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5838 E 12th St
C- Composite 52.88
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0

$26,600

5838 E 12th St · Kansas City, MO 64126
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,332 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 214 Days on market
Built 1915 4,972 sqft lot $20/sqft · 72% below area ↓ 47% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

4 bedroom 1.5 bath fixer home, nice lot, easy access to Truman Road and down town. Property being sold as is where is in current condition.

Key facts

  • 4,972 sq ft lot
  • Built 1915
  • Listed 214 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $27k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $817 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $27k).
  • Recommended offer: $23k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 43.2% vs local median 3.9% in Kansas City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#28 in MO, #2,671 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
  • Kansas City 33 (urban): math 12% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #308 of 324 in MO (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($184 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 214 days — a 12% lower offer ($23k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (37%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $23,408 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 214 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.76%
Cap rate
43.16%
Cash-on-cash
131.67%
DSCR
6.86
GRM
1.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$94,204
List price
$26,600
Delta
-71.76%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6216 E 11th St 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,440 (+8%) 7mo $75,000 $52 71
6011 E 8th St 0.32mi 3/1.5 1,250 (-6%) 6mo $175,000 $140 68
5825 E 13th St 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,471 (+10%) 9mo $140,000 $95 67
812 Beacon Ave 0.33mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,400 (+5%) 5mo $52,000 $37 67
6031 E 14th St 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,236 (-7%) 8mo $79,000 $64 66
730 Bennington Ave 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,408 (+6%) 6mo $105,000 $75 63
1617 Belmont Ave 0.45mi 3/1.5 1,240 (-7%) 7mo $85,000 $69 59
1301 Bennington Ave 0.40mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,460 (+10%) 8mo $165,000 $113 50
714 Fuller Ave 0.46mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,449 (+9%) 9mo $115,000 $79 47
6625 E 16th St 0.58mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,492 (+12%) 1mo $160,000 $107 47
6325 E 18th Ter 0.70mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,247 (-6%) 10mo $250,000 $200 38
529 Colorado Ave 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,501 (+13%) 11mo $170,000 $113 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
9.94×
Total profit
$66,555
Equity at exit
$23,963
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
21.82×
Total profit
$155,102
Equity at exit
$51,678

Cash invested: $7,448 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64126

Active inventory
21
Price-to-rent
1.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,267 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$139
Tax est. 1.5%
$33 /mo · $399/yr
Insurance
$11
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$266
Net cashflow
$817

Break-even live

Break-even rent $233
Max offer price $26,600
Occupancy floor 31%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $836 -5% $826 +0% $817 +5% $808 +10% $799
Rent -10% $717 -5% $767 +0% $817 +5% $867 +10% $917
Rate -1.0pp $831 -0.5pp $824 base $817 +0.5pp $810 +1.0pp $803

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,650
Closing costs
$798
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6011 E 11th St Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 17d 1 0.11mi
6237 E 12th St Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 1580 $1,150 $0.73 44d 1 0.21mi
5852 E 20th St Unit TOP-1724 Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.5 1482 $1,075 $0.73 3d 1 0.78mi
303 White Ave Unit 2 Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 1060 $950 $0.90 11d 1 0.84mi
815 Elmwood Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.5 1302 $1,600 $1.23 15d 1 0.90mi
135 Lawndale Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 920 $1,500 $1.63 8d 1 0.91mi
1603 Elmwood Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 1064 $1,031 $0.97 13d 1 0.98mi
216 N Wheeling Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1474 $1,495 $1.01 20d 1 1.08mi
216 N Wheeling Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1474 $1,495 $1.01 17d 1 1.08mi
1812 Elmwood Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1650 $1,600 $0.97 17d 1 1.10mi
5213 Wilburn Ct Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1274 $1,375 $1.08 22d 1 1.22mi
1905 Kensington Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1285 $1,325 $1.03 24d 1 1.22mi
1805 Jackson Ave Kansas City, MO 4.0 2.0 1250 $1,250 $1.00 44d 1 1.27mi
441 N Hardesty Ave Kansas City, MO 4.0 1.0 1511 $1,550 $1.03 24d 1 1.38mi
218 N Elmwood Ave Kansas City, MO 4.0 2.0 1184 $1,500 $1.27 44d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $26,600 Active 214 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $26,600 Active 213 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $26,600 Active 212 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $26,600 Active 211 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $26,600 Active 209 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $26,600 Active 205 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $26,600 Active 204 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $26,600 Active 203 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $26,600 Active 200 DOM
  10. 2026-05-07
    price $28,900 139-char remark
    Show marketing remark (139 chars)

