7 Slade Ave #511 · Pikesville, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +4.4/30.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Bright and spacious 2-bedroom, 2-bath residence in a beautiful full-service building. This well-appointed unit features a large living room with custom built-ins and sliding doors opening to a private balcony, a separate dining area, and an updated eat-in kitchen. The generous primary suite offers a walk-in closet and en-suite bath, complemented by a well-sized second bedroom. New carpeting throughout adds a fresh touch. Enjoy exceptional community amenities including a library, fitness center, party room, outdoor pool, and rental suite for guests.
Key facts
- Outdoor pool
- Private balcony
- Walk-in closet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-326 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $67k (46.1% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $67k (46.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#191 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Baltimore County Public Schools (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #11 of 24 in MD (top 46%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,511 units permitted in Baltimore County in 2024 (643 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 49% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 46% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 3.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- -11.18%
- DSCR
- 0.50
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $152,806
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- -18.20%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.64% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -28.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.00×
- Total profit
- $-34,896
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- -11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.12×
- Total profit
- $-30,791
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21208
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 171
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,999 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$209 /mo · $2,513/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$988
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$420
- Net cashflow
- $-326
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-255 | -5% $-291 | +0% $-326 | +5% $-361 | +10% $-397 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-484 | -5% $-405 | +0% $-326 | +5% $-247 | +10% $-168 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-263 | -0.5pp $-294 | base $-326 | +0.5pp $-358 | +1.0pp $-391 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7307 Park Heights Ave Pikesville, MD | 2.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1251 | $2,506 | $2.00 | 3d | 5 | 0.20mi |
| 3700 Seven Mile Ln Pikesville, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1063 | $1,723 | $1.62 | 3d | 13 | 0.25mi |
| 7220 Park Heights Ave Pikesville, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,565 | $1.49 | 4d | 2 | 0.25mi |
| 19 Warren Park Dr Pikesville, MD | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 903 | $1,467 | $1.62 | 0d | 12 | 0.55mi |
| 515 Marshall Ave Pikesville, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,750 | $2.29 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 220 Brightside Ave Pikesville, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1233 | $2,500 | $2.03 | 19d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 7008 Deerfield Rd Pikesville, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1664 | $2,300 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3607 Labyrinth Rd Baltimore, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 925 | $1,600 | $1.73 | 21d | 5 | 0.77mi |
| 6936 Blanche Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1410 | $1,800 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3809 Clarks Ln Unit 301 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1057 | $1,600 | $1.51 | 25d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3505 Clarks Ln Unit D2 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $2,500 | $1.43 | 45d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3014 Romaric Ct Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,724 | $1.96 | 5d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3014 Romaric Ct Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $1,709 | $1.82 | 3d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3705 Midheights Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1024 | $1,900 | $1.86 | 25d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 6609 Eberle Dr Baltimore, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1011 | $1,478 | $1.46 | 3d | 25 | 1.03mi |
| 3638 Fords Ln Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1001 | $1,795 | $1.79 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3002 Fallstaff Manor Ct Baltimore, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 810 | $1,879 | $2.32 | 3d | 10 | 1.08mi |
| 3301 Clarks Ln Baltimore, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 801 | $1,345 | $1.68 | 4d | 10 | 1.08mi |
| 7248 Early Golden Ln Unit 7248 Pikesville, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1280 | $2,500 | $1.95 | 25d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 6317 Pearce Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1140 | $1,600 | $1.40 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1 Pomona N Pikesville, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $1,958 | $1.31 | 0d | 22 | 1.31mi |
| 29 Stonehenge Cir #1 Pikesville, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 931 | $1,850 | $1.99 | 19d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 808 Templecliff Rd Pikesville, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,300 | $1.92 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2903 Fallstaff Rd #501 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,400 | $1.57 | 45d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $988 · $11,856/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-18status $125,000 Pending 70 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $125,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-04-09$125,000 Active 554-char remark
Show marketing remark (554 chars)
Bright and spacious 2-bedroom, 2-bath residence in a beautiful full-service building. This well-appointed unit features a large living room with custom built-ins and sliding doors opening to a private balcony, a separate dining area, and an updated eat-in kitchen. The generous primary suite offers a walk-in closet and en-suite bath, complemented by a well-sized second bedroom. New carpeting throughout adds a fresh touch. Enjoy exceptional community amenities including a library, fitness center, party room, outdoor pool, and rental suite for guests.
