 2026-05-09 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-05-07 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $122,900 NTREIS
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $123,500 NTREIS
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $129,900 NTREIS
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $145,900 NTREIS
- 2025-12-22 Listed $149,900 NTREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…