    4 bedroom 1.5 bath fixer home, nice lot, easy access to Truman Road and down town. Property being sold as is where is in current condition.

  11. 2026-03-09
    price $31,380 139-char remark
    Show marketing remark (139 chars)

    4 bedroom 1.5 bath fixer home, nice lot, easy access to Truman Road and down town. Property being sold as is where is in current condition.

  12. 2026-02-07
    status Active 139-char remark
    Show marketing remark (139 chars)

    4 bedroom 1.5 bath fixer home, nice lot, easy access to Truman Road and down town. Property being sold as is where is in current condition.

  13. 2026-02-07
    price $34,100 139-char remark
    Show marketing remark (139 chars)

    4 bedroom 1.5 bath fixer home, nice lot, easy access to Truman Road and down town. Property being sold as is where is in current condition.

  14. 2026-02-01
    historical 139-char remark
    Show marketing remark (139 chars)

    4 bedroom 1.5 bath fixer home, nice lot, easy access to Truman Road and down town. Property being sold as is where is in current condition.

  15. 2025-12-13
    price $37,000 139-char remark
    Show marketing remark (139 chars)

    4 bedroom 1.5 bath fixer home, nice lot, easy access to Truman Road and down town. Property being sold as is where is in current condition.

  16. 2025-11-03
    listed $42,000 Active 139-char remark
    Show marketing remark (139 chars)

    4 bedroom 1.5 bath fixer home, nice lot, easy access to Truman Road and down town. Property being sold as is where is in current condition.

  17. 2006-03-07
    soldstatus
  18. 2002-09-03
    soldstatus
  19. 2002-08-23
    soldstatus 178-char remark
    Show marketing remark (178 chars)

    Nicely remodeled! New roof, updated plumbing partly updated electric. All hardwood floors. Old charm, wood trim. Very well maintained, bright, open. Ready to move in. Shows well.

  20. 2002-04-07
    listed $55,000 178-char remark
    Show marketing remark (178 chars)

    Nicely remodeled! New roof, updated plumbing partly updated electric. All hardwood floors. Old charm, wood trim. Very well maintained, bright, open. Ready to move in. Shows well.

  21. 1996-09-06
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,206
− Mortgage interest
−$1,490
− Property taxes
−$399
− Insurance
−$133
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,216
− Management
−$1,216
− Depreciation
−$774
Taxable income
$9,977
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,394
After-tax cash flow
$7,412/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kansas City 33
NCES district ID
2916400
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$35,227
Composite
14.8/100
National rank
#9387
State rank
#308 of 324 in MO

Livability — Kansas City

Score
78/100
State rank
#28
US rank
#2671

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kansas City, MO
City population
439,467
Population (ZIP)
6,433

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
719,589 people
By 2030
731,456 · +1.6%
By 2040
746,689 · +3.8%
By 2050
749,289 · +4.1%
By 2075
736,227 · +2.3%
By 2100
668,210 · -7.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 57% Two or more races 29% White 19% Black 14% Asian 3% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 38% Cuban 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
36% · Canada
Languages at home
44% English-only · Spanish 50% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 100.10%
Current HPI
369.8782
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-47.5% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $28,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-09 Price Changed $31,380 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-07 Relisted Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-07 Price Changed $34,100 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-01 Listing Removed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-13 Price Changed $37,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-03 Listed $42,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-03-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2002-09-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2002-08-23 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-04-07 Listed $55,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1996-09-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+27.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,903 · +427.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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