-
2020-04-10soldstatus $110,000
-
2020-03-31soldstatus $110,000 Closed 265-char remark
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
AVAlLABLE IMMEDIATELY! MOVE IN READY * * * * * One level living. 2bedroom, 2 bath unit. Secured building with doorman. Secured parking. Washer and dryer in unit. Tons of closet space throughout. Balcony with space for seating that over looks the main entrance.
-
2020-03-03status Pending 265-char remark
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
AVAlLABLE IMMEDIATELY! MOVE IN READY * * * * * One level living. 2bedroom, 2 bath unit. Secured building with doorman. Secured parking. Washer and dryer in unit. Tons of closet space throughout. Balcony with space for seating that over looks the main entrance.
-
2020-02-11price $118,500 265-char remark
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
AVAlLABLE IMMEDIATELY! MOVE IN READY * * * * * One level living. 2bedroom, 2 bath unit. Secured building with doorman. Secured parking. Washer and dryer in unit. Tons of closet space throughout. Balcony with space for seating that over looks the main entrance.
-
2020-01-24$125,000 Active 265-char remark
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
AVAlLABLE IMMEDIATELY! MOVE IN READY * * * * * One level living. 2bedroom, 2 bath unit. Secured building with doorman. Secured parking. Washer and dryer in unit. Tons of closet space throughout. Balcony with space for seating that over looks the main entrance.
-
2007-06-22soldstatus $210,000
-
2007-06-11soldstatus $210,000
-
2007-05-23historical
-
2007-04-20$219,900
-
2006-09-19soldstatus $220,000
-
2006-07-24soldstatus $220,000
-
2006-05-18historical
-
2006-04-17$249,000
-
2001-10-23soldstatus $96,000
-
2001-10-12soldstatus $96,000
-
2001-08-23historical
-
2001-08-14historical
-
2001-07-24
-
2001-05-31$99,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,513 · $209/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,513 · $209/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,986
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$2,513
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,919
- − Management
- −$1,919
- − HOA
- −$11,856
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable loss
- −$5,484
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,316
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,595/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400120
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,746
- Composite
- 23.17/100
- National rank
- #7948
- State rank
- #11 of 24 in MD
Livability — Pikesville
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #191
- US rank
- #8765
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pikesville, MD
- County
- Baltimore County · 769,527 people
- City population
- 37,276
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,276
- Household income
- $90,131
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1588.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 885,518 people
- By 2030
- 909,272 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 951,547 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 990,955 · +11.9%
- By 2075
- 1,086,411 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 1,135,078 · +28.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 43% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 4% Romanian 3% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.5) · D 61.0% · R 36.5% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.9pp toward D · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 24.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.5 2020: D+27.0 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -299.14%
- Current HPI
- 237.5825
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.64%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+25.6% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Listed $125,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2020-03-31 Sold (MLS) $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-03-03 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-02-11 Price Changed $118,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-01-24 Listed $125,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $210,000 Public Records
- 2007-06-11 Sold (MLS) $210,000 MRIS
- 2007-05-23 Delisted — MRIS
- 2007-04-20 Listed $219,900 MRIS
- 2006-09-19 Sold (Public Records) $220,000 Public Records
- 2006-07-24 Sold (MLS) $220,000 MRIS
- 2006-05-18 Delisted — MRIS
- 2006-04-17 Listed $249,000 MRIS
- 2001-10-23 Sold (Public Records) $96,000 Public Records
- 2001-10-12 Sold (MLS) $96,000 MRIS
- 2001-08-23 Delisted — MRIS
- 2001-08-14 Delisted — MRIS
- 2001-07-24 Listed — MRIS
- 2001-05-31 Listed $99,500 MRIS
Property tax history
+0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,513 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…