104 Renner Creek Rd · New Freeport, PA 15352

$50,000

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,948 sqft · SingleFamily · 18 Days on market

Built 1938 10,454 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +5.0/10.0
• Schools +3.7/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Livability +2.2/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

REC BK. VOL 471 PG. 1226

Key facts

• Small front porch
• Large kitchen
• Detached garage

Tags

• LARGE KITCHEN
• DEDICATED DINING AREA
• SMALL FRONT PORCH
• DETACHED GARAGE

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $662 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
• Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 45/100 on livability (#1,724 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
• West Greene SD (rural): math 32% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #302 of 539 in PA (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 30 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $2k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
• Greene County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $49,250 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.55% ✓
• Cap rate: 22.19%
• Cash-on-cash: 56.77%
• DSCR: 3.53
• GRM: 3.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 61.7%
• Equity multiple: 4.44×
• Total profit: $48,224
• Equity at exit: $22,482

10-year hold

• IRR: 61.3%
• Equity multiple: 9.04×
• Total profit: $112,592
• Equity at exit: $34,648

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Pennsylvania: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 15352

• Active inventory: 4
• Price-to-rent: 3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,276 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$262
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$62 /mo · $750/yr
• Insurance: −$21
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$268
• Net cashflow: $662

Break-even live

Break-even rent $437

Max offer price $50,000

Occupancy floor 43%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $12,500
• Closing costs: $1,500
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 7 events

1. 2025-10-27
   status Pending
2. 2025-10-22
   price $50,000
3. 2025-10-15
   price $55,000
4. 2025-10-08
   listed $65,000 Active
5. 2015-08-18
   historical 24-char remark

   Show marketing remark (24 chars)

   REC BK. VOL 471 PG. 1226

6. 2015-04-22
   price $48,500 24-char remark

   Show marketing remark (24 chars)

   REC BK. VOL 471 PG. 1226

7. 2015-04-10
   listed $50,000 Active 24-char remark

   Show marketing remark (24 chars)

   REC BK. VOL 471 PG. 1226

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,309
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,801
• − Property taxes: −$750
• − Insurance: −$250
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,225
• − Management: −$1,225
• − Depreciation: −$1,455
• Taxable income: $7,604
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,825
• After-tax cash flow: $6,123/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: West Greene SD
• NCES district ID: 4225440
• Math proficiency: 32% ▼ -13.00%
• Reading proficiency: 54% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $48,472
• Composite: 36.75/100
• National rank: #4583
• State rank: #302 of 539 in PA

Livability — New Freeport

• Score: 45/100
• State rank: #1724
• US rank: #26634

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety C- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 659

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 34,975 people
• By 2030: 33,554 · -4.1%
• By 2040: 30,615 · -12.5%
• By 2050: 27,819 · -20.5%
• By 2075: 21,678 · -38.0%
• By 2100: 16,318 · -53.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (97%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 97% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Iranian 2%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+44.8) · D 26.6% · R 71.5% · Other 1.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -44.4pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -44.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+44.8 2020: R+43.4 2016: R+41.7 2012: R+17.6 2008: R+0.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: —
• Current HPI: —
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.68%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$309B
▸Insurance	2	$27B
▸Telecommunications / Media	1	$124B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$22B
▸Financial Services	1	$20B
▸Chemicals / Materials	1	$18B

Price history

+0.0% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2025-10-27 Pending — West Penn MLS
• 2025-10-22 Price Changed $50,000 West Penn MLS
• 2025-10-15 Price Changed $55,000 West Penn MLS
• 2025-10-08 Listed $65,000 West Penn MLS
• 2015-08-18 Delisted — West Penn MLS
• 2015-04-22 Price Changed $48,500 West Penn MLS
• 2015-04-10 Listed $50,000 West Penn MLS