110 Deer Path · Wallenpaupack Lake Estates, PA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- Appreciation +5.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$239,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautifully maintained home within walking distance to Lake Wallenpaupack, offering comfort, charm, and access to outdoor living. This inviting property includes a second lot for a total . 43 acres, making it a wonderful opportunity for full-time living or a weekend retreat. A spacious kitchen with granite countertops, attractive cabinetry, pull-out shelves and pantry. Two bedrooms and one full bathroom on the main level. A cozy living room with a wood-burning fireplace, exit through a sliding door to an L-shaped deck, creating the perfect space for outdoor dining, entertaining, or simply enjoying the peaceful setting. Enjoy the beauty of nature all around you. With its desirable location a
Key facts
- L-shaped deck
- Granite countertops
- Lake access
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Private maintained road with road maintenance agreement; Lot is sloped, landscaped with garden and few trees; interior backyard; paved/gravel access; Additional adjacent parcel included (contains a shed)
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee of $800 (includes snow removal and water)
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; No garage; Aggregate surface
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Propane; Water connected; Septic tank (private sewer); Phone available; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family house; One story; Side entry; Updated/remodeled condition
- Construction: Asphalt roof; Vinyl siding; Glass elements; Batts insulation; Block foundation; Built with block basement (unfinished, full) and walk-out/exterior entry; includes storage space and interior entry
- Exterior features: Private yard; Private entrance; Fire pit; Outdoor lighting; Rain gutters; Wrap-around deck; Sliding doors; Shed(s); Has a view
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Self-cleaning oven; Free-standing gas range; Dishwasher; Microwave
- Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (includes bedroom count within total rooms information)
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Propane heating; Wood-burning fireplace (family room); Ceiling fans for cooling
- Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; Eat-in kitchen; Chandelier; Ceiling fans; Window coverings and treatments (double pane, insulated, drapes)
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer hookups (washer hookup, electric dryer hookup); Laundry sink; Laundry located in basement / lower level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $239k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $405 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $239k).
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 2.5% in Wallenpaupack Lake Estates — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#896 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, employment A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Wallenpaupack Area SD (rural): math 39% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #192 of 539 in PA (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Wallenpaupack North Intrmd Sch (math 36% / reading 59%, grade D, #733 of 1,518 statewide, top 48%, 471 students, 63% FRL); Wallenpaupack Area Ms (math 23% / reading 57%, grade F, #257 of 512 statewide, top 52%, 644 students, 59% FRL); Wallenpaupack Area Hs (math 74% / reading 67%, grade B+, #48 of 437 statewide, top 11%, 990 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 61% FRL vs 44% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 213 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
- Pike County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $239k implies a 268% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.27%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $302,400
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 815 N Shore Rd | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 1,228 (-2%) | 16mo | $295,000 | $240 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.17% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $32,287
- Equity at exit
- $83,750
- IRR
- 13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.62×
- Total profit
- $108,669
- Equity at exit
- $112,984
Cash invested: $66,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18464
- Home prices YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 62
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,489 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,253
- Tax from tax record
- −$141 /mo · $1,690/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$67
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$523
- Net cashflow
- $405
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $540 | -5% $473 | +0% $405 | +5% $338 | +10% $270 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $209 | -5% $307 | +0% $405 | +5% $503 | +10% $602 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $526 | -0.5pp $466 | base $405 | +0.5pp $343 | +1.0pp $280 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,750
- Closing costs
- $7,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $67 · $804/yr
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-22price $239,000
-
2026-05-18$229,000 Active
-
2001-09-06soldstatus $65,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,690 · $141/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,733 · $228/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,043/yr (+$87/mo · 61.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,863
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,388
- − Property taxes
- −$1,690
- − Insurance
- −$1,195
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,389
- − Management
- −$2,389
- − HOA
- −$804
- − Depreciation
- −$6,953
- Taxable income
- $1,055
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$253
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,609/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wallenpaupack Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4224750
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,027
- Composite
- 41.97/100
- National rank
- #3345
- State rank
- #192 of 539 in PA
Livability — Wallenpaupack Lake Estates
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #896
- US rank
- #9541
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,455
Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 53,548 people
- By 2030
- 51,622 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 46,490 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 40,372 · -24.6%
- By 2075
- 31,951 · -40.3%
- By 2100
- 26,821 · -49.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 5% Iranian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pike
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.6% · R 61.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.2pp · 2024: -24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.1 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+11.0 2008: R+4.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.17%
- Current HPI
- 240.5805
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+267.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $239,000 PWMLS
- 2026-05-18 Listed $229,000 PWMLS
- 2001-09-06 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2026): $1,690 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…