8427 Mc Glothlin St #1 · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.4/30.0
- ARV discount +9.1/15.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Affordable homeownership with the land included! Don't miss this beautifully updated 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,216 sq. ft. on a 50' x 125' lot in a convenient Jacksonville location. FHA and VA financing may be available for qualified buyers. Surrounded by newer homes selling for $300,000+, this move-in ready property offers exceptional value. Inside you'll find a desirable split-bedroom floor plan, huge open kitchen, new flooring, fresh interior paint, and updated bathrooms. Major improvements have already been completed, including a newer roof, newer central HVAC system, newer drainfield, custom wood skirting, and a new wood privacy-fenced backyard. Whether you're a first-time home
Key facts
- Custom wood skirting
- Newer roof
- Land included
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Additional parking available; On-street parking
- Utilities: Septic tank; Electricity connected; Water connected
- Home design: Manufactured home; Single-family / residential use
- Construction: Mobile home construction
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; City street frontage; Asphalt road surface; Lot about 0.14 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating (heat pump); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Wood flooring; Central heating; Electric heat pump; Central air conditioning
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup in unit; Electric dryer hookup in unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $304 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 441 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $56k; list at $150k implies a 168% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.67%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $155,648
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8427 Nussbaum Dr | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (0%) | 17mo | $148,000 | $122 | 83 |
| 8317 Mc Glothlin St | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,296 (+7%) | 9mo | $178,000 | $137 | 69 |
| 8350 Osteen St | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,152 (-5%) | 11mo | $135,395 | $118 | 67 |
| 8735 Nussbaum Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,104 (-9%) | 4mo | $45,000 | $41 | 63 |
| 4526 Lambing Rd | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,233 (+1%) | 16mo | $198,900 | $161 | 61 |
| 8145 Maple St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-5%) | 4mo | $160,000 | $139 | 58 |
| 8164 Maple St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (+3%) | 14mo | $160,000 | $128 | 54 |
| 8170 April St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,380 (+14%) | 14mo | $121,000 | $88 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.11% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-6,374
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $13,685
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32210
- Rents YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 441
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,501 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$33 /mo · $401/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$315
- Net cashflow
- $304
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8443 McGirts Village Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1325 | $1,381 | $1.04 | 7d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 8419 McGirts Village Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1325 | $1,400 | $1.06 | 2d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 8485 McGirts Village Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1325 | $1,381 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 8493 McGirts Village Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1325 | $1,381 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 8402 McGirts Village Ln Unit 7E Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1319 | $1,198 | $0.91 | 7d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 8460 McGirts Village Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1325 | $1,482 | $1.12 | 7d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 8727 Osteen St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,546 | $1.26 | 10d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 8515 Maple St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1255 | $1,499 | $1.19 | 3d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 8148 Metto Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1209 | $1,576 | $1.30 | 3d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 8518 Maple St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $1,623 | $1.11 | 16d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 5770 Brannon Ave Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $1,095 | $1.37 | 7d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 8341 Homeport Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1296 | $1,800 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 8329 Homeport Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1281 | $1,695 | $1.32 | 14d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 8050 103rd St Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1025 | $1,575 | $1.54 | 2d | 11 | 0.62mi |
| 5937 Camaro Dr W Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1052 | $1,595 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 7911 Melvin Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1471 | $1,740 | $1.18 | 2d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 4706 Playpen Dr Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1330 | $1,321 | $0.99 | 7d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 5150 Playpen Dr Unit 2-1 Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1157 | $1,225 | $1.06 | 4d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 5150 Playpen Dr #4 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $1,200 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 4807 Playpen Dr Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1204 | $1,322 | $1.10 | 3d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 7887 Melvin Rd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1153 | $1,600 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 7880 Playschool Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1339 | $1,495 | $1.12 | 16d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 7875 Melvin Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1464 | $1,650 | $1.13 | 4d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 8472 Fury Dr Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1326 | $1,780 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 7840 Playschool Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1339 | $1,398 | $1.04 | 14d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 7818 Melvin Rd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1153 | $1,400 | $1.21 | 3d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 7806 Melvin Rd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,395 | $1.16 | 16d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 7806 Melvin Rd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1153 | $1,295 | $1.12 | 7d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 7948 Austin Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1335 | $1,775 | $1.33 | 4d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 7800 Playschool Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1339 | $1,361 | $1.02 | 14d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 7978 Renault Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,850 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 7796 Playschool Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1339 | $1,375 | $1.03 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 7947 Renault Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1285 | $1,500 | $1.17 | 17d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 7765 Highchair Ln Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1204 | $1,375 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 7901 Austin Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1268 | $1,815 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 5018 Westchase Ct Unit 3 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 729 | $995 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5120 Westchase Ct #1 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 729 | $945 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 5136 Westchase Ct Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 729 | $950 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 5144 Westchase Ct Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $800 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 5224 Westchase Ct #3 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 776 | $896 | $1.15 | 20d | 1 | 0.91mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-10remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-10$150,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $401 · $33/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,245 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$844/yr (+$70/mo · 210.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,017
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$401
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,441
- − Management
- −$1,441
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $1,218
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$292
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,351/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 65,729
- Household income
- $61,050
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3605.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Black 38% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Hispanic 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -314.81%
- Current HPI
- 281.2688
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.11%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+476.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $150,000 realMLS
- 2025-03-06 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
- 2007-10-15 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.1%/yrLatest (2025): $401 · +86.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…