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107 Fourth St
C Composite 56.3
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$82,500

107 Fourth St · Mastodon, MI 49935
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 19 Days on market
Built 1900 0.30 ac lot Est $66k · 25% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity is knocking! ??? Located in a great area, this charming home is ready for your personal touch. With the remodel already underway, now is the perfect time to step in and make it your own. Choose the flooring, pick your favorite paint colors, and add the finishing touches that bring your vision to life. Whether you're creating your dream home or looking for your next investment opportunity, this property offers a blank canvas with endless potential. Don't miss your chance to finish the story and make this home exactly what you've always wanted!

Key facts

  • Remodel underway
  • Blank canvas
  • Endless potential

Tags

REMODEL UNDERWAYBLANK CANVASENDLESS POTENTIAL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential; Lot features: Approximately 0.3 acre (frontage approx. 97'); Lot serviced by paved, year-round city/county roads
  • Financial info: No investor or income/expense details provided
  • HOA & community: No HOA information provided

Exterior

  • Parking: No parking information provided
  • Security: No security features listed
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas heating and gas water heater; Public water; Septic system
  • Home design: Residential, single-story home; Built in 1900; Below-grade area fully finished
  • Construction: Block basement; Vinyl siding exterior; Year built 1900
  • Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Sidewalks; Rural view; Road frontage; Located within city limits and in a rural setting

Interior

  • Kitchen: Main-level kitchen (approx. 11 x 16)
  • Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms (approx. 14 x 9 and 10 x 13)
  • Flooring: No flooring information provided
  • Bathrooms: Main floor full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Floor furnace heating; No cooling system listed; Gas water heater
  • Interior features: No notable interior features listed; Basement present (block foundation)
  • Laundry & utility: No specific laundry appliances listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $82k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $282 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($995 rent vs $82k).
  • Recommended offer: $81k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Forest Park School District (rural): math 27% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #331 of 540 in MI (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 156 units permitted in Iron County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $570 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Iron County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $82k implies a 175% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $81,262 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
10.39%
Cash-on-cash
14.65%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$66,240
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
606 2nd St 0.43mi 2/1.0 (-1) 936 (-2%) 12mo $65,000 $69 61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.1%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$4,563
Equity at exit
$12,301
10-year hold
IRR
14.5%
Equity multiple
2.17×
Total profit
$26,992
Equity at exit
$7,133

Cash invested: $23,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49935

Home prices YoY
-28.7%
Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$995 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$433
Tax from tax record
$37 /mo · $445/yr
Insurance
$34
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$209
Net cashflow
$282

Break-even live

Break-even rent $638
Max offer price $82,500
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $329 -5% $305 +0% $282 +5% $259 +10% $235
Rent -10% $203 -5% $243 +0% $282 +5% $321 +10% $361
Rate -1.0pp $323 -0.5pp $303 base $282 +0.5pp $261 +1.0pp $239

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,625
Closing costs
$2,475
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $82,500 Active 19 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $82,500 Active 18 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $82,500 Active 16 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $82,500 Active 15 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $82,500 Active 14 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $82,500 Active 13 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $82,500 Active 11 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $82,500 Active 10 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $82,500 Active 7 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $82,500 Active 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $82,500 Active 5 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $82,500 Active 4 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    remarks 561-char remark
  14. 2026-06-02
    listed $82,500 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$445 · $37/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$858 · $71/mo
Expected delta
+$413/yr (+$34/mo · 92.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,940
− Mortgage interest
−$4,621
− Property taxes
−$445
− Insurance
−$412
− Repairs & maintenance
−$955
− Management
−$955
− Depreciation
−$2,400
Taxable income
$2,151
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$516
After-tax cash flow
$2,867/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Forest Park School District
NCES district ID
2611190
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$38,409
Composite
27.54/100
National rank
#6947
State rank
#331 of 540 in MI

Livability — Mastodon

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Alpha, MI
Population (ZIP)
5,969

Population outlook (Iron County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,485 people
By 2030
9,914 · -5.4%
By 2040
8,698 · -17.0%
By 2050
7,742 · -26.2%
By 2075
6,485 · -38.1%
By 2100
5,396 · -48.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Lithuanian 6% Portuguese 5%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Iron

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.3) · D 34.7% · R 64.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-31.5pp toward R · 2008: 2.1pp · 2024: -29.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.3 2020: R+25.4 2016: R+28.3 2012: R+9.0 2008: D+2.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -90.38%
Current HPI
224.8101
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+106.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $82,500 UPAR
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $82,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-09-04 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
  • 2010-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $445 · -23.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…