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713 E Warren St
D Composite 41.92
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,900

713 E Warren St · Bunker Hill, IL 62014
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,510 sqft · SingleFamily · 31 Days on market
Built 1886 0.39 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Flippers dream! A lot of property for the price; just needs a little TLC. 1-½ story, 3 bedroom, 1 full bath with walk in spa/tub and shower. Large eat-in kitchen with range, microwave, and refrigerator included. Spacious living and dining room. Utility room in basement with newer washer and dryer included. Large double garage with single enclosed lean to shed/workshop, just waiting to become a man cave or she shed. Would be a car nut's paradise; garage is set up to be heated; room for multiple cars. Plenty of space on this corner lot for gardening and/or entertaining. Two wells located on property.

Key facts

  • New metal roof
  • Laundry room
  • Bonus room

Tags

HUGE WORKSHOPLAUNDRY ROOMMUD ROOMBONUS ROOMNEW METAL ROOF

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area reported as 1,510 (source: other)
  • Financial info: Seller may consider concessions; Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Parking: 4 total parking spaces; Detached heated garage with 4 garage spaces; Garage faces side with garage door opener; Additional off-street parking on asphalt; Oversized parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (Ameren); Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories; Residential property
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Metal roof; Has basement (cellar, unfinished)
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Lot dimensions approximately 91 x 185

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Gas Range
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms total — 2 on the main level and 1 on the upper level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Microwave; Gas Range; Cellar (unfinished basement); Central vacuum not listed
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $60 ($716/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $118k (9.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (9.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#732 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Bunker Hill CUSD 8 (rural): math 12% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #489 of 620 in IL (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Bunker Hill High School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #430 of 693 statewide, top 66%, 216 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 35% district-wide (35 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 70 units permitted in Macoupin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macoupin County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $57k; list at $130k implies a 128% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1886 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $118,049 (9.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1886 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
6.84%
Cash-on-cash
1.97%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$42,280
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
607 E Morgan St 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,350 (-11%) 3mo $37,500 $28 65

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.2%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-17,249
Equity at exit
$19,369
10-year hold
IRR
-4.2%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-10,119
Equity at exit
$11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62014

Home prices YoY
-13.2%
Active inventory
12
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,180 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$138 /mo · $1,652/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$248
Net cashflow
$60

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,105
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $133 -5% $96 +0% $60 +5% $23 +10% $-14
Rent -10% $-34 -5% $13 +0% $60 +5% $106 +10% $153
Rate -1.0pp $125 -0.5pp $93 base $60 +0.5pp $26 +1.0pp $-8

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,900 Active 31 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,900 Active 30 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,900 Active 29 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,900 Active 28 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,900 Active 26 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,900 Active 22 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,900 Active 21 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,900 Active 20 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $129,900 Active 16 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $129,900 Active 15 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $134,900 Active 14 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $134,900 Active 13 DOM
  13. 2026-05-18
    listed $134,900 Active
  14. 2026-03-25
    price $132,900
  15. 2026-03-17
    status Active
  16. 2026-02-04
    status Pending
  17. 2026-01-22
    price $134,900
  18. 2026-01-08
    price $139,900
  19. 2025-12-22
    listed $145,000 Active
  20. 2025-12-15
    historical
  21. 2020-01-21
    soldstatus $57,000
  22. 2020-01-15
    soldstatus 622-char remark
    Show marketing remark (622 chars)

    Flippers dream! A lot of property for the price; just needs a little TLC. 1-½ story, 3 bedroom, 1 full bath with walk in spa/tub and shower. Large eat-in kitchen with range, microwave, and refrigerator included. Spacious living and dining room. Utility room in basement with newer washer and dryer included. Large double garage with single enclosed lean to shed/workshop, just waiting to become a man cave or she shed. Would be a car nut's paradise; garage is set up to be heated; room for multiple cars. Plenty of space on this corner lot for gardening and/or entertaining. Two wells located on property.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,652 · $138/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,300 · $192/mo
Expected delta
+$649/yr (+$54/mo · 39.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,166
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$1,652
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,133
− Management
−$1,133
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable loss
−$1,457
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$350
After-tax cash flow
$1,065/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bunker Hill CUSD 8
NCES district ID
1707770
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$53,000
Composite
14.45/100
National rank
#9428
State rank
#489 of 620 in IL

Livability — Bunker Hill

Score
64/100
State rank
#732
US rank
#14855

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bunker Hill, IL
City population
3,695
Population (ZIP)
3,695

Population outlook (Macoupin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
42,867 people
By 2030
40,796 · -4.8%
By 2040
36,135 · -15.7%
By 2050
31,469 · -26.6%
By 2075
22,102 · -48.4%
By 2100
15,380 · -64.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 5% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
1% · South Korea

Political lean MEDSL · Macoupin

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.2) · D 29.4% · R 68.7% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-49.0pp toward R · 2008: 9.8pp · 2024: -39.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.2 2020: R+36.5 2016: R+35.0 2012: R+7.0 2008: D+9.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -29.97%
Current HPI
197.4978
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+136.7% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $134,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $132,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-17 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-04 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-22 Price Changed $134,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-08 Price Changed $139,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-22 Listed $145,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-15 Coming Soon MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-01-21 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
  • 2020-01-15 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+13.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,652 · +8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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