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10926 Bancroft Ave Fourplex
C Composite 59.67
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.1/30.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$830,000

10926 Bancroft Ave · Oakland, CA 94603
8 bd · 4.0 ba · 3,472 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 674 Days on market
Built 1955 5,555 sqft lot $239/sqft · 25% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Location, Location, Location! Rare a four units investment property located at border of Oakland and San Leandro, Great corner location at Durant and Bancroft. 5 blocks from Dutton and Bancroft shopping. Bus station at the door. Close to freeway and BART Station, 2 bedrooms and 1 bath for all 4 units, Great opportunity!

Key facts

  • Corner location
  • Close to freeway
  • 5,555 sq ft lot

Tags

CORNER LOCATIONCLOSE TO FREEWAYCLOSE TO BART STATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $830k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($22k/yr) — positive. Per door: $460/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($10k rent vs $830k).
  • Recommended offer: $730k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 2.4% in Oakland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#224 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, cost of living F.
  • Oakland Unified (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #1,007 of 1,400 in CA (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 98 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,742 units permitted in Alameda County in 2024 (856 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $9,891/mo this rent would consume 155% of the median local household income ($77k/yr) (locally 2061% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $25k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Alameda County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 674 days — a 12% lower offer ($730k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $730,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 674 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
8.95%
Cash-on-cash
9.50%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$1,762,233
List price
$830,000
Delta
-52.90%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2509 109th Ave 0.24mi 8/4.0 3,432 (-1%) 23mo $910,000 $265 68

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.6%
Equity multiple
0.87×
Total profit
$-30,934
Equity at exit
$123,756
10-year hold
IRR
4.4%
Equity multiple
1.30×
Total profit
$69,607
Equity at exit
$71,763

Cash invested: $232,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City Oakland
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+62
Rent Adjustment Program + Just Cause.

ZIP-level market 94603

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
98
Price-to-rent
28.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$9,891 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,353
Tax from tax record
$1,275 /mo · $15,303/yr
Insurance
$346
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,077
Net cashflow
$1,840

Break-even live

Break-even rent $7,562
Max offer price $830,000
Occupancy floor 76%

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (4 units) $9,891

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$207,500
Closing costs
$24,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $830,000 Active 674 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $830,000 Active 673 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $830,000 Active 672 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $830,000 Active 671 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $830,000 Active 669 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $830,000 Active 668 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $830,000 Active 665 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $830,000 Active 664 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $830,000 Active 663 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $830,000 Active 660 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $830,000 Active 659 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $830,000 Active 658 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $830,000 Active 657 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $830,000 Active 656 DOM
  15. 2025-02-25
    status Active 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Location, Location, Location! Rare a four units investment property located at border of Oakland and San Leandro, Great corner location at Durant and Bancroft. 5 blocks from Dutton and Bancroft shopping. Bus station at the door. Close to freeway and BART Station, 2 bedrooms and 1 bath for all 4 units, Great opportunity!

  16. 2025-01-23
    status Pending 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Location, Location, Location! Rare a four units investment property located at border of Oakland and San Leandro, Great corner location at Durant and Bancroft. 5 blocks from Dutton and Bancroft shopping. Bus station at the door. Close to freeway and BART Station, 2 bedrooms and 1 bath for all 4 units, Great opportunity!

  17. 2024-07-11
    historical
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Location, Location, Location! Rare a four units investment property located at border of Oakland and San Leandro, Great corner location at Durant and Bancroft. 5 blocks from Dutton and Bancroft shopping. Bus station at the door. Close to freeway and BART Station, 2 bedrooms and 1 bath for all 4 units, Great opportunity!

  18. 2024-07-11
    listed $830,000 Active 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Location, Location, Location! Rare a four units investment property located at border of Oakland and San Leandro, Great corner location at Durant and Bancroft. 5 blocks from Dutton and Bancroft shopping. Bus station at the door. Close to freeway and BART Station, 2 bedrooms and 1 bath for all 4 units, Great opportunity!

  19. 2024-05-08
    listed Active
  20. 2022-11-01
    price $890,000
  21. 2022-11-01
    listed $950,000 Active
  22. 2022-06-17
    price $950,000
  23. 2022-04-14
    price $999,000
  24. 2022-04-08
    price $1,099,000
  25. 2022-03-20
    listed $1,100,000 Active
  26. 2017-06-28
    soldstatus $750,000 Sold
  27. 2017-06-28
    soldstatus $750,000
  28. 2017-05-15
    status Pending
  29. 2017-05-08
    listed $750,000 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$15,303 · $1,275/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$15,303 · $1,275/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥84°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$118,692
− Mortgage interest
−$46,493
− Property taxes
−$15,303
− Insurance
−$4,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$9,495
− Management
−$9,495
− Depreciation
−$24,145
Taxable income
$9,610
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,306
After-tax cash flow
$19,776/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Oakland Unified
NCES district ID
0628050
Math proficiency
27% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$55,194
Composite
29.52/100
National rank
#11769
State rank
#1007 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Oakland

Score
71/100
State rank
#224
US rank
#7245

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Oakland, CA
County
Alameda County · 1,614,355 people
City population
385,993
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
Population (ZIP)
35,742
Household income
$76,723
Rent vs Own
52.1% rent · 47.9% own
Severe rent burden
2061.0

Population outlook (Alameda County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,928,884 people
By 2030
2,069,146 · +7.3%
By 2040
2,338,405 · +21.2%
By 2050
2,586,608 · +34.1%
By 2075
3,061,911 · +58.7%
By 2100
3,234,133 · +67.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (63%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 63% Black 25% Two or more races 11% Asian 5% White 4% Native American 1% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 51%
Foreign-born
37% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
37% English-only · Spanish 56% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Alameda

2024 margin
Solid D (+53.6) · D 74.6% · R 21.0% · Other 4.4%
2008→2024 swing
-5.9pp toward R · 2008: 59.5pp · 2024: 53.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+53.6 2020: D+62.5 2016: D+64.4 2012: D+59.8 2008: D+59.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -665.46%
Current HPI
396.0247
Rent YoY
▲ 1.58%
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+10.7% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2025-02-25 Relisted bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2025-01-23 Pending bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2024-07-11 Listing Removed bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2024-07-11 Listed $830,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2024-05-08 Listed bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2022-11-01 Price Changed $890,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 2022-11-01 Listed $950,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 2022-06-17 Price Changed $950,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 2022-04-14 Price Changed $999,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 2022-04-08 Price Changed $1,099,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 2022-03-20 Listed $1,100,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 2017-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $750,000 Public Records
  • 2017-06-28 Sold (MLS) $750,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2017-05-15 Pending bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2017-05-08 Listed $750,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR

Property tax history

+10.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $15,303 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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