2006 Cedar St · Jacksonville, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$98,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great West Location! This home has some nice features. Main floor features one bedroom, a spacious living room, Dining room or den! Was originally a 3rd bedroom but it has been open to the Living room. Eat in kitchen and Laundry on the main level. Upstairs features a 2nd bedroom with Fireplace. This is 1.5 Story with approx 1200 sq feet of living space. Sold as is. Inspection Welcome
Key facts
- 9,800 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1941
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $98k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $201 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $98k).
- Recommended offer: $90k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 5.4% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#187 in IL, #3,543 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, schools D.
- Jacksonville SD 117 (town): math 20% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #407 of 620 in IL (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 141 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $681 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Morgan County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($90k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $83k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.74%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $163,083
- List price
- $98,500
- Delta
- -39.60%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1845 Cedar St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,118 (-7%) | 8mo | $170,000 | $152 | 63 |
| 1 Sunset Dr | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 1,120 (-7%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $125 | 62 |
| 207 Locust St | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,134 (-6%) | 23mo | $131,500 | $116 | 60 |
| 1 Jones Pl | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 1,365 (+14%) | 6mo | $170,000 | $125 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-3,114
- Equity at exit
- $14,687
- IRR
- 6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.51×
- Total profit
- $13,969
- Equity at exit
- $8,516
Cash invested: $27,580 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62650
- Active inventory
- 141
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,182 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$517
- Tax from tax record
- −$175 /mo · $2,105/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$248
- Net cashflow
- $201
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,625
- Closing costs
- $2,955
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 41 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $98,500 Under Contract 112 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $98,500 Under Contract 111 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $98,500 Under Contract 110 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $98,500 Under Contract 109 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $98,500 Under Contract 107 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $98,500 Under Contract 106 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $98,500 Under Contract 103 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $98,500 Under Contract 102 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $98,500 Under Contract 101 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $98,500 Under Contract 100 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $98,500 Under Contract 97 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $98,500 Under Contract 96 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $98,500 Under Contract 95 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $98,500 Under Contract 94 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $98,500 Under Contract 93 DOM
-
2026-05-14historical Under Contract 391-char remark
Show marketing remark (391 chars)
Great West Location! This home has some nice features. Main floor features one bedroom, a spacious living room, Dining room or den! Was originally a 3rd bedroom but it has been open to the Living room. Eat in kitchen and Laundry on the main level. Upstairs features a 2nd bedroom with Fireplace. This is 1.5 Story with approx 1200 sq feet of living space. Sold as is. Inspection Welcome
-
2026-04-30status Active 391-char remark
Show marketing remark (391 chars)
Great West Location! This home has some nice features. Main floor features one bedroom, a spacious living room, Dining room or den! Was originally a 3rd bedroom but it has been open to the Living room. Eat in kitchen and Laundry on the main level. Upstairs features a 2nd bedroom with Fireplace. This is 1.5 Story with approx 1200 sq feet of living space. Sold as is. Inspection Welcome
-
2026-04-30price $98,500 391-char remark
Show marketing remark (391 chars)
Great West Location! This home has some nice features. Main floor features one bedroom, a spacious living room, Dining room or den! Was originally a 3rd bedroom but it has been open to the Living room. Eat in kitchen and Laundry on the main level. Upstairs features a 2nd bedroom with Fireplace. This is 1.5 Story with approx 1200 sq feet of living space. Sold as is. Inspection Welcome
-
2026-04-16historical Under Contract 391-char remark
Show marketing remark (391 chars)
Great West Location! This home has some nice features. Main floor features one bedroom, a spacious living room, Dining room or den! Was originally a 3rd bedroom but it has been open to the Living room. Eat in kitchen and Laundry on the main level. Upstairs features a 2nd bedroom with Fireplace. This is 1.5 Story with approx 1200 sq feet of living space. Sold as is. Inspection Welcome
-
2026-04-03price $104,500 391-char remark
Show marketing remark (391 chars)
Great West Location! This home has some nice features. Main floor features one bedroom, a spacious living room, Dining room or den! Was originally a 3rd bedroom but it has been open to the Living room. Eat in kitchen and Laundry on the main level. Upstairs features a 2nd bedroom with Fireplace. This is 1.5 Story with approx 1200 sq feet of living space. Sold as is. Inspection Welcome
-
2026-03-12price $106,000 391-char remark
Show marketing remark (391 chars)
Great West Location! This home has some nice features. Main floor features one bedroom, a spacious living room, Dining room or den! Was originally a 3rd bedroom but it has been open to the Living room. Eat in kitchen and Laundry on the main level. Upstairs features a 2nd bedroom with Fireplace. This is 1.5 Story with approx 1200 sq feet of living space. Sold as is. Inspection Welcome
-
2026-03-12price $107,500 391-char remark
Show marketing remark (391 chars)
