558 Martinsburg Rd · Bath (Berkeley Springs), WV
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.4/30.0
- ARV discount +13.6/15.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Appreciation +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cape Code style home situated on a great lot located closely to downtown historic Berkeley Springs. This home offers a nice sized back yard and larger rear decking for your enjoyment. Interior features include new carpet, freshly painted throughout, new countertops, new appliances, and so much more!
Key facts
- Public sewer
- Major remodel
- Fenced-in backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service 200+ amp; Fiber optic internet; Electric hot water
- Home design: Detached property; Architectural shingle roof; Entry at main level
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation; Built year reported by assessor
- Exterior features: Outside city limits; Not in tidal water zone
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Laminate plank flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Wood burning stove; Other heating present; Heating fuel: oil, electric, and wood; Central air (electric)
- Interior features: Plaster walls and ceilings; Level entry on main; 32"+ wide doors
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $157 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $105k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 2.5% in Bath (Berkeley Springs) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Morgan County Schools (rural): math 22% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #43 of 55 in WV (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 102 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.9%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Morgan County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (28%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.91%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $132,990
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 558 Martinsburg Rd | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 806 (0%) | 0mo | $110,000 | $136 | 100 |
| 119 Radio Station Ln | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (-1%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $156 | 93 |
| 5 Tower Cir | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (+1%) | 21mo | $160,000 | $196 | 68 |
| 25 Harrison Ave | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 788 (-2%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $165 | 66 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.87% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-7,980
- Equity at exit
- $17,829
- IRR
- 2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $6,569
- Equity at exit
- $11,118
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 25411
- Home prices YoY
- -1.4%
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,223 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$103 /mo · $1,232/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$257
- Net cashflow
- $157
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $222 | -5% $189 | +0% $157 | +5% $124 | +10% $92 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $60 | -5% $109 | +0% $157 | +5% $205 | +10% $253 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $215 | -0.5pp $186 | base $157 | +0.5pp $127 | +1.0pp $97 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 N Washington St Apt 2 Berkeley Springs, WV | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,900 | $3.17 | 14d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 117 Wilkes St Unit 5 Berkeley Springs, WV | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $875 | $1.46 | 14d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 117 Wilkes St Unit 3 Berkeley Springs, WV | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $950 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1499 Valley Rd Unit D Berkeley Springs, WV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,000 | $1.82 | 22d | 1 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-06status Pending
-
2026-04-27price $115,000
-
2026-03-10price $139,900
-
2026-02-18price $149,900
-
2026-01-20$159,900 Active
-
2019-10-31soldstatus $110,000 Closed 300-char remark
Show marketing remark (300 chars)
Cape Code style home situated on a great lot located closely to downtown historic Berkeley Springs. This home offers a nice sized back yard and larger rear decking for your enjoyment. Interior features include new carpet, freshly painted throughout, new countertops, new appliances, and so much more!
-
2019-09-16status Pending 300-char remark
Show marketing remark (300 chars)
Cape Code style home situated on a great lot located closely to downtown historic Berkeley Springs. This home offers a nice sized back yard and larger rear decking for your enjoyment. Interior features include new carpet, freshly painted throughout, new countertops, new appliances, and so much more!
-
2019-08-26$110,000 Active 300-char remark
Show marketing remark (300 chars)
Cape Code style home situated on a great lot located closely to downtown historic Berkeley Springs. This home offers a nice sized back yard and larger rear decking for your enjoyment. Interior features include new carpet, freshly painted throughout, new countertops, new appliances, and so much more!
-
2014-04-07soldstatus $40,000 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
Unique property sitting in the heart of Berkeley Springs. Large rear yard backs to tree's, rear deck great for entertaining. Spacious rooms, minutes to the Berkeley Springs State Park, "Taking the waters" has been recorded at Berkeley Springs since the 1740s. Native tribes visited the warm springs for countless centuries before colonial settlers.
-
2014-02-26historical 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
Unique property sitting in the heart of Berkeley Springs. Large rear yard backs to tree's, rear deck great for entertaining. Spacious rooms, minutes to the Berkeley Springs State Park, "Taking the waters" has been recorded at Berkeley Springs since the 1740s. Native tribes visited the warm springs for countless centuries before colonial settlers.
-
2013-10-29$52,488 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
Unique property sitting in the heart of Berkeley Springs. Large rear yard backs to tree's, rear deck great for entertaining. Spacious rooms, minutes to the Berkeley Springs State Park, "Taking the waters" has been recorded at Berkeley Springs since the 1740s. Native tribes visited the warm springs for countless centuries before colonial settlers.
-
1998-06-15soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,232 · $103/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,232 · $103/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,674
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,232
- − Insurance
- −$1,242
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,174
- − Management
- −$1,174
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $65
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$16
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,866/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Morgan County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5400990
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,255
- Composite
- 22.75/100
- National rank
- #8033
- State rank
- #43 of 55 in WV
Livability — Bath (Berkeley Springs)
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,929
Population outlook (Morgan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,350 people
- By 2030
- 17,005 · -2.0%
- By 2040
- 15,939 · -8.1%
- By 2050
- 14,775 · -14.8%
- By 2075
- 12,773 · -26.4%
- By 2100
- 10,795 · -37.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Morgan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.6) · D 21.4% · R 77.0% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.2pp toward R · 2008: -23.5pp · 2024: -55.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.6 2020: R+52.2 2016: R+54.4 2012: R+30.5 2008: R+23.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.87%
- Current HPI
- 206.4566
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+283.3% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $115,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $139,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-18 Price Changed $149,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-20 Listed $159,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-10-31 Sold (MLS) $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-09-16 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-08-26 Listed $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-04-07 Sold (MLS) $40,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-02-26 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-10-29 Listed $52,488 BRIGHT MLS
- 1998-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,232 · +8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…