Great West Location! This home has some nice features. Main floor features one bedroom, a spacious living room, Dining room or den! Was originally a 3rd bedroom but it has been open to the Living room. Eat in kitchen and Laundry on the main level. Upstairs features a 2nd bedroom with Fireplace. This is 1.5 Story with approx 1200 sq feet of living space. Sold as is. Inspection Welcome
-
2026-02-26$109,900 Active 391-char remark
Show marketing remark (391 chars)
Great West Location! This home has some nice features. Main floor features one bedroom, a spacious living room, Dining room or den! Was originally a 3rd bedroom but it has been open to the Living room. Eat in kitchen and Laundry on the main level. Upstairs features a 2nd bedroom with Fireplace. This is 1.5 Story with approx 1200 sq feet of living space. Sold as is. Inspection Welcome
-
2026-02-17historical $109,900 391-char remark
Show marketing remark (391 chars)
Great West Location! This home has some nice features. Main floor features one bedroom, a spacious living room, Dining room or den! Was originally a 3rd bedroom but it has been open to the Living room. Eat in kitchen and Laundry on the main level. Upstairs features a 2nd bedroom with Fireplace. This is 1.5 Story with approx 1200 sq feet of living space. Sold as is. Inspection Welcome
-
2021-10-25soldstatus $83,000
-
2021-10-22soldstatus $83,000 790-char remark
Show marketing remark (790 chars)
This adorable little cottage is located in a top west location. Factoring into Eisenhower School. The home is maintenance free vinyl siding, features a cool back yard. A large deck, fenced back yard, has a cute firepit-you will love this space. Hardwood floors warm this home up. Lots of fresh paint - turn key move in! kitchen has pretty cabinets-appliances included-the refrigerator in the garage will be moved into the kitchen. its in great shape! the main floor has a bedroom, large living room, formal dining /office room, full bath and the laundry. Upstairs a big dormer style bedroom is the best! an oversized 1 car garage. its cute in a great location the yard is awesome and they like their neighbors a lot. Need more space so its FOR SALE I think it will sell quick!
-
2021-09-01$84,900 790-char remark
Show marketing remark (790 chars)
This adorable little cottage is located in a top west location. Factoring into Eisenhower School. The home is maintenance free vinyl siding, features a cool back yard. A large deck, fenced back yard, has a cute firepit-you will love this space. Hardwood floors warm this home up. Lots of fresh paint - turn key move in! kitchen has pretty cabinets-appliances included-the refrigerator in the garage will be moved into the kitchen. its in great shape! the main floor has a bedroom, large living room, formal dining /office room, full bath and the laundry. Upstairs a big dormer style bedroom is the best! an oversized 1 car garage. its cute in a great location the yard is awesome and they like their neighbors a lot. Need more space so its FOR SALE I think it will sell quick!
-
2021-08-06historical
-
2018-06-11soldstatus $68,000
-
2018-06-08soldstatus $68,000
-
2017-12-12$72,000
-
2016-04-18soldstatus $71,900
-
2015-10-15$71,900
-
2014-06-23soldstatus $70,000
-
2014-06-20soldstatus $70,000
-
2012-08-25$74,000
-
2011-12-27soldstatus $83,000
-
2011-12-22soldstatus $83,000
-
2011-09-01$88,900
-
2007-11-15soldstatus $79,300
-
2007-10-01soldstatus $79,300
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,105 · $175/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,171 · $181/mo
- Expected delta
- +$65/yr (+$5/mo · 3.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,186
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,518
- − Property taxes
- −$2,105
- − Insurance
- −$492
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,135
- − Management
- −$1,135
- − Depreciation
- −$2,865
- Taxable income
- $936
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$225
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,186/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jacksonville SD 117
- NCES district ID
- 1720280
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,909
- Composite
- 18.66/100
- National rank
- #8888
- State rank
- #407 of 620 in IL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #187
- US rank
- #3543
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, IL
- City population
- 24,318
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,318
Population outlook (Morgan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 32,874 people
- By 2030
- 31,698 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 29,050 · -11.6%
- By 2050
- 26,381 · -19.8%
- By 2075
- 20,235 · -38.4%
- By 2100
- 14,324 · -56.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Black 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Morgan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.5) · D 33.1% · R 65.6% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.7pp toward R · 2008: -0.8pp · 2024: -32.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.5 2020: R+31.8 2016: R+29.9 2012: R+15.4 2008: R+0.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -84.33%
- Current HPI
- 126.5712
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
+24.2% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Contingent — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Relisted — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $98,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-16 Contingent — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $104,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $106,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $107,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-26 Listed $109,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-17 Coming Soon $109,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-25 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
- 2021-10-22 Sold (MLS) $83,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-09-01 Listed $84,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
- 2018-06-08 Sold (MLS) $68,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-12-12 Listed $72,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-04-18 Sold (MLS) $71,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-10-15 Listed $71,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2014-06-20 Sold (MLS) $70,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-08-25 Listed $74,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-12-27 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
- 2011-12-22 Sold (MLS) $83,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-09-01 Listed $88,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $79,300 Public Records
- 2007-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $79,300 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2024): $2,105 · -